by smiley » Wed 11 Jul 2007, 14:53:26
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'I') guess my question is whether the one with manual skills is better off in a declining economy than one with political, organizational, persuasive or other office skills.
Of course there are always those willing to be led, organized and persuaded. The problem seems to me is there are many, many with some amount of non-skilled talents – and I ain’t talking about laborers.
That is an interesting question.
I guess on the long term you're right. The industrial revolution was a replacement of manual labor by machines. When the energy to fuel these machines runs out, and by lack of replacement energy, the natural thing is a switch back to manual labor.
So manual labor is going to become more important and more appeciated.
But realisticly that is not going to happen overnight. I guess that in the next few years the economy is going to slump into recession. And I don't expect this recession to be much different from past recessions, except that this one is not going to end (soon).
That means that we'll see mergers (economy of scale), we'll see mass lay-offs, we'll see off-shoring, we'll see immigrants taking over jobs for below minimum wages. Many of these things are happening already.
These are very bad things for skilled craftsmen.
So yes eventually you're right, but not on the short to medium term.