Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Peakoil is not a problem

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 15 Jul 2007, 21:49:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mircea', ' ')You can't make pharmceuticals, or plastics, or tars and asphalts, or lubricants, or fertilizer out of wind, solar, nuclear power, or bio-fuels, so those things do nothing to alleviate the problem of the supply and demand of oils.


During WWII, many of these products were made from various plants, because of the scarcity of petroleum.
Ludi
 

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 15 Jul 2007, 23:09:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mircea', ' ')If suddenly now there would be no oil, it would have zero effect on the production of electrical energy in the US.


Zero effect?

My, but you are poorly informed. Oil produces and supports the entire electrical infrastructure.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby TonyPrep » Mon 16 Jul 2007, 04:52:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mircea', 'H')igh gasoline prices could not lead to inflation. High gasoline prices reduce a consumer's disposable income, forcing them to purchase less of everthing else. That decreases demand, which increases supply, which results in a decrease in prices, not an increase.
Hmmm, this seems to be an argument that could apply to rising prices in every commodity, and every purchasable item. However, as we most certainly do see inflation (in fact we rarely don't see it), then your argument must be false.

Certainly I have seen inflation rising in New Zealand and I notice that interest rates are going up in many countries to combat inflation. So what do you think the cause of this widespread inflation might be?
User avatar
TonyPrep
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2842
Joined: Sun 25 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Waiuku, New Zealand

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Mon 16 Jul 2007, 05:33:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', '
')Certainly I have seen inflation rising in New Zealand and I notice that interest rates are going up in many countries to combat inflation. So what do you think the cause of this widespread inflation might be?

I think some of it is simply monetary inflation beginning to seep into the real economy. But I don't think all the blame can be pinned on money printing. And to the extent that money is being created in order to pay the costs associated with higher priced oil, the issue becomes a little circular anyway.
"Who knows what the Second Law of Thermodynamics will be like in a hundred years?" - Economist speaking during planning for World Population Conference in early 1970s
User avatar
CrudeAwakening
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 834
Joined: Tue 28 Jun 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 16 Jul 2007, 12:56:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mircea', ' ')That's an irrelevant argument, mostly because you don't appear to understand economics.

High gasoline prices could not lead to inflation. High gasoline prices reduce a consumer's disposable income, forcing them to purchase less of everthing else. That decreases demand, which increases supply, which results in a decrease in prices, not an increase.


And after posting this nonsense, you do? High gasoline prices affect everything produced, not just consumers pocket books.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Mon 16 Jul 2007, 13:12:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mircea', ' ')If suddenly now there would be no oil, it would have zero effect on the production of electrical energy in the US.


Zero effect?

My, but you are poorly informed. Oil produces and supports the entire electrical infrastructure.

There would be a ~ zero effect, albeit for only an hour or two.
User avatar
EnergyUnlimited
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 7537
Joined: Mon 15 May 2006, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby emailking » Mon 16 Jul 2007, 13:26:20

If I was going to troll on this board, this is exactly the kind of stuff I would write.
User avatar
emailking
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 742
Joined: Sat 11 Mar 2006, 04:00:00

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby OilIsMastery » Mon 16 Jul 2007, 18:53:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bonjaski', '2')) there are enough (1,4trillion) hydrocarbons to sustain at least 70-80mbd for a long time

Demand will be > 85 mbd. You do the math. Pfff.
User avatar
OilIsMastery
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 507
Joined: Wed 11 Jul 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Manhattan - U.N. Occupied
Top

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby Dan1195 » Fri 27 Jul 2007, 21:36:13

When you read comments on a "Peak Oil" thread that is off-topic on a message board unrelated to energy, you realize how ignorant many people are to the situation.

"Last I heard was that Norway, at it's current rate of production, has enough Oil for about 60 years. I guess that we should prepare for an American invasion."

Ugh, using a nation in steep decline that itself using little oil to show there isnt a problem, need I say more?

There is PLENTY of oil left, its just more expensive to get. As oil gets more expensive, alternative fuels become more attractive to invest in, produce, and distribution. As that occurs, the cost of alt fuels is lowered, and eventually oil will be an afterthought.

Yes the remaining oil is more expensive, but no known tech on the horizon will keep the rate of production from declining. Of course the alt fuel is only good if has good enough EROEI and you can actually scale it up.

I will never buy into ANY of this peak oil stuff. Yeah, it'll get more expensive, but we're not touching 3/4th of the earth regarding oil. May not be technologically feasible right now, but we could eventually get deep sea crawlers (go watch the Abyss movie for an idea).

Let's see where do we start. Ignoring issues relating to international waters, oil cant form where no plant decay occurred to begin with. Heck they will need further advancements just to develop Jack in the GOM.

You get the idea. Many people simply have no understanding when they talk about the topic.
User avatar
Dan1195
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 277
Joined: Sat 19 Mar 2005, 04:00:00

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby Twilight » Sat 28 Jul 2007, 09:43:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dan1195', 'Y')ou get the idea. Many people simply have no understanding when they talk about the topic.

The other thing that annoys me about the energy debate, is that "everyone is an expert".

You ask people about something else that matters on a day-to-day basis, like the Bank of England's rate hikes and what their impact might be, and they'll look blank, puzzled and laugh off the question. Few people have any trouble cheerfully admitting their ignorance.

But mention oil, gas, electricity, and they're like people possessed.

It's like "Now look here pal, there's plenty of oil out there for everyone for longer than our lifetimes, like if we drill deeper, so I don't wanna hear none of that talk, you hear?".

Yeah, sure, whatever you say man. (Backs away slowly)

Funny how people get more passionate about an industry in which they have never worked than a quarter million pound albatross hanging around their necks.
Twilight
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 3027
Joined: Fri 02 Mar 2007, 04:00:00
Top

Re: peakoil is not a problem (my opinion)

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 28 Jul 2007, 13:41:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mkwin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', 'W')hen oil gets tight, we will begin burning through coal, more in developing countries than industrialized countries, which will accelerate environmental problems.

Do you really think the Third World and Chindia are going to be interested in alternative energy sources that cost two or three times what good old coal costs? No, they are going to burn coal like there is no tomorrow, which will perhaps delay the day or reckoning a few years, but it will also make the day of reckoning a lot more hazy because of all the soot floating around in the air.

Endless economic and population growth are incompatible with a world of finite resources. We just haven't been reminded of this fact because we haven't run out of a critical resource yet (with no acceptable substitute), other than maybe common sense.


Energy demand in China could collapse as there will be reduced demand for all those factories - the China miracle will go into reverse.


Amen! Demand destruction in China, where factories are very oil dependant is going to be a huge factor. China will also lead the world in clean alternatives, as they led the way with population control. China is headed for it's own 30's style Great Depression. Too much growth and wayyyy too fast. Not sustainable.
User avatar
threadbear
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7577
Joined: Sat 22 Jan 2005, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby cube » Sun 29 Jul 2007, 18:23:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', 'T')he other thing that annoys me about the energy debate, is that "everyone is an expert".

You ask people about something else that matters on a day-to-day basis, like the Bank of England's rate hikes and what their impact might be, and they'll look blank, puzzled and laugh off the question. Few people have any trouble cheerfully admitting their ignorance.

But mention oil, gas, electricity, and they're like people possessed.
*getting off topic* Try this experiment.
Ask the average person if they can manage a business perhaps an:
1) auto repair shop
2) grocery store
3) bank
People will shrug their shoulders and gladly admit their ignorance...now ask them if they can run a restaurant. EVERYBODY thinks they can probably succeed. why??? :lol:

I know exactly what you're saying Twilight. I used to take engineering classes in college and NOBODY had an opinion about:
1) sewage treatment
2) steel reinforced concrete
3) geotechnical engineering

No topic save for investing brings out more "self proclaimed experts" then energy production. :roll:
cube
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3909
Joined: Sat 12 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Top

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby Judgie » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 04:38:24

I will never buy into ANY of this peak oil stuff. Yeah, it'll get more expensive, but we're not touching 3/4th of the earth regarding oil. May not be technologically feasible right now, but we could eventually get deep sea crawlers (go watch the Abyss movie for an idea).

If we're going to pull science fiction into this debate as (last resort) evidence, then go read "The Swarm" by Frank Schatzing for an idea of the consequences, particularly when you destabilise methan hydrates.........
"That the cream cannot help but always rise up to the top, well I say, <censored by peakoil.com> floats"

Jarvis Cocker - "Running the World"
Judgie
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 418
Joined: Mon 07 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Adelaide, South Australia

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby Blacksmith » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 05:48:21

Worried about clathrates, try the Permian.
Employed senior
Blacksmith
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1064
Joined: Sun 13 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Athabasca, Alberta

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby Judgie » Sat 04 Aug 2007, 02:53:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Blacksmith', 'W')orried about clathrates, try the Permian.


T'was "tongue in cheek", Blacksmith ;)
"That the cream cannot help but always rise up to the top, well I say, <censored by peakoil.com> floats"

Jarvis Cocker - "Running the World"
Judgie
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 418
Joined: Mon 07 May 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Adelaide, South Australia
Top

Re: peakoil is not a problem (my opinion)

Unread postby Narz » Sat 04 Aug 2007, 03:52:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('retiredguy', 'N')arz,

I believe Clueless was refering to John Lennon.

Ah, thanks. I'm a youngster. ;)
“Seek simplicity but distrust it”
User avatar
Narz
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2360
Joined: Sat 25 Nov 2006, 04:00:00
Location: the belly of the beast (New Jersey)
Top

Re: Peakoil is not a problem

Unread postby HorneyGeekBoi » Sun 05 Aug 2007, 13:11:07

"the next 60years there is enough energy in form of electrons"

haha, thats the funniest thing ive heard in a long time...
User avatar
HorneyGeekBoi
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 30
Joined: Sat 28 Apr 2007, 03:00:00

Previous

Return to Peak Oil Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron