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THE War in Iraq Thread pt 2 (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Solar Power potential & the cost of Iraq war

Unread postby oilfreeandhappy » Mon 28 Aug 2006, 15:24:48

I marched against the Iraqi War, as did millions around the planet. Solar and wind won't power automobiles, unless they are electric cars. Middle East oil will power automobiles.

Every time a new highway is built, we can ask ourselves, how many wind turbines could have been erected? Or how many solar panels could have been purchased? The subsidies for our "way of life" continue to multiply exponentially, while other technologies get lip service.
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spin-off. what if we had not invaded iraq?

Unread postby SinisterBlueCat » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 18:46:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheTurtle', 'H')e's got to be high on the oppression scale.
So nobody suggested Saddam Hussein then? We gaily bombed Iraq to Expletive deleted. to get rid of Saddam, then stand idly by while Robbie Adult content deleted. his country.Now tell me it's not about oil.
it was not about oil. it is not about iraq either. it is about our (meaning the us) continued economic dominance.

so what would have happened if the us had not invaded iraq, and they did indeed start trading oil for euros? and then iran got into the act too? did the war in iraq only postpone the inevitable, or has something fundamental changed?
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Re: spin-off. what if we had not invaded iraq?

Unread postby rogerhb » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 18:53:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SinisterBlueCat', 'a')nd they did indeed start trading oil for euros?
They were. They were doing quite well of it thank you. The Iranian Oil Bourse is, alas, over hyped. Internal squabbles, differing goals etc.
The question is what is Russia going to do with it's oil and gas, it wants to trade in roubles and has Europe in a corner, Iraq war is irrelevant to that and Putin is energy-literate.
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Re: spin-off. what if we had not invaded iraq?

Unread postby TheTurtle » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 18:54:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SinisterBlueCat', 'i')t was not about oil ... so what would have happened if the us had not invaded iraq, and they did indeed start trading oil for euros?
Er ... doesn't that mean it WAS about oil? :? If oil didn't matter, we wouldn't care if it was traded for euros, yuan or even piles of moldy, old kip.
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Re: spin-off. what if we had not invaded iraq?

Unread postby Pretorian » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 19:39:58

US could have a way better oil-deal with Hussein than without.. . He would give away everything just for letting him be. The invasion wasnt about oil for your SUV, at least not mainly for it. It had another reason
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Re: spin-off. what if we had not invaded iraq?

Unread postby rogerhb » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 20:11:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', 'I')t had another reason
(a) Cheney had this report commissioned which had some interesting maps.
(b) Bush wanted to be remembered as a war president (he got his wish) and "Saddam tried to kill my daddy".
(c) Rumsfeld, get everything related and not.
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Re: spin-off. what if we had not invaded iraq?

Unread postby SinisterBlueCat » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 21:13:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheTurtle', 'E')r ... doesn't that mean it WAS about oil? :? If oil didn't matter, we wouldn't care if it was traded for euros, yuan or even piles of moldy, old kip.
i apologize. mostly when i talk with people about this sort of thing, they think "having to do with oil" means allowing them to continue driving their SUVs!
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Re: spin-off. what if we had not invaded iraq?

Unread postby SinisterBlueCat » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 21:16:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', 'U')S could have a way better oil-deal with Hussein than without.. . He would give away everything just for letting him be. The invasion wasnt about oil for your SUV, at least not mainly for it. It had another reason


what other reason? i did not think it was because of bush sr. i thought sort of because of oil for your suv, and thought mostly likely to keep oil trading in usd.

if it is none of these...then what?
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Re: spin-off. what if we had not invaded iraq?

Unread postby TheTurtle » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 21:17:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SinisterBlueCat', 'i') apologize. mostly when i talk with people about this sort of thing, they think "having to do with oil" means allowing them to continue driving their SUVs!


Ahhh ... the fault lies with me, then. I don't drive an SUV. :P
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Would Americans support war in Iraq if they were starving?

Unread postby seldom_seen » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 02:39:33

Most people don't support the war in Iraq for obvious reasons, but they're also not starving.

What if people in the US were actually starving. A widespread famine from coast to coast based on increased population and decreased agricultural output. There just wasn't enough food to get to everyone's mouth.

The POTUS comes on television and says "My fellow Americans, these are hard times for all of us. Our topsoils are depleted. The only way to increase our agricultural output is to use military force to seize our god given oil that lies under the countries of the middle east. I also want you to know that anyone that signs up for military service will get three meals a day."

Am I mistaken in thinking that this would be a very popular war? Like a 90+ approval rating. If a war in the middle east will save your babies life, isn't that worth more than all the sheiks of araby or the princes of persia?
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Re: Would Americans support war in Iraq if they were starvin

Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 02:57:03

Absolutely.

In fact, if no wars for oil means in the US it's bicycles and Birkenstocks for most of us, most of us would be beating the war drums to death.

I'm ready for bicycles and birkenstocks, but almost all 'Merkans are not, not at all.
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Re: Would Americans support war in Iraq if they were starvin

Unread postby Twilight » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 11:02:27

I doubt the public support profile would look any different to how it looks now. Massive initial endorsement, followed by a wait for return on investment. And wait. And wait. Discouragement. And cutting of losses. Traditionally the "sell" in an impoverished nation with no democratic outlet takes the form of uprising or minimisation of cooperation with the authorities. The psychology of investment doesn't alter a great deal even if you're cutting zeros off the amount of wealth people have.
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Re: Would Americans support war in Iraq if they were starvin

Unread postby RonMN » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 15:41:37

I doubt we'd have to be "starving"...just cut 5% of the gasoline supply so there wasn't quite enough & a few winter days with no nat-gas & everything would be hunkey-dory with the iraq war...and any other wars we decided would improve our life-styles.

Yup! 98+ % approval ratings!
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Should the rest of the world help pay for the Iraq war?

Unread postby ClassicSpiderman » Fri 20 Jul 2007, 12:45:16

One of the criticisms of US foreign policy in the Middle East is that the US government spends hundreds of billions of dollars a year to maintain a military presence there which can be seen as an energy subsidy (that protects the energy supply and allows oil companies to modernize oil extraction in Iraq). The huge US naval presence in the Straits of Hormuz is classic gunboat diplomacy aimed directly at Iran.

The US has to import 60% of the oil that it uses, but according to statistics most of this does not actually come from the Middle East, but from Canada, Venezuela, etc. However, if Iran chose to reduce oil production to a halt, it could wreak worldwide economic havoc by doubling the price.

If the Iraq war is a direct (or indirect) consequence of making sure to maintain the "American way of life", this 'subsidy' does not only benefit Americans. What about other countries that import a lot of oil who have stayed out of the whole Iraq mess? Why aren't they paying their fair share?

I admit, there is a certain amount of sarcasm in this post, but my point is this: as beneficial that US foreign policy may be to corporate interests and artificially lowers the true cost of oil for US consumers, it is the US citizens who bear the burden of seeing their tax dollars spent on military adventurism that also artificially lowers the price of oil for other countries (China, several European countries, etc).

If the US were to completely drop the oil subsidy (in the form of military outlays), it would certain hurt the US economy, but it would hurt it's competitors' as well (such as China). If we agree that George Bush is a sociopath and wants to bring down the whole world with him, the greatest death blow that he could do to his critics and enemies would be proclaim he's turned a new leaf and he will heed the call of "Yankee Go Home".
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Re: Should the rest of the world help pay for the Iraq war?

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Fri 20 Jul 2007, 12:53:22

To be fair, the Europeans weren't exactly getting their oil from the Iraqis at gunpoint before the war started. We sure are.
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Re: Should the rest of the world help pay for the Iraq war?

Unread postby mekrob » Fri 20 Jul 2007, 13:02:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hy aren't they paying their fair share?


Much of the ME oil goes to the Far East (China, S. Korea, Japan, etc). Since these are the nations that we borrow money from in order to finance our war and that know that we will probably never be able to fully pay them back, then they are, in a way, paying their 'fair' share. Just not in blood.
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Re: Should the rest of the world help pay for the Iraq war?

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Fri 20 Jul 2007, 13:12:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ClassicSpiderman', '
')If the US were to completely drop the oil subsidy (in the form of military outlays), it would certain hurt the US economy, but it would hurt it's competitors' as well (such as China).


I wouldn't be assured of such a foregone conclusion. Trading contracts between parties independent of the U.S. have existed in the past and, by all accounts, will increase in the future, despite the U.S. increasing tensions in the region. With a U.S. withdrawal from the region, the support for the petrodollar would collapse, but oil would still be traded with other global partners, and dare I suggest a normalization would occur in other countries' relations with the ME, perhaps allowing for further exploration and resource recovery in the future than is possible under the current U.S.-dominated scenario.
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Re: Should the rest of the world help pay for the Iraq war?

Unread postby Alcassin » Fri 20 Jul 2007, 13:27:10

:lol:

This is funny, yeah, let them pay for US mistakes... Did US pay Russians for their war in Afghanistan? Preposterous. :lol:
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Re: Should the rest of the world help pay for the Iraq war?

Unread postby gmin » Fri 20 Jul 2007, 13:29:19

it's like your taxi driver's speeding so he can unload you fast and then pick up his wife on time. your protests fall on deaf ears.
the driver's stopped by a cop and gets a speeding ticket, will you help paying for it? the driver's speeding could have saved you time.

other powers objected the war before it started, they liked their solutions better. and they don't love US any more than you would love a taxi driver.
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Re: Should the rest of the world help pay for the Iraq war?

Unread postby Mircea » Fri 20 Jul 2007, 14:01:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ClassicSpiderman', 'O')ne of the criticisms of US foreign policy in the Middle East is that the US government spends hundreds of billions of dollars a year to maintain a military presence there which can be seen as an energy subsidy (that protects the energy supply and allows oil companies to modernize oil extraction in Iraq). The huge US naval presence in the Straits of Hormuz is classic gunboat diplomacy aimed directly at Iran.


You don't understand US Middle East Policy.

In the first place, Iraq was modernizing its oil extraction prior to the war, it just wasn't doing it with US or British oil and oil service companies. In other words, Halliburton and the US/UK oil companies weren't getting a piece of the pie.

In the second place, not only was Iraq modernizing its oil extraction, it was preparing to award bids to dozens of foreign oil and oil service companies to explore and develop oil in nine geologic tracts running from the Persian Gulf to the Syrian border. However, Iraq would not accept bids from US or British oil companies, although two unknown British oil service companies did make bids. However, again, Halliburton and the US/UK oil companies weren't getting a piece of the pie.

I posted a map of the 9 geologic tracts and a 4 page list of all the companies bidding. Those documents were obtained by court order under the Freedom of Information Act by another party.

Third, the US military presence in the Middle East is not intended to protect oil, it's there to gain access to Central Asia. This might come as a suprise to you, but Central Asia is land-locked. Access is limited. You can't exactly load oil and natural gas on to planes and fly it out of Central Asia. The US has to gain control of the countries that border the Central Asian states, so that it can run pipelines through them.

Fourth, Iran wouldn't cut off oil supplies to the world any more than the US would out-law sports and sporting events. The bulk of Iran's revenues are from the sale of oil and natural gas, not the sale of Persian rugs and plastic statues of Persiopolis.

And finally, it's extraordinarily ethno-centric to assume that the rest of the planet would be affected by oil in the same way the US and Canada would be. While you might need Arabian Light because it produces a high volume of gasoline so you can drive your SUV, the rest of the world does not.
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