by pup55 » Sat 19 May 2007, 23:38:01
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t's the world's most profitable company, but Exxon is plowing a smaller percentage of its spare cash back into the business
The writer conveniently uses gross sales to make this point, but "percent of spare cash" to make the point about reinvestment (sloppy logic). Of course XOM is the most profitable company in the world. Their sales, at 337 billion dollars, is about the same as the GDP of Norway.
On a percent basis, although they are doing moderately well now, Exxon's numbers are not exceptional. Their net operating margin (sales minus cost of goods sold) is 20% right now, making it much less profitable than google (33%) and microsoft (39%). If you want to go back to 2001, they were only making about 10% operating margin, and on the order of 6% after taxes, which is not even average for the SP500.
XOM 2003 Annual Report
So the greedy stockholders of XOM are finally getting to do a little better. Over the last 5 years, they have been a pretty reasonable investment, roughly doubling the stock price. Nothing compared to google or some of the other high tech businesses.
More to the point, the management of Exxon is responsible for one thing, and one thing only, which is to increase the wealth of the shareholders. When they can accomplish this better by investing in more exploration, production, and refinery capacity, they will. Right now, they are not confident that the current pricing regime is stable enough to give them a predictable return on one or more of the above projects, so it makes sense to them to buy back stock.
It's risky, spending billions on refineries, giant offshore drilling platorms, huge tankers, and the like, and they are afraid that the oil prices will go back down to the 90's levels, thus leaving them holding the bag, and it's a pretty big bag.