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Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy anymore

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby KingM » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 13:56:17

Africa is poor because it's Africa, not because it lacks natural resources. You could provide free gas/oil to every person south of the Sahara and the region would not be appreciably wealthier. PO has little to do with the corruption, tribalism, disease, etc., that afflicts the region.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby lonewolf » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 14:51:59

... all good things must come to an end

The regular (frequent) 'contributors' here may well have not noticed what has happened to this site in the past year (or more). After a bit of distance (time away), it has become glaringly obvious that this 'forum' has largely morphed (descended) into a venue dominated by 3 'things'; namely overt derision, cognitive dissonance and selfish-gratification (cyber ego maintenance). Once upon a time, actual information was exchanged and occasionally discussed with some intelligence here. Now, 'discussion' is dominantly little more than overt insult (to intelligence) and/or willful (aggressive) insult to each other as well a revulsion provoking experience for the lurkers (visitors, and would-be contributors). The 'quality' of 'argumentation' (so-called 'discussion') here is in the bushing toilet. Personally, I'd much prefer to suffer the (alleged) "trolls" than tolerate the slings and arrows dispensed 24/7 by self-anointed acolytes of both denial and of doom (both based in prejudice selection). This site has descended into a contest of wills, a battle between willfully ignorant fools and overtly flaming assholes - the later being not only in abundance, but IMO, comprise the majority (y'all sort out for yourselves which category you fit/haunt). Monte, Aaron and a few others should be wholly disgusted, if they in fact weren't long ago. What will it take to return this site to some civility, dignity, integrity, respectability, to actual (informed, sentient) debate versus continuous personal attack/insult, belittlement, prejudice reinforcement, etc.)? Is this really the best you people can do - all you have to offer the world? If so, forget about the approaching perfect shit-storm. As Madge said, "Relax, You're soaking in it". Please do not forget to wash your hands when y'all are done throwing peak-feces at each other. ("Hall of Flames" bound - again)
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby cube » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 14:58:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NotMyBlood', 'W')ell, I know alot of american taxes go to Oil Infrastructure and maintenance and god knows what else....I dont know the exact figure or breakdown.....
WRONG

Most American taxes goes to "entitlement programs"....just like Europe. What is that? It's government benefits that people feel "entitled to". It's the stuff that governments give to their citizens to keep them subdued and dependent so they will never rise up against the government....so long as the entitlement programs continue.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby Eli » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 15:00:11

I would ask the mods to remove the rant above it is completely off topic.

And remove this one too.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby NotMyBlood » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 17:52:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NotMyBlood', 'W')ell, I know alot of american taxes go to Oil Infrastructure and maintenance and god knows what else....I dont know the exact figure or breakdown.....
WRONG

Most American taxes goes to "entitlement programs"....just like Europe. What is that? It's government benefits that people feel "entitled to". It's the stuff that governments give to their citizens to keep them subdued and dependent so they will never rise up against the government....so long as the entitlement programs continue.


Well, I dont claim to know for certain, but I did read somewhere that the reason America has such cheap gas is because the Government(our taxes) gives the Oil Companies subsidies.

But, Like I said, I dont know much about it. I'm not doing the research either, its not that important to me.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby BigArnie » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 19:35:03

Geez, what a touchy bunch of buggers you are! I thought that the democracy that your government is so liberally spreading all around the world is all about freedom of speech. I guess I was wrong.

Anyways, you leave me no choice but to explain myself considering these allegations of trolling, despite the fact that I'm in no mood to type a thesis.

Right, let's recap, shall we:

This thread started with this statement:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'T')he only reason oil's not already 100 bucks a barrel is that so many 3rd world countries that could buy it at 30 bucks but can't at 75 bucks have dropped out of the bidding, thus creating "a lack of demand".


Even my very feeble little African mind was able to tell that this statement is just plain wrong. How come, you ask? Well, for starters did you know that the annual economic growth rate in sub-Saharan Africa has been above the world average for at least the last 10 years?

I won't go into specifics here for a lack of space but the fact is that our economy is not only growing; its positively booming. Sure, these are some of the poorest countries in the world we're talking about but please show me where exactly is this demand destruction you're claiming? I don't see it. Our roads are congested to the point of gridlock and it is just getting worse and worse. We are definitely still buying oil and lots of it!

What happened next? Zardoz responded to the original statement by saying this:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', 'T')hose who claim we can live with high oil prices have no idea of what is going on in the poorest parts of the world.

This is only the barest beginning.

Well, I do. I live here. I think I'm qualified to answer. I see abject poverty around me every day. There are probably at least TEN THOUSAND homeless people with NOTHING squatting within a radius of ten kilometres from where I stay.

The thing that you don't understand here is that, in most Africa countries, you've got two more or less separate societies living side by side. On the one hand you've got the homeless masses. These people are normally poorly skilled, unemployed and have pretty bleak prospects. My heart bleed for these people. They are my brothers and they suffer terribly.

On the other hand you've got the modern westernized society that operates along pretty similar lines to what you are used to in the USA. The important thing to keep in mind is that, when you're experiencing sustained economic growth, you get significant growth of the western segment of the economy.

In South Africa, for instance, it is estimated that at least FIVE MILLION people have joined the ranks of the westernised middle class during the last few years. It is this vast emerging middle class that is fuelling economic growth in Southern Africa. This is also true for all the countries neighbouring South Africa with one notable exception namely Zimbabwe which I would recommend that we leave as a topic for another discussion, though.

In fact, the economy of Mozambique, which was considered the poorest country in the world in the early nineties is growing at a sustained 10% plus per annum. That percentage of growth ranks right up there with China and India, might I add.

The bottom line is that the sustained economic growth in Africa (as a continent) which is sitting at around 5% per annum if I recall correctly has done nothing that indicates demand destruction.

The plot thickens:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MacG', 'S')o, let's see... North Korea gone, Cuba gone, sub-Saharan Africa gone... ehh... who's next? And after that?


Sub-Saharan Africa gone. Gone where? If I were to drop you off blindfolded at any one of a thousand places in sub-Saharan Africa before removing the blindfold and then asking you to name the place I bet you would say something like Perth, Australia or Los Angeles, California. In the Gauteng province of South Africa you can drive in a straight line for 200 kilometetres without leaving the city. I would be the first to admit that sub-Saharan Africa faces huge obstacles but to say that it is "gone" is, to say the least, offensive.

And so the story continues...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NotMyBlood', 'T')he rest of the world is poor, so what? They are use to it and probably happier people. Will sned them are leftovers (sic)...


If MacG's statement was offensive then this statement clocks right off the offensiveness-scale! Not worthy of further comment apart from the following: Come here and I'll show you where you can stuff your leftovers. 'Nuff said.

Then we got to this:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'P')eople have been turning a blind eye to Africa for a long time like it has already been said.

What is anyone supposed to do about Africa?

On the whole it seems like a terribly screwed up place. It is all tribal and sectarian, since the colonist's have left or been forced out it has only gotten worse. Disease, famine, poverty, ignorance, tribalism these are the things Africa can produce in abundance.


In actual fact there is a significant amount of truth in that statement. However, you have to ask yourself why this is so. Is it because us Africans are inferior human beings doomed to a life of misery and inadequacy due to our own inabilities? I don't think so. I think the blame for the sorry state of affairs in Africa lies squarely at the door of the former colonial powers who managed to subvert an entire continent through their vastly superior military and economic power. Even today, Africa is still being raped on a vast scale for its natural resources, almost all of which end up feeding the machines which make your cosy Western lifestyle possible. Your standard of living is more dependant on Africa than you might feel comfortable with.

Next up:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'I')f they put me in charge of Zimbabwe (and the riotous mobs didn't kill me for being a white overlord), I believe I could turn things around quite nicely (first step, stop raping and murdering random civilians).

Let me ask you this: Have you ever been to Zimbabwe, my dear friend? What makes you so sure that you can govern it, then? It would not take a rocket scientist to do a better job of governance than what Bob Mugabe is doing. ANYBODY off the street can do better than that deranged lunatic. He ranks right up there with Hitler, Stalin and, dare I say this, Dubya. :)

Did you know that, even though Zimbabwe is now by far the poorest country in the world, the flow of minerals out of that country continues unabated. Yes, the fact that western corporations own the lion's share of mining operations in Zimbabwe makes then complicit to what is happening over there in my book. Screw the limited sanctions; stop exploiting Zimbabwe's minerals before you start pointing fingers.

Some sanity enters the conversation:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'R')eally don't know about this Africa stuff too much. I know that a bunch of butchers run the show in some countries, and i'm guessing the US and Europe still have a ton of control over the resources there. I'd say that we here in the US will feel PO a hell of a lot more then some tribal warrior in Zaire.

I couldn't have said it any better myself.

Finally, I felt compelled to respond to all the nonsense that I read by saying this:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigArnie', 'H')aving lived in Africa all my life, I find it amusing how ill-informed Westerners are about what is really happening over here.

...after which all hell broke loose. Firstly I was told that I'm lying:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', 'Y')ou don't live in Africa any more than I do. You're as American as apple pie.

What an obvious troll...

...after which the conversation rapidly deteriorated.

Well, you want proof that I live in Africa. OK, here's my IP address: 196.209.90.53. If you care to do a check, you'll find that my ISP is ODS of Johannesburg, South Africa and the upline service provider is Internet Solutions.

Further, should you still not be satisfied then please PM me and I'll give you my mobile number and I'll be happy to respond to your call.

Also, should that still not satisfy you then I'll send you my placemark in Google Earth and I'll take a picture for you of me standing in front of that. That should suffice, don't you think?

Finally, we got to titbits like these:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'C')ountdown to BigArnies banishment 10..9..8..

I will bet you a million dollars that you are nothing but a useless ignorant internet troll, just wire the money to my Nigerian Bank account and I will prove it.

Well, I'll take you up on that bet any day.

...and...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NotMyBlood', 's')ometimes I think we should firebomb the place just to get rid of the "scam artists" from nigeria and other places. What kills me is that there are people who actually fall for their stupid broken english scams.....

I see. Now I am a Nigerian scam artist conversing in broken English. Well, forgive me but English is not my native language. I had to learn it at school. In fact, the first time I actually heard somebody use the English language was when I was eight years old. Still, I think that my grasp of this language is better than that of many American people that I encounter on the internet every day.

And that, dear friends, concludes this thesis. There's more that I'd like to comment on but I've got to go to work in the morning; I'm hitting the sack now.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby MC2 » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 19:41:49

What I've seen increasingly in the relatively short year-plus I've been here is that there is little room for a "rational" viewpoint, but plenty of room for over-the-top doomerism. Say a few words in any positive direction, like the thread below where I mentioned that ethanol is still going to have a big impact over the next few years, and you're immediately hit with straw man arguments and insinuations, including from moderators, for pete sakes!

I'm wondering if this place is worth investing any more time in. If you're not lock-step with key people on the issues, your viewpoint isn't wanted. Oh well, plenty of other places that have open minds about these issues.

http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic31065.html
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby Terrapin » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 20:23:19

Yup
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby NotMyBlood » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 21:34:49

BigArnie - was that so hard? You seem to have an inferiority complex when it comes to Western Countries. I can understand that. And I appreciate you taking the time to help us understand the situation in Africa. Speaking for myself, the only news I get about Africa is bad news. The movies, commercials, Bono concerts, celebrities preaching to everybody to give , give , give etc etc,. The mental picture I have is a state of complete chaos and poverty. It makes me feel "guilty" because I complain about "traffic". Its been like that my whole 36 years of life. Genocide, disease, poverty, etc etc.

One question that comes to mind, if there is so much economic growth then why am I "pressured" to give 10 dollars a month to help african children because I'm living such a "good" life? Shouldnt the people/governments experiencing 5% per annum economic growth try and take action to help the 10,000 homeless living around you? (I know its not that simple) But I still feel the question should be explored.

and i wanted to add, if you received the amount of spam email from nigeria you would want to firebomb the place too. (okay, firebombing is a little extreme:):). But really, ever try to sell something on craigslist???
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby joewp » Tue 31 Jul 2007, 23:18:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MC2', 'W')hat I've seen increasingly in the relatively short year-plus I've been here is that there is little room for a "rational" viewpoint, but plenty of room for over-the-top doomerism. Say a few words in any positive direction, like the thread below where I mentioned that ethanol is still going to have a big impact over the next few years, and you're immediately hit with straw man arguments and insinuations, including from moderators, for pete sakes!

I'm wondering if this place is worth investing any more time in. If you're not lock-step with key people on the issues, your viewpoint isn't wanted. Oh well, plenty of other places that have open minds about these issues.

http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic31065.html


Perhaps the problem is that thinking ethanol is going to have any impact except for raising food prices and lowering gas mileage is really what's irrational, considering the early returns on ethanol production in the US seem to indicate it uses more energy to produce than it delivers and it makes grains more expensive and makes cars more inefficient? Why do you object to the available evidence? Why are you not convinced that ethanol or any other biofuel is just trading food for fuel, eating for driving?

If you produce some evidence that ethanol can make any difference other than the negative ones it already has, then you might be considered something more than a cornucopian Pollyanna. You can surely find other sites that would happily discuss all sorts of alternative energy "solutions" and dream that you can continue to drive around for the rest of your life, but don't expect your wishes to become reality. They won't. Facts will get in the way, big time.

Good luck.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby Narz » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 01:04:07

Nice Arnie.
“Seek simplicity but distrust it”
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby Pretorian » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 04:14:44

For some unknown reason I knew that you are a white guy from Johannesburg or Pretoria. Do you know by any chance a family there which breeds German Sheferds dogs for a living?
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby BigArnie » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 04:32:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', 'F')or some unknown reason I knew that you are a white guy from Johannesburg or Pretoria. Do you know by any chance a family there which breeds German Sheferds dogs for a living?

:? So what has the color of my skin got to do with any of this? Why are people so obsessed by race? I see myself as an African. I can trace my direct ancestry in this country back to 1681. I am as much part of this country as anybody else.

And no, sorry, I don't know a family that breeds German Shepherds. But I'm sure there are many in the yellow pages. Do you want me to have a look for ya? Why, are you in the market for a new dog? I'm sure that you can source a fine specimen closer to home, though.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby BigArnie » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 04:38:26

Double post. Like many other things, our Internet connections are decidedly Third World over here.
Last edited by BigArnie on Wed 01 Aug 2007, 04:47:44, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby BigArnie » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 04:38:38

Double post.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby Pretorian » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 05:09:53

Your melanin got nothing to do with it. But since you are so jumpy about the race, let me ask you how did you country change in the last 15 years. How much money an average S-African were making back then and how much do they make now. What were the chances to get killed back then and now. Would you do it all over again if it wAS your choice?
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby BigArnie » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 05:43:48

I'm not jumpy about my race; I merely don't see its relevance to this discussion.

To answer your question: A lot of things have improved in the last 15 years but unfortunately a lot of other things are now worse than before. The scourge of this country is crime, which is at ridiculous levels compared to world standards. If it wasn't for crime, this country would have been very close to Utopia for a lot of people. Having said that, I cannot think of any friend, family member, colleague or acquaintance that has been affected by murder. It is still something that you only read about in the papers (touch wood).

Another thing is that we've got a very corrupt and incompetent government. There is a general arrogance amongst government officials and politicians which is sadly not backed up by the level of competence required to get the job done. What is worrisome is that, because South Africa is by far the economic powerhouse of sub-Saharan Africa, there is a lot riding on the continued success of SA's economy and governance. It things go wrong in South Africa, untold millions of people all over the subcontinent are bound to starve.

If fact, we've got a blueprint of exactly how bad things can go wrong just north of our border in Zimbabwe. It has been estimated that more than A THIRD of Zimbabwe's population is now illegally in South Africa in order to avoid starvation! The South African government has decided to look the other way, though. This huge flood of refugees is obviously putting a massive strain on the SA economy.

Would I do it over again, you ask? Do what? I was born in Africa as was the previous twelve generations of my clan. We have severed all family connections with Europe hundreds of years ago. I've got no intention of leaving.

Still, if things were to suddenly implode here, I would be left little choice. However, if this implosion coincides with the advent of worldwide peak oil, I'd much rather sit things out over here than in some Western country that is far more dependant on oil than we are.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby Pretorian » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 06:38:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigArnie', 'W')ould I do it over again, you ask? Do what?


i mean handling the country to Mbeke and alike. please tell about things that improved, i am really interested.
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby oiless » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 10:07:59

BigArnie, would I be correct in assuming that the high crime rate is a direct result of there being two distinct societies, the haves and the have-nots?
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Re: Here's what happens when you can't afford the energy any

Postby BigArnie » Wed 01 Aug 2007, 10:34:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('oiless', 'B')igArnie, would I be correct in assuming that the high crime rate is a direct result of there being two distinct societies, the haves and the have-nots?


At face value that seems to be the obvious answer but closer scrutiny reveals a different picture. If the huge disparity between the haves and the have nots was the cause of all this crime then why is this phenomenon absent in Namibia, Mozambique, Angola, Zambia, Tanzania, Malawi, Botswana and even Zimbabwe? Those countries have a far lower crime rate than South Africa, especially violent crime.

Also, I cannot see how rape can be fuelled by hunger (SA has the highest rape statistics in the world bar none).

No, the answer must lie with a government that does not want to do something about crime. Government officials are still denying that we have a problem! How can you address an issue if you don't see it as being an issue in the first place?

There is a general state of lawnessness in South Africa and, because SA has such a progressive constitution, this leads to the protection of the rights of criminals at the expense of their victims. We see it every day. Compounding this is the inefficiency of the entire justice system that puts far more criminals back on the street rather than behind bars where they belong.

Shockingly, a huge percentage of violent crimes in this country are perpetrated by illegal immigrants from the abovementioned countries. Those same criminals dare not commit similar crimes in their countries of orgin because back home the law has got real teeth.

IMHO this deplorable state of affairs will eventually be the undoing of this country.
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