by Denny » Mon 13 Aug 2007, 14:51:11
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he US is quite capable of winning conventional wars.
We defeated the Iraq army (twice) and the conventional Taliban forces in Afghanistan in 2001-2.
Guerilla wars are much more difficult to win, and the problems are exacerbated by the new Islamofascist tactics of suicide bombing and mass murder attacks on innocent civilians. The terror attacks are very difficult to stop.
I understand from my father-in-law that the Allied invasion of Europe in WW2 involved cleansing neighborhoods. He was in the Canadian Army which went through Holland. He said they had to check out every house, business and apartment and seize all weapons found and round up any stray Germans. I realize the Dutch were more than happy to co-operate, not so likely in Iraq or Afghanistan, but by proper planning of food provision and the like you can make it worth the people's efforts to co-operate.
It was not the bombing that helped in the occupation stage of the war, its was the physical presence of millions of soldiers and tens of thousands of land vehicles. The U.S. has already proved its bombing ability, but that doesn't close the war. Occupation does.
Guerilla warfare only works when the density of occupiers is low. An example would be Ireland in the Revolution, in which the British fought half heartedly, with only 27,000 men. They lost to an active force of just 15,000, due to "home field" advantage and the active sympathy of the most of the people. Just think if the Brits had sent in 200,000. Maybe they'd have had a chance. And, they were capable of that, they sent many times that contingent to fight in France, just a few years before. I am not saying the Irish Revolution was wrong, or the Brits were right in principle, but just looking at the war as a competition.
But, today, the UN force in Afghanistan more or less resembles the British effort in Ireland in 1921, but in a country ten times as large - both in population and area.
The reality is that the coalition has never fully gained control of Iraq or Afghansitan. Never sealed the borders. We have to do that to keep new "martyrs" from joining in the cause. If the people of Tikrit or Kandahar looked out the window and saw a limitless row of tanks cruising the main street, they may come to believe a new authority is in town. They don't have that realization right now, neither for we, the foreign invaders, nor for the official governments established in those countries.