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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

The Future Is Now

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: A MORE LIKELY FUTURE

Postby Madpaddy » Wed 08 Aug 2007, 06:02:25

Good for you Heineken.

And may you enjoy your land for many decades to come.
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Re: A MORE LIKELY FUTURE

Postby Heineken » Wed 08 Aug 2007, 06:14:10

Actually, it's getting a little sticky under the collar in my neck of the woods, Madpaddy. I went outside early this morning and it felt exactly like a bathhouse. I kid you not.

I may end up a climate refugee.
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
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Re: A MORE LIKELY FUTURE

Postby gnm » Wed 08 Aug 2007, 15:37:19

I'm wearing highwaters...

Image

I'm at 7'500 feet above sea level. Which works out actually because even though I am fairly far south it stays fairly cool in the summer.. Winter can be nasty though and the weather in general is very changeable...

-G :lol:
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Re: A MORE LIKELY FUTURE

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Wed 08 Aug 2007, 16:38:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'R')e. "wealth."

OK, so let's start with the doctor who lives up in the hills. He owns a house with a half million in equity, has various accounts with another million or two in equity, lives within his means... let's say his net asset worth is about $2 million. He's a millionaire, which makes him conventionally wealthy.

Now the doctor has a gardener, who doesn't own a house but owns his truck and tools, and has some equity in his business, maybe in the range of about $20,000 altogether. He's a deca-thousandaire, if you will.

Now take a look in the stratosphere. A billionaire with let's say $2B in net asset worth.

Who has more in common with whom, we ask...?

Well, the doctor's assets are worth 100x as much as the gardener's. But the billionaire's assets are worth 1,000x as much as the doctor's.

When it comes to tax policies and suchlike, the doctor's interests and the gardener's are more alike than the doctor's and the billionaire's.

1. Rich people is the one who can run a war and challenge authorities of his state by military means, paying out of his own pocket.
So there are very few "rich" peoples on the world and none in US.

2. Paper wealth of billionare may prove to be worth not more than a decent plot of fertile land with a farm on it.
Afer a crunch our billionaire may turn to be a serf holding some paper which was valuable in the past but not any longer and a farmer (or his children) may make into aristocracy in emerging feudal system and thousands of serfs will work for him.
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Re: A MORE LIKELY FUTURE

Postby NotMyBlood » Thu 09 Aug 2007, 14:39:13

is there any future scenario that allows me to sleep in until 10:00 - 11:00 am? Bang my girlfriend from 12:00 to 12:15, take a nap, grill out steaks for lunch at 1:00pm? read a book, watch a movie, workout , from 2:00pm 5:00pm, hit happy hour for a few drinks from 5:00pm 8:00pm....take a vicodin with some wine and bang my girfriend again from 9:00pm to 10:pm, watch some sportscenter at 11:00pm and drift asleep content...???

I'll vote for that one...
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Re: A MORE LIKELY FUTURE

Postby TWilliam » Thu 09 Aug 2007, 17:04:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('coyote', 'T')he Mayan civilization collapsed, but they by no means all disappeared. Some Mayan areas continued to develop beyond the main crash. They were still around to be conquered, one city-state at a time, by the Spanish in the 15th and 16th centuries; and they're still around today. What they lost was empire, population, knowledge, and the highest art. And that may be what happens to us as well. We are not the only culture to have tinkered with civilization; we may become, like the Maya, just another example of a failed civilization experiment, in which people afterward go back to an older way of living.


It didn't "collapse", it was abandoned, as were several other Central American civilizations.

There is a false assumption held by our culture that agriculture is somehow superior to horticulture/hunting/gathering in terms of survival benefit, when in fact it isn't. Agriculture requires a greater expenditure of calories to garner a return than does hunting/gathering, and it is ultimately one of those "evolutionary dead-ends" that we sometimes hear mentioned. We just haven't realized it yet, but the Mayans (and others) did, so they opted to return to the far more successful modality that preceded "civilization".

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'Y')et feudal systems were longest lasting ones...


No. Feudalism is an outgrowth of agriculture, which is (roughly) about 10,000 years old. Tribalism is the oldest, stablest system, lasting roughly 3 million years from the emergence of Homo until the dawn of agriculture (until the present in fact, tho' "civilization" is working very hard to eliminate it).
"It means buckle your seatbelt, Dorothy, because Kansas? Is goin' bye-bye... "
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Re: A MORE LIKELY FUTURE

Postby coyote » Mon 13 Aug 2007, 00:07:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TWilliam', 'I')t didn't "collapse", it was abandoned, as were several other Central American civilizations.

There is a false assumption held by our culture that agriculture is somehow superior to horticulture/hunting/gathering in terms of survival benefit, when in fact it isn't.

...We just haven't realized it yet, but the Mayans (and others) did, so they opted to return to the far more successful modality that preceded "civilization".

I agree that that assumption is commonly held in our culture, but it is one that I do not share. If I implied otherwise then I implied wrongly. I have gone out of my way to learn ancient survival skills -- not only for crash-survival, but for spiritual reasons as well -- and I strongly recommend others to do the same.

You seem to be saying that the Mayans abandoned their civilization by choice, as opposed to being forced out of it by collapse, as is commonly held. That implies knowledge of intent, of people who lived over a thousand years ago. I've never read anything like that, other than some conjecture by Daniel Quinn -- is there some line of research supporting your thesis to which you can point us?
Lord, here comes the flood
We'll say goodbye to flesh and blood
If again the seas are silent in any still alive
It'll be those who gave their island to survive...
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Re: A MORE LIKELY FUTURE

Postby TWilliam » Mon 13 Aug 2007, 03:49:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('coyote', '-')- is there some line of research supporting your thesis to which you can point us?


Hmmm well... I'll need to look. Quinn's the only recent commentary I've seen on it, but I'd heard it somewhere before I ever came across his stuff. Seems I recall it being from someone who got it from their descendants (there are still some who identify themselves as Maya if I remember right)...
"It means buckle your seatbelt, Dorothy, because Kansas? Is goin' bye-bye... "
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Is this what the future looks like?

Postby qwanta » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 17:07:33

Came across these photos taken in Romania apparently. Started to get the sinking feeling that this is how some places here in the US could look like perhaps sooner than we think.

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

OK, maybe not that last one :)

source:
http://ziza.ru/2007/09/28/dobro_pozhalo ... _foto.html
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby Blacksmith » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 19:55:53

Adaptation.
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby Zardoz » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 20:03:17

Geez, let's sincerely hope that not all Romanians look like those guys.

Forget the horse carts. That's about as seedy a bunch of guys as you'll ever want to have to look at. Will we end up like that?
"Thank you for attending the oil age. We're going to scrape what we can out of these tar pits in Alberta and then shut down the machines and turn out the lights. Goodnight." - seldom_seen
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby Blacksmith » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 21:43:18

Just need a haircut, shave, shower and some clothes from China and they would look like any American.
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby Zardoz » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 22:04:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Blacksmith', 'J')ust need a haircut, shave, shower and some clothes from China...

My point, exactly.
"Thank you for attending the oil age. We're going to scrape what we can out of these tar pits in Alberta and then shut down the machines and turn out the lights. Goodnight." - seldom_seen
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby PrairieMule » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 22:31:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Blacksmith', 'J')ust need a haircut, shave, shower and some clothes from China...

My point, exactly.


I wonder if in the kids of the future will replace the ear-spliting Bass of a car stereo with a empty oil drum strapped to the back of a mule driven cart?

We like the carts, mule-carts that go boom! We're Tigra and Bunny and we like the room!
If you give a man a fish you will have kept him from hunger for a day. If you teach a man to fish he will sit in a boat and drink beer all day.
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby sittinguy » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 23:22:33

IF it did become that way one day far from now,, you will be dead by that time and so will your kids.... And can you imagine the HELL that this country would go through to get to that point, BUY MORE BULLETS
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby frankthetank » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 02:37:08

No.

Image
lawns should be outlawed.
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby Pretorian » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 04:32:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', 'G')eez, let's sincerely hope that not all Romanians look like those guys.



no worries there. Gypsies from the pics are not Romanians and have nothing to do with Romania. But, Romania does indeed hold innumerous amount of these creatures. No wonder it sided with Hitler.
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby TheDude » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 08:40:47

"Creatures," that's nice. :x

Have been reading up on caravans/vardos. They do some very fancy work:

Image
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And let me tell you something: I dig your work.
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby eXpat » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 10:15:38

Been there last year. Romanians are actually quite resilient and strong people IMO. My guide in a tour I took around Romania told me that one of the most popular slongans there, is that the Black Sea is the only friend Romania ever had, because it never attempted to invade them. In a lot of places in the north, communities and people get isolated during winter, due to the extreme cold and snow, so they traditionally have to be as much self sufficient as they can be. My worries in a SHTF situation are not with that people, but with the ones pampered by the modern western life style.
"I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it."
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You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.” Ayn Rand
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Re: Is this what the future looks like?

Postby jesus_of_suburbia_old » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 16:12:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')ypsies from the pics are not Romanians and have nothing to do with Romania.

There's a journalist from Kazakhstan that says gypsy tears cure AIDS.

Would anyone like to comment?
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