by TheDude » Thu 28 Jun 2007, 05:52:56
If you want to debate Simmon's sincerity you could see what they think of him at the Oil Drum, where this issue is analyzed in real nuts-and-bolts fashion. You can build a site like that purely from fifth columnists.
You are right to question what we really know about the situation, but the experience of the US in 1973 extrapolated to the world and the present should be plenty enough to worry about what we face, without having to consider every last aspect of the political leanings of the parties involved. Hubbert was right then, will he be right this time as well? I think so; counterarguments that push the peak further into the future really fall flat based on the evidence presented by the likes of Simmons. I've heard it said that he's just trying to create panic to make a killing on investments, though. The data is still there though, and also from Campbell, Deffeyes, etc. Are they all hucksters? Is it all BS? Certainly it's in our best interests to prepare for trouble at any rate.
Even if the USGS is right and oil peaks in 2020 shouldn't we be making the most of the we have?
Cogito, ergo non satis bibivi
And let me tell you something: I dig your work.