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Oil report: Broad effort needed to satiate energy demand

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Oil report: Broad effort needed to satiate energy demand

Unread postby cudabachi » Thu 19 Jul 2007, 10:45:57

http://www.iht.com/bin/print.php?id=6718453

WASHINGTON: It started with a simple question by Samuel Bodman, the energy secretary: "What does the future hold for oil and natural gas supply?"

The query was made in October 2005 in a one-page letter sent to Lee Raymond, the former chairman of Exxon Mobil and head of the National Petroleum Council, a federal advisory group representing the oil industry.

After nearly two years, Raymond has finally delivered his answer. The result is a colossal 476-page study entitled "Facing the Hard Truths About Energy" that involved 350 participants, suggestions from over 1,000 people, submissions by 19 foreign governments from Australia to Saudi Arabia, and dozens of subcommittees.

The report, which was made public in Washington on Wednesday, was billed as one of the most comprehensive analysis of the global energy challenge.

In answering Bodman's question, it also provides a sobering picture of the energy problem facing the United States and the world. Most strikingly, some of the recommendations adopted by the petroleum council also probably far exceed what Bodman had in mind, or what the Bush administration is prepared to endorse.
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Re: Oil report: Broad effort needed to satiate energy demand

Unread postby cudabachi » Thu 19 Jul 2007, 10:48:00

I liked this one:

Given that the report reflects the views of the oil industry, some of its conclusions would seem hardly surprising, for example in dismissing predictions from so-called peak oil theorists that the world's oil deposits are on the decline. Quite the contrary, the industry's view is that the world's resources remain abundant.

"Fortunately, the world is not running out of energy resources," the report says in a 40-page summary. "Coal, oil and natural gas will remain indispensable to meeting total projected energy demand growth."
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Re: Oil report: Broad effort needed to satiate energy demand

Unread postby Zardoz » Thu 19 Jul 2007, 11:20:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')Fortunately, the world is not running out of energy resources," the report says in a 40-page summary. "Coal, oil and natural gas will remain indispensable to meeting total projected energy demand growth."

Well, those two sentences are technically correct, aren't they? Coal, oil, and gas sure as hell are indispensible, and will remain so. The only thing wrong here is the implication that we have a ghost of a chance of meeting demand growth, which we don't.

We are not "running out" of energy resources. We have at least a trillion barrels of recoverable oil left. God knows how much coal is left. There's a lot of gas down there. We're going to be extracting all that stuff for a very long time.

The point we've been making all along is not that we're about to run out, but that production of oil is certainly going to start dropping off very soon, if in fact it hasn't already. Supply is right on the verge of not meeting demand. That is some people's definition of Peak Oil right there, because of the severe effects it will have on every aspect of everyone's life.

We don't have to "run out" for things to start going south on us. Not at all. Just running short will be plenty bad enough.

When supply can't meet demand, chaos will ensue. The only question is how severe the chaos will be. How hard will TS hit TF?
"Thank you for attending the oil age. We're going to scrape what we can out of these tar pits in Alberta and then shut down the machines and turn out the lights. Goodnight." - seldom_seen
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Re: Oil report: Broad effort needed to satiate energy demand

Unread postby frankthetank » Thu 19 Jul 2007, 12:01:29

Not to mention the record China auto sales and the worlds growing population. This can't end good.
lawns should be outlawed.
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Re: Oil report: Broad effort needed to satiate energy demand

Unread postby MC2 » Thu 19 Jul 2007, 12:07:24

Here's a link to the summary report. Pretty good reading, and great dancing around the subject by highly paid wordsmiths.

http://www.npc.org/Facing_Hard_Truths-summary.pdf
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Re: Oil report: Broad effort needed to satiate energy demand

Unread postby Twilight » Thu 19 Jul 2007, 15:42:59

Typical fare, look tough asking tough questions, knowing the response will be all strawmen and dancing around semantics.

Note to the news media. Remember this handy phrase.

"That's not the question."

Never look like a fool again!
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Re: Oil report: Broad effort needed to satiate energy demand

Unread postby MC2 » Thu 19 Jul 2007, 15:56:56

The Oil Drum has an excellent analysis of this report:

http://www.theoildrum.com/node/2789
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Re: Oil report: Broad effort needed to satiate energy demand

Unread postby TreebeardsUncle » Thu 19 Jul 2007, 17:06:14

Well, tptb around here, should make it clear to the press that the peak oilist position is not that oil will be running out, but that production will peak. Perhaps, the expression peak production should be used rather than peak oil. Peak oil production may be too long and complicated for reporters to use in a glib dismissive sound bite.

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