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Money Creation Diagrammed

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Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby mmasters » Sat 21 Jul 2007, 18:43:42

A poster mailed me recently about the process so I thought I would make a diagram to show it to everyone.

This is how banks create money out of thin air and is the cause of around 90% of of what is called "core" inflation (that is inflation not accounting for inflation caused by oil and food). The other 10% comes from inflation from the fed itself.

So here's the process. The government wants money, it creates bonds. The fed comes and buys these bonds with account entries in a computer. This money comes into existance the moment the the government bonds are bought (and is essentially free funding for the government, the federal income tax pays the interest on this money). Whereafter, the government bonds are held in ownership by the fed and considered as "assets". This process of creating money out of thin air by the fed accounts for around 10% of core inflation.

The other 90% of core inflation comes from the fractional reserve banking system. Here's how it works.

In the example diagram below, the initial 1,000,000 cash deposit is fed money (from buying government bonds just as described).

After this initial one million is deposited it goes into the bank vault (even though much of the process is electronic today, the bank vault helps conceptualize the process). Following the deposit an account entry is made for this 1 million as a bank asset. And yes this is correct, it is considered a bank asset because the money is available to the bank. The court systems have ruled in the banks favor on this for hundreds of years.

So now that the bank has an asset of 1 million, someone comes to the bank looking for a loan of 900,000. What the bank does is it takes 900,000 from the 1 million deposited in the vault and loans it out.

As this money is loaned out a promissory note is created (which is a bond, mortgages are an example of this). The note represents a contract for the money loaned out and is equivelent to cash as it can be sold to a third party. This promissory note is the money created out of thin air as the previous depositors money was just loaned out.

And then this process described above repeats itself as the loaned out money makes its way back into the banking system once again. Essentially, the same cash enters and exits the bank like a revolving door. And this money keeps getting loaned out over and over in dimishing amounts (due to a 10% required reserve to be kept each time it is loaned out) all the while these promissory notes (or bonds) are created in tandem with the process. This is how our money is created via the banks:

Image

Also, as you can see the money is accounted in such a way that it "balances", this is how it is done on the bank balance sheet.

So if it isn't obvious already, if a large amount of people try to come and get their money out of the bank the bank can't provide it because it only has a reserve of 10% of people's money on hand. This was the problem with bank runs in the past. When the economy started to wane people went to get their physical money out of the bank en mass and the bank simply couldn't provide it and shut their doors.

Funny how we have the same exact banking system today, except people trust it more.

Before the fed was put into place, the government would mandate gold and silver money and the banks would create money off of that money like just described above. Individual bank runs were common and this is what eventually led to the people accepting a central bank or what is today the federal reserve. What the federal reserve does is act as a safety net in that if a bank run happens on a bank that is a member of the federal reserve system the fed can create new money out of thin air to pay the people that are trying to get the money out of their bank so "all is well". It is a crazy scheme but the banks have gained the trust of the general public and people have been taught to keep their money in the bank in instruments like CDs and money market accounts. And that's part of the key, as long as people trust the banking system is safe, it is safe. It is a faith based system. This is why the fed is very careful on what they say to the public because if people lose confidence in the economy their reaction could lead to a loss of trust in the system and a messy banking crisis as a result.

Another thing to note is that as these promissory notes are paid off they essentially vanish into nothing. And if all these notes in existance were paid off there would be no money in circulation in the economy. So today if people stop taking on more debt and work like crazy to pay off their current debt the amount of money in the economy would drop considerably. It's a sad fact to know that we are completely dependant on the banking system and are essentially working for it.

The benefit for the banks is tremendous because they get to charge interest on all this money they effortlessly create. If you take the initial 1 million in the example with a 10% reserve ratio as shown and the resulting 10 million created loaned out at 9% interest on average and 3% interest on average is paid to their deposit holders. That's 6% interest profit times 10 or roughly 60% interest profit based off of that initial 1 million loaned out. So $600,000 take 50,000 or so out for the bank's operational costs and you get the idea...

Banks are the most profitable companies in the world.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Sat 21 Jul 2007, 21:15:12

We need more stuff like this, something like Venn diagrams or Feynman diagrams, to explain it, because it is a little bit complicated and Americans are not taught anything about this.

Frankly, I'd like to see a "Schoolhouse Rock" type thing done on this - it should not be too hard. Most of us only know the preamble to the Constitution because of those things.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Sun 22 Jul 2007, 03:15:21

Good explanation, MM. It's something everybody should be taught at school - it's amazing how many people are kept in ignorance of this integral part of life.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby seahorse » Sun 22 Jul 2007, 10:28:33

Hi MM,

I meant to tell you thanks also. Its appreciated.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby dukey » Sun 22 Jul 2007, 11:32:52

paying interest on the money the fed created for free is mind bendingly stupid, yet this is what we do.

Actually I live in the uk, but we have exactly the same system here.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby jupiters_release » Sun 22 Jul 2007, 11:58:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ferrelgiraffe', 'O')ne question.
Why doesn't the government just fire them and create the digital money out of thin air then they won't have to pay any interest?


JFK already tried that, didn't get him very far.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby jupiters_release » Sun 22 Jul 2007, 12:01:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ferrelgiraffe', 'P')OWRARS - Peak oil will remove all retards soon.


Actually the Federal Reserve is the most brilliant business model ever created. Funny if you think peakoil's gonna stop it.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Sun 22 Jul 2007, 15:33:56

Yep JFK tried it, they capped his ass.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby jboogy » Mon 23 Jul 2007, 19:41:34

explained very nicely MM, silver bear cafe.com has a lot of fundamental finance stuff.can get a pretty good basic understanding of money stuff there.I think Ron Paul has some legislation floating around to ban the FED.chances of it passing?million to one
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby mmasters » Mon 23 Jul 2007, 20:36:46

Thanks all, it took a good bit of research to get to an understanding of the truth. I'm happy to make it easier for others.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ferrelgiraffe', 'O')ne question.
Why pay interest to the federal reserve at all?

Why doesn't the government just fire them and create the digital money out of thin air then they won't have to pay any interest?
In fact they could just cancel the interest by passing a lw=aw that says, we don't owe any money to the federal reserve anymore, and if they don't like it we'll get into another british war about it.

Wouldn't that open some eyes?

The government doesn't mind paying interest because they don't pay it with their money, the federal income tax pays for it out of the peoples' money.

The government could fire them if they agreed to do so, but agreeing to do so would most certainly mean assassinations and an economic crisis. These things have happened when people have tried to abolish central banks in the past. Some of these attempts proved successful however the current Central Banks are many many times more powerful than any previous ones that have ever existed.

There's a proverb that goes "the borrower is servent to the lender" in this case the government is servent to the Central Bank. Additionally you have backround pro-CB groups like the CFR that have come to dominate political circles. Since the 1940s nearly ALL Presidential candidates have been CFR members. The UN was founded by CFR members; the CIA had its beginnings in being dominated by CFR members; etc... they've got their mitts in everything.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby Bas » Mon 23 Jul 2007, 20:40:48

Very nicely explained MMasters; Elijah, indeed the Fed (or any other Central Bank) would be forced to print money like hell in case of a massive bank run (which we will no doubt see some time in the future) which will in turn lead to hyperinflation, directly opposed to a central bank's stated prime objective of price stability. Another thing they could do is force the member banks to call in all their outstanding loans, forcing businesses to close and most likely to go bankrupt in which case they cannot pay back their loans in full, still bankrupting the bank(s) and destroying huge amounts of money: while this "route" (which was taken in the early thirties, leading up to the great depression) doesn't create much inflation, it does bring the economy to it's knees.

So we have the route of widespread bankrupcies and money destruction or massive inflation and all the economic problems that causes; I don't think either course of action would be equally bad in the situation where peak oil starts to strike in earnest. Probably a course will be taken somewhere between these two "extremes" but the economic result would be as bad in the end (or maybe even worse); economic decline, crisis and uncertainty.



A few notes: Banks are indeed very profitable businesses, a big part of modern economies (also in terms of employment) and they make the most money out of this money creation "scheme". The comparatively small amount that the central banks make go to the government. Also in countries where the central banks are an independent part of government, the track record of controlling inflation is much, much better (this cannot be overstated)than in countries where politicians have direct access to the printing press.

Under normal circumstances, indeed 90% of inflation is created by the growth of money supply; this is also when inflation typically is low (between 0-2%). When the economy is overheating, and the labormarket is tight, inflation usually goes up, as the costs of labor go up; this is called wage inflation. Finally we have raw resources (peak oil) which can push up the prices like they did in the early 80's: this prompted central banks to restrict the money supply resulting in the famous situation of stagflation: a situation in which the economy stalls or shrinks because of a lack of affordable capital for investment and rising prices because of expensive resources; we are very likely to face again in the not too distant future.
Last edited by Bas on Mon 23 Jul 2007, 21:12:18, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby jboogy » Mon 23 Jul 2007, 20:58:39

Inflation rate is substantially higher than they tell the public,core inflation # is an outright scurrilous lie,if the gubmint can remove anything with erratic,upwards price volatility then what's the 'frickin point?Hmmmm..... maybe we should remove healthcare costs from the index since it's gotten so expensive, Duhhh,OK, while we're at it shouldn't the cost of energy,food and higher education also be excised?I mean for GOD'S sake have you seen what a gallon of gas or milk costs lately?We've had rampant inflation WITH asia storing hundreds of billions of our dollars,we're gonna be friggin zimbabway if one of the asians decide to dump a substantial portion of their dollars, cause if one decides to dump then Katy bar the door ,they're all gonna stampede for the exits. [smilie=new_blowingup.gif]
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby Bas » Mon 23 Jul 2007, 21:42:39

Another thing:

The particular situation of America with it's big government and trade balance deficit, plus the fact that the dollar is less and less seen as the world's reserve currency make it very complicated for the fed to manage the value of the dollar. For fifty years America has been exporting dollars at an ever increasing pace. This never caused inflation as there was plenty of demand around the world for the dollar. However, in the last ten years, the rubble, euro, and yuan have become more important relative to the dollar at a time when America's deficits have reached record levels: resulting in a falling dollar and loss of international confidence in the dollar. Now if these mountains of dollars that have been exported over the last half century start to flow back into America in a relative short period of time, this would mean the collapse of the American financial sector and the economy. But since the American economy is considered so important to the world economy the big central banks of the world are buying up (or at least not selling) potentially worthless dollars to support it's value. This won't continue forever though and there are already signs (a falling dollar) that the national central banks are starting to understand that all they are doing is subsidizing the American economy and are just delaying the inevitable; the collapse of the dollar.

Rising oil prices won't save the dollar either. Such price rises used to support the dollar because they were needed for oil transactions. However with eroding confidence internationally, more and more of these transactions are done only in name of the dollar (the bill being in dollars, but the actual transactions done in other currencies at the current exchange rate) or not in dollars at all; for instance the planned rubble oil exchange in Russia. So all in all, America can expect a double whammy: Whereas most countries will only have to deal with peak oil, the peak oil induced crisis will most likely also mean the end of the dollar.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 24 Jul 2007, 02:32:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', ' ') This promissory note is the money created out of thin air as the previous depositors money was just loaned out.


Or vice versa, as it doesn't matter which, as it is just a ledger entry.

Mr Bill has been telling everyone this is hogwash, that banks don't create money as MM laid out and I have been arguing for three years.

What does this tell you about what will happen when growth is no longer possible and all the loans stop, hmmm?

This:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o today if people stop taking on more debt and work like crazy to pay off their current debt the amount of money in the economy would drop considerably.


Just like the Great Depression, maybe permanent this time.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 24 Jul 2007, 02:34:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jupiters_release', 'A')ctually the Federal Reserve is the most brilliant business model ever created. Funny if you think peakoil's gonna stop it.


Peak oil is going to stop growth. And that is all that is needed.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby Battle_Scarred_Galactico » Tue 24 Jul 2007, 04:57:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jupiters_release', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ferrelgiraffe', 'P')OWRARS - Peak oil will remove all retards soon.


Actually the Federal Reserve is the most brilliant business model ever created. Funny if you think peakoil's gonna stop it.


I'm hoping this statement in ironic, I really can't tell.

Any fool can run this type of pyramid scheme as long as the base (resource) is always increasing.
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Re: Money Creation Diagrammed

Unread postby pedalling_faster » Tue 24 Jul 2007, 10:47:28

thanks for the explanation.

care to take a shot at explaining derivatives & hedge funds ? ( in detail, with a diagram ... Please ? )
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