[m31]

Hello nice people

I've recently become obsessed with tracking each country's oil production back to 1900.

I'm doing pretty well but I've come here looking for help.

From 1980 to the present I've got EIA data.
From 1926 to 1979 I have 20th Century Petroleum Stats data via the Norwegian Stats Office.
1900 to 1925 is a bit patchy, I have OPEC covered, and North America and a few others.

The main country I would like info for is the FSU, but three of the other bigger ones are Romania, Poland and Peru.

I know 20th C Pet Stats go back to 1918, so I would love to have their data for the 1918 to 1925 period.

In the interests of data sharing, the collation of my research is available at http://www.members.optusnet.com.au/~msd ... m_1900.xls

Cheerful Regards
M31

[Laughs_Last]

Russia 1874 0.6m bbl (mostly baku) - from Yergin
Russia 1884 10.8m bbl (mostly baku) from Yergin
USSR 1987 4.62 g bbl from http://www.mnforsustain.org/oil_duncan_ ... ng_oil.htm
FSU 1996 2.61 g bbl from http://www.mnforsustain.org/oil_duncan_ ... ng_oil.htm

[korosten]

Your data collection is impressive! How did you compute the future production values? The chart in sheet 1 looks like the world prouduction. What is the projected peak in this scenario, it looks like 2007?
Chantal

[Laughs_Last]

[s]That isn't my data, I just used Google and cited the source. I used the phrase "production figures".[/s]
Never mind, I was confused.

[m31]

To Korosten

My future projections are really basic. For crude I've just added the ODAC megaprojects to the totals for each year, minus 4% as an underlying depletion rate. Post 2012 I've reduced the depletion rate for no particular reason. For NGPL, I've assumed 2% growth while gas prodn grows, and then I'm declining at 2% from 2015. I've assumed Other Liquids to keep growing and I left Refinery gain flat for lack of any other ideas.

Overall peak is around 2010.

I was less trying to pick peak than to see how different decline rates affect the volume available a few decades in the future.


To Laughs Last

Thanks for the data items. I hadn't actually seen any Russian data points prior to 1900 before.

Cheerful Regards
M31