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We'll go down fighting!

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

We'll go down fighting!

Postby threadbear » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 15:59:34

It's an increasingly chaotic world, where truth is hidden by competing and conflicting agendas. The rich lord it over the poor and the strong inflict pain on the weak, but we're not giving up. You can beat us, insult us humiliate us, but we're not giving up.

"Die off" is a loaded term and defeatist. It helps nobody, but the oil companies, as it implies that it is hopeless to invest time or money into alternatives.

This is a core issue on this site, but people kind of dance around it. I'd like to see it addressed.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby UncoveringTruths » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:05:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')WO roads diverged in a yellow wood,
And sorry I could not travel both
And be one traveler, long I stood
And looked down one as far as I could
To where it bent in the undergrowth;

Then took the other, as just as fair,
And having perhaps the better claim,
Because it was grassy and wanted wear;
Though as for that the passing there
Had worn them really about the same,

And both that morning equally lay
In leaves no step had trodden black.
Oh, I kept the first for another day!
Yet knowing how way leads on to way,
I doubted if I should ever come back.

I shall be telling this with a sigh
Somewhere ages and ages hence:
Two roads diverged in a wood, and
I took the one less traveled by,
And that has made all the difference.
It's a cold cold world when a man has to pawn his shoes.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby Jack » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:24:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '"')Die off" is a loaded term and defeatist.


I suppose that depends on perspective. I don't see it that way. I see it more as a good strategy to deal with too many people.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')It helps nobody, but the oil companies, as it implies that it is hopeless to invest time or money into alternatives.


Fewer people would make the world much more pleasant - at least for me. Less traffic, less crowding, less noise. Sounds like bliss.

Why should I want to keep large numbers of poor, often below median IQ, frequently odoriferous, generally noisy, and constantly dripping people alive?

Dieoff isn't defeatist. Rather, it is a joyous strategy of hope and renewal.

At least, for the survivors.... 8)
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby threadbear » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:33:01

Thank you for helping me make my point, Jack. Just out of curiosity, let's break down the numbers here.

You, no doubt are invested in oil. Seeing as it's somewhat compatible with your philosophy, I can't call you a hypocrite, or even a defeatist, just a misanthropist.

In your estimate, what percentage of environmentalists on this forum, who also like people,(generally speaking), are invested in oil companies? Do you have a take on that, or do you prefer not to comment?
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby gnm » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:33:30

Jack's position is easy to understand as he is a soulless sociopath... (no offense intended of course).

I would propose to coin a term for those who tout themselves as environmentalists which see the only solution as "die off" which I agree is rather defeatist...

Instead of environmentalist the term would be envrionihilist. 8)

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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby threadbear » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:35:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'J')ack's position is easy to understand as he is a soulless sociopath... (no offense intended of course).

I would propose to coin a term for those who tout themselves as environmentalists which see the only solution as "die off" which I agree is rather defeatist...

Instead of environmentalist the term would be envrionihilist. 8)

-G


ENVIRONIHILIST! Perfect!
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby RonMN » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:37:15

I think the title hits the nail on the head! "We'll go down fighting".

A conflict over limited resources is assured...it will happen because it has always happened. Whether the resource was food, water, energy, land, etc., it didn't matter...it has always resulted in starvation or conflict or both.

So either I survive, and like Jack says...the world will be a more plesant place to live.

Or I go down fighting, and atleast I go down knowing i did all i could (and i'll find comfort in that).

For me, the worst would be to give up without a struggle!!!
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby dinopello » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:40:08

Die-off is loaded, I agree. It sounds like extinction to most people I think. "That species died-off many centuries ago".

What's the opposite of die-off? Die-on? Live-off ?

How about Die-back ? How about simply reduction in population? People die, and new people are born. What the rates are relative to one another is the issue. Any rational person would admit that you can't keep increasing the population forever. Dynamical systems with controls undergoing input always overshoot. Either pure steady-state equilibrium is reached eventually (really never in real systems) or you repeatively over and undershoot.

I'll go down living, until the end that is.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby threadbear » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:40:21

Rnmn? What are you invested in?
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby threadbear » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:44:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', 'D')ie-off is loaded, I agree. It sounds like extinction to most people I think. "That species died-off many centuries ago".

What's the opposite of die-off? Die-on? Live-off ?

How about Die-back ? How about simply reduction in population? People die, and new people are born. What the rates are relative to one another is the issue. Any rational person would admit that you can't keep increasing the population forever. Dynamical systems with controls undergoing input always overshoot. Either pure steady-state equilibrium is reached eventually (really never in real systems) or you repeatively over and undershoot.

I'll go down living, until the end that is.


Die back? Perhaps. Few would disagree with the gist of your post. "Powerdown" seems an inclusive term that should include powerdown of population, slowly, humanely.

And Jack, I've seen the movie "Idiocracy" so understand some of your sentiments and personally feel paying people with beer and cigarettes to have their tubes tied is a humane way of dealing with that situation. :lol:
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby Ferretlover » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:49:53

Die off....
IMHO, barring nuclear war or multiple pandemics, I think that the die-off will proceed at different speeds.
It will probably be quicker in the larger cities due to lack of food, illness/starvation, and crime, and, slower in littler towns and agricultural areas.

Some of those that survive the initial first year after oil depletion, will probably have figured out how to survive with the basics, but, will then be susceptible to illnesses: brought on by a more frugal lifestyle and medical shortages; brought into the community by those who are homeless/fleeing the cities; and, by insects (mosquitoes, ticks, etc ), and rodents.

I am not sure when, but at some point, the MSM will stop reporting anything about the body counts.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby RonMN » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:51:36

I'm well diversified. Gold/silver, dollars, survival / gardening / camping tools & equipment, books, canned & dry food, ammo, knowledge, tent, gardening & saving heirloom seed, no CC debt (but house not paid off yet)...still looking for farm land with some woods. Still learning how to keep a PMA after all becomes worthless.
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby Jack » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 16:55:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'T')hank you for helping me make my point, Jack.


My pleasure. Seriously, when one is discussing things of moral import, a clear contrast is sometimes helpful. Our views seem to contrast.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')You, no doubt are invested in oil. Seeing as it's somewhat compatible with your philosophy, I can't call you a hypocrite, or even a defeatist, just a misanthropist.


I prefer sociopath or at least psychopath. But misanthropist does have a nice ring to it.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')In your estimate, what percentage of environmentalists on this forum, who also like people,(generally speaking), are invested in oil companies? Do you have a take on that, or do you prefer not to comment?


I expect that most (i.e, more than 50%) of those who invest knowingly put some money in oil and oil service companies. I would not be surprised if well over 75% did so.

If we expand the model to those who invest indirectly in oil and oil services companies, such as with mutual funds, I would expect the percentage to hit around 90%.

And if we include pension plans and all the other indirect investment vehicles, I'd expect 95% are involved with oil.

Finally, if we include those who own houses - the price of which tends to be supported by the oil economy - or are involved with businesses (as owner or employee) that depend on a vibrant oil-based economy - I'd bump the number up to 99%+.
Dieoff. Fun to watch. Better with hot buttered popcorn! [smilie=new_popcornsmiley.gif]
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby burtonridr » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 17:16:18

Yea unfortunately ever person here has helped feed the monster by investing in the oil companies indirectly..... Buying food helps feed the oil company down the line... :cry:
Tired of high gas prices? [smilie=BangHead.gif] Then stop driving to work, duh..... Learn to Work from home

Peak Oil Blog = http://getroasted.wordpress.com
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby gnm » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 17:34:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', 'W')hy should I want to keep large numbers of poor, often below median IQ, frequently odoriferous, generally noisy, and constantly dripping people alive?


8O Well when you put it that way.... Its rather persuasive..

Dripping....? [smilie=5zombie.gif]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', 'D')ieoff isn't defeatist. Rather, it is a joyous strategy of hope and renewal.

At least, for the survivors.... 8)


Why do I get the idea that you might prefer a "kill off" to a "die off" :evil:

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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby Nano » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 17:49:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'D')ie back? Perhaps. Few would disagree with the gist of your post. "Powerdown" seems an inclusive term that should include powerdown of population, slowly, humanely.


I'd prefer fighting to being enslaved under the draconian systems of control that would be needed in order to realise a 'humane' powerdown.

1984 or Mad Max? I'd go for Max. Max is closer to the natural order of the universe than 1984. I'm not defeatist.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby Concerned » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 17:52:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')You can beat us, insult us humiliate us, but we're not giving up.

"Die off" is a loaded term and defeatist.

This is a core issue on this site, but people kind of dance around it. I'd like to see it addressed.


I think we will go down blogging and participating in internet forum chat, while sipping coke and pepsi ingesting some grease ball burger.

Die-off is not defeatist, it's one way of explaining what will happen to the human species if we can't maintain the resources energy, land, food, water to sustain our numbers.

I don't know why people are so invested in maintaining a high population as if having a much smaller population due to "x" scenario is a terrible thing and defeatist?

Put me in the die-off camp, heck even Jack or I might have to die-off how knows how it will unravel. Don't worry about it because eventually every man dies.
"Once the game is over, the king and the pawn go back in the same box."
-Italian Proverb
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby threadbear » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 18:07:34

We live in a laissez faire capitalist system which compares social and individual struggles to the struggles that take place in the natural world. Social Darwinism, where the strong are said to outcompete the weak, has become a crutch for parasites.

It's a weak analogy at best. Right now, for example, as a result of a misrepresentation and over use of this idea, we are seeing something that never plays out in nature, an economic derivatives meltdown. Quite serendipitously, this meltdown is going to take out the weak and many of the "strong" in equal numbers.

The idea that we are a victims of history, and bound to repeat it is defeatest. The idea running in tandem, that as a species we are at the mercy of Darwinian forces, both individually, collectively, and now with Mother Nature playing Darwin's heavy, is overstated.

I'll go down fighting against generalizations that polarize, natural "law" that paralyzes rational and compassionate thought and I know others on this forum are with me.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby BigTex » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 18:08:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'I')t's an increasingly chaotic world, where truth is hidden by competing and conflicting agendas. The rich lord it over the poor and the strong inflict pain on the weak, but we're not giving up. You can beat us, insult us humiliate us, but we're not giving up.

"Die off" is a loaded term and defeatist. It helps nobody, but the oil companies, as it implies that it is hopeless to invest time or money into alternatives.

This is a core issue on this site, but people kind of dance around it. I'd like to see it addressed.


One way of shedding light on die off scenarios is to look at the last die off scenario the U.S. and world faced, which was the Spanish Flu epidemic of 1918-1919. The U.S. saw around 675,000 people die and the world death toll was 20,000,000 or so. With a U.S. population at the time of around 55,000,000 and a world population of 1.8 billion during this time frame, an event of similar magnitude (based on current populations) would see around 3,500,000 dead in the U.S. and around 75,000,000 dead worldwide.

This would certainly feel like a die off.

What is interesting is that the impact of the 1918-1919 Flu Epidemic was to basically forget it ever happened.

People did not become hopeless. They did not lose the will to live. They buried the dead and kept on going.

PO is different, I suppose, in that any die off scenario would NOT give way to even greater growth in its aftermath, but I think it is worth noting that the last "die off" the world experienced does not appear to have done any permanent damage to the human spirit.

People talk about hard times in the future and what they might be like. Imagine for a moment that the same events that started in 1914 started in 1974. Here is what the timeline would look like:

1974: World War begins

1978: World War ends--9,000,000 dead

1978: International Flu Outbreak begins

1979: International Flu Outbreak ends--20,000,000 dead

1989: Worldwide Depression begins

1999: Worldwide Depression recovery begins

1999: Another World War begins

2005: World War ends--60,000,000 dead

In the scenario above, how much hope does 2005 appear to represent? Not much, yet 1945 was the beginning of a period of unmatched prosperity that has lasted, so far, for several decades.

Will PO represent a brick wall that we are simply going to slam into, or will it be like the Spanish Flu, a global depression and two world wars, which challenged humanity in unimaginable ways, but which we ultimately got through and found better days on the other side of the trauma?

All I'm suggesting is that if you had a crystal ball in 1910 that could only see up through 1945, it would be hard to reach any conclusion other than "we're screwed." Seeing the 1910-1990 period, however, would have given a person reason to be hopeful (and maybe even excited).

Today, PO crystal balls are forecasting similar "we're screwed" scenarios in the 2010-2045 period, but if you stretch that period out to, say, 2010-2090, it might look quite different.

What you focus on becomes your personal reality. Focus on the awful future long enough and it becomes your awful personal reality in the present.

Awful events needn't wreck a person's sense of hope and optimism, however. Anticipating awful events ought to be seen as an opportunity to plan, not as a reason to be hopeless. I believe this attitude is what gets you through hard times, and if you don't make it through the hard times, it allows you to face defeat knowing your spirit was never conquered. I have seen terminally ill people who met their illness with this kind of calm courage and it is inspiring; I have seen terminally ill people who met their illness with panic and fear and it is very sad to watch.

I think it is sage advice to resist fear and panic no matter what challenge you face. If it's PO with rapid die-off and accompanying climate change and other calamities leading to a cascade of wars, famine, pestilence and natural disasters.....just make sure your chinstrap is buckled.
Last edited by BigTex on Thu 23 Aug 2007, 10:53:33, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Postby threadbear » Wed 22 Aug 2007, 18:10:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Nano', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'D')ie back? Perhaps. Few would disagree with the gist of your post. "Powerdown" seems an inclusive term that should include powerdown of population, slowly, humanely.


I'd prefer fighting to being enslaved under the draconian systems of control that would be needed in order to realise a 'humane' powerdown.

1984 or Mad Max? I'd go for Max. Max is closer to the natural order of the universe than 1984. I'm not defeatist.


This is a dangerous oversimplification that leaves no room for other alternatives. Why not Mild Max?
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