by Nano » Thu 14 Jun 2007, 12:13:40
I found out that the main reason nobody believes in imminent peak oil is the lack-of-investment argument. Given the fact we had crushing low oil-prices in the 80's and again in the 90's, MBA-touting accountants fired most of the E&P personnel in the big oil companies in favour of more MBA-touting accountants which has made it almost impossible to ramp-up oil production this decade.
All the former E&P employees are now self-employed contractors costing twice as much which makes every invested $ only go half as far. Probably 9-10 colleagues I talk to that ridicule peak oil outright agree that lack of investment is the *only reason* we have limited oil supply at the moment. If I would even *hint* that I take imminent peak oil seriously I would probably be fired instantly for being a lunatic and a doomer. Luckily for me, there is the online PO community!
Probably the WWF guy is a player who knows he cannot openly take PO seriously, because then his name would also come on a black list and he would not get access to the big corporations any longer. You should have asked your question in private and then you might have gotten a different answer.
Also, never openly admit or suggest you believe in peak oil, unless you are a pensioner or are rich enough to survive without a job, or unless you don't have an energy related job to start with and have no ambitions in this sector of course.