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Guys, I need your point of view...

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Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby UFCjunkie » Sat 12 May 2007, 12:46:10

It's like this...

I have a apartment that I bought. After I bought it I have put almost all my savings into it. I have bought everything new. New kitchen, new bathroom, new floors, painted everything else everything new.

As I said I have put all my savings into it.

Now Im scared as hell that I never will get my money back because the "coming" economic crash will make my apartment unsellable and all the money I have planed to use for "the escape" will be lost.

When I talk to my friends about this and I say I want to sell they ALL say Im crazy. They say:
- Don't you want have a nice home to come home to? Don't you want a new home? Your never going to lose your money, your value will only get bigger and bigger. This city is expanding alot apartments is going to be more and more expensive...and so on...and so on...

The world that we talk about on this board is SO far away from the world that the people around me are talking about, two different dimensions. I'm so f****** confused. For me it's alot of money and I feel that I have to make the right decision, right now.

I think about this alot and I really don't know what to do but to sell as soon as possible. I think I'm going to sell at the end of this summer and move to a rental apartment. I stay here for the summer and then I hopefully sell it and make some money of it too. But the main thing is that I get the money back that I put in the apartment.
I live in Sweden, Northern Europe.

So, do any of you guys have some advices of what the best thing do in my situation? :cry:
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby MrMambo » Sat 12 May 2007, 13:43:59

I think you already know the answer. If it is possible to sell it now for a fairly high price, such as 80-90% what you have invested in it (only a loss of between 10-20%) you prevent that you later loose 60-70% of the value and.

If your lucky maybe you havent even started loosing marked value yet? Then its a no-brainer conclution: "Sell!!!!!!"

But what you don't want to do when you sell it is have the money as money. You should then reinvest it in a place wich has a better future in a post peak world, and perhaps some useful equpment. Some people would also suggest you buy some gold.

Tips would be property with farmland, close to freshwater and maybe rail and electric powerlines so that you might benefit from some modern world comforts.

Solar panels or wind-turbines could perhaps be a good idea, especially if you can build a community solar power plant, or community wind-turbines and share the investment for a more efficient solution.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Sheb » Sat 12 May 2007, 14:05:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UFCjunkie', 'W')hen I talk to my friends about this and I say I want to sell they ALL say Im crazy.


It sounds like the only decision you really need to make right now is whether or not to list the property.

Once listed, you would only need to make the decision to sell once you had offers come in. So just list the place and see what happens.

Remember, listing is not a commitment sell. However, not listing is a commitment to not sell (at least, not until you do list the property).

And in the mean time, it will give you more time to read, and think over future plans.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sat 12 May 2007, 14:26:13

Well, why should an apartment in the city be a death trap?

I certainly don't expect the world to fall apart completely any time soon, and nor should you.

Wouldn't you rather be in an urban area where the jobs will be, rather than trapped in suburbia?

And could you really support yourself on a farm?

I say you should stay put and work on building up your savings, rather than running off to the hills to live in rural poverty/starving to death.

I don't really know enough about your city to give a great assessment of its survivability.

Northern Europe gets much of its electricity from hydroelectric, right?

And you are right next door to two of the world's largest natural gas suppliers (Norway and Russia).

I don't expect people in Sweden to be freezing to death in the dark any time soon. Plus, your city probably has an electric transport network, right? (trains, subways, etc.)

I personally think you are in a decent location to survive Peak Oil. Now if your apartment was in Phoenix, Arizona, I would suggest moving. But I think urban Sweden is probably one of the better places to ride out the coming storm.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Ayoob » Sat 12 May 2007, 14:45:26

Sweden's going to be relatively fine. I wouldn't sell.

What are you going to do for money? I hope you're not a 7/11 clerk or something like that.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby UFCjunkie » Sat 12 May 2007, 15:36:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrMambo', 'I') think you already know the answer. If it is possible to sell it now for a fairly high price, such as 80-90% what you have invested in it (only a loss of between 10-20%) you prevent that you later loose 60-70% of the value and.

This is my thoughts too, but are the economic going down. How sure is it that the economic is going to crash.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrMambo', 'S')ome people would also suggest you buy some gold.

About buying gold. what shall I ask for? 24 carats Gold bars?

Its gonna be a heavy load to walk around with, that and my guns and ammo to protect the stuff too. :)


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sheb', 'I')t sounds like the only decision you really need to make right now is whether or not to list the property.

And in the mean time, it will give you more time to read, and think over future plans.

Thats my plan for now...I will list it and see what happen and in the mean time I try to follow the worlds development.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'W')ell, why should an apartment in the city be a death trap?

I certainly don't expect the world to fall apart completely any time soon, and nor should you.

No? :cry:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'W')ouldn't you rather be in an urban area where the jobs will be, rather than trapped in suburbia?

And could you really support yourself on a farm?

I guess if I would want to escape far away from the cities I would go to an existing farm and ask for job there, I'm not going to learn the farming process from scratch on my own.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'N')orthern Europe gets much of its electricity from hydroelectric, right?

And you are right next door to two of the world's largest natural gas suppliers (Norway and Russia).

I have no idea how we get our electric but I think we import alot. The only thing I care about is that it has to stop, no electric no fuel.

The gas in Norway and Russia only going to slow down the process. What I want to do is to find a way of life that is permanent, not a way that is going to change again soon.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', 'S')weden's going to be relatively fine. I wouldn't sell.

What are you going to do for money? I hope you're not a 7/11 clerk or something like that.

Are you sure about Sweden? I have very little hope about Sweden, even if PO never happen, the development of this country is going to a place that I can't call Sweden anymore. What makes Sweden a "safe" place?

Im no clerk, I work at a fruit and vegetable company and we pack the products and send them to shops around the country.

Thanks for the replys...
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Gerben » Sat 12 May 2007, 18:21:11

I'm not sure whether you are reading the newspapers, but Sweden is one of the most advanced worldwide in getting rid of fossil fuels. There's lots of hydro-electric power, nuclear energy and biomass (wood) power in sweden. And import of more hydro-electric power from Norway. Sweden has a lot of E85 (ethanol) cars, from Saab and Volvo. There are also a lot of biogas initiatives. A significant amount of ethanol has to be imported from Brazil, but there are already experiments under way in Sweden with ethanol from woody materials.
You don't want to sell your house. Sweden is where I'd go when TSHTF.

I should congratulate you that you OWN your house. Most people in the Netherlands, where I live (as well as in the US), live in a house paid for by their banks.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby basil_hayden » Sat 12 May 2007, 18:24:12

Let's see -

You live in a country reportedly full of hot chicks, and have a nice apartment.

I know what I would be doing..... :)
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sat 12 May 2007, 18:26:21

Well, here's what I think about Sweden.

85% of its people live in major metropolitan areas. These cities are dense and have decent public transportation networks. (+2 points)

This means that the government of Sweden will not collapse and the people of Sweden will not have to live in fear of anarchy. (+1 point)

Sweden has a significant trade surplus, giving it a cushion against higher prices for energy imports (+1 point)

Sweden has a budget surplus and a relatively manageable national debt (+2 points)

Sweden has control over its own currency and has not joined the Euro (not sure how that factors into the point system)

Sweden has no poor, third world neighbors and the potential for millions of economic refugees swarming across the border is minimal (+1 point).

The Gini Coefficient of Sweden is very, very low. So even if income inequality increases dramatically, it was starting off at such an equal level to begin with that the poor will not feel compelled to revolt. (+2 points)

50% of Swedish electricity is hydroelectric, 43% is nuclear. (+5 points)

Sweden has no oil or natural gas reserves of its own and must import virtually all of its fossil fuels (-3 points).

The point system is silly, but you get the point I'm trying to make.

Sweden is in a much better position to deal with Peak Oil than the overwhelming majority of the world. I urge you to consider staying in Sweden.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Madpaddy » Sat 12 May 2007, 19:27:04

UFCjunkie,

You say that the development ofSweden is taking it to a place you can't call sweden anymore. I live in Ireland which is an unrecognisable country from the Ireland of 10 or 12 years ago. It's called the pursuit of the American dream baby - the greatest curse of all civilisation. As it is your country is a hugely advantageous position to most others.

Also, is your apartment mortgaged or do you own it outright?
Think long and hard before selling. How do you guarantee your money will beat the rate of inflation? Certainly, sell the apartment and buy agricultural land somewhere and rent anew property would be my advice.

Good luck and hello.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sat 12 May 2007, 20:17:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Madpaddy', 'U')FCjunkie,

You say that the development ofSweden is taking it to a place you can't call sweden anymore. I live in Ireland which is an unrecognisable country from the Ireland of 10 or 12 years ago. It's called the pursuit of the American dream baby - the greatest curse of all civilisation. As it is your country is a hugely advantageous position to most others.

Also, is your apartment mortgaged or do you own it outright?
Think long and hard before selling. How do you guarantee your money will beat the rate of inflation? Certainly, sell the apartment and buy agricultural land somewhere and rent anew property would be my advice.

Good luck and hello.


How productive is Sweden's farmland?

Is there any way he could support himself from the land, if not, what's the point?

Sweden's use of hydroelectric and nuclear power essentially ensures that the electrical grid will not go down in the major cities.

If the power grid stays on in your city for the next 20, 30, 40 years, would you still want to move out into the countryside?

Would you have to find a new job in the countryside? Or are you trading lower population density for a commute?

Maybe I don't know enough about your situation, but based on what you've told us so far...I think you are about to make a big mistake.

There are peak oilers in America who are desperately looking for what you may already have in Sweden.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Madpaddy » Sat 12 May 2007, 20:22:55

I think if he takes life changing advice from anybody on this site based on the very limited information he has given, then it would be an enormous mistake. Good points about the Swedish farmland Tyler - I haven't a clue how much food Sweden produces.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sat 12 May 2007, 21:03:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Madpaddy', 'I') think if he takes life changing advice from anybody on this site based on the very limited information he has given, then it would be an enormous mistake. Good points about the Swedish farmland Tyler - I haven't a clue how much food Sweden produces.


I agree Madpaddy, he hasn't given us enough information to make a meaningful assessment. But here's some information on Sweden's agricultural situation.

Sweden's Agricultural Output

They have more acres of cropland per person than the global average, but somewhat less acreage per capita than Europe as a whole. However, global warming may increase the growing season and thus productivity of Sweden's acreage, while decreasing the productivity of say, Spain and Italy.

Their fertilizer use per acre peaked in the 70s and has been declining ever since. Currently they use about as much fertilizer as they did in the 1960s. The per acre productivity of Sweden's farms, however, has doubled in the past 40 years. In fact, despite having a cold climate, Sweden actually produces more food per capita than the European average. I'm tempted to call that impressive.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Ender » Sat 12 May 2007, 22:52:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UFCjunkie', '
')When I talk to my friends about this and I say I want to sell they ALL say Im crazy. They say:
- Don't you want have a nice home to come home to? Don't you want a new home? Your never going to lose your money, your value will only get bigger and bigger. This city is expanding alot apartments is going to be more and more expensive...and so on...and so on...
I live in Sweden, Northern Europe.


Eventually you die, as well. If you like your apartment and it's a nice place to live, stay there. Sweden is in a better position than most countries insofar as its government actually has a plan to get off oil.

I'd say an inner city apartment isn't a bad investment anywhere in the world, actually - provided it's in a city with good urban rail infrastructure and preferably with a relatively warm climate (Sweden doesn't meet the last criteria, but it has reliable electricity that isn't fossil fuel dependent).
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby BastardSquad » Sun 13 May 2007, 02:21:16

1) DON'T PANIC!!!!


2) Workout several bugout plans.

3)Stockpile what you feel will be neccesities.

4)Arm yourself with as much knowlendge as you can about everything and anything possible! ( this one is important!!!)

5)Keep the apartment,you need a place to live till TSHTF.

6)To survive a human being needs - (1)food(!!!!),(2)fresh water,and (3)shelter to survive.Learn how to provide these for yourself.

7)As for money invested in your apartment - ask yourself the questions- "what is money?" and - "Do I own my possessions or do they own me?"

Relax,learn how to do more with less and go with the flow.Simply knowing about PO gives you a major advantage over most people.

Cheers



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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby malcomatic_51 » Sun 13 May 2007, 14:11:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UFCjunkie', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrMambo', 'I') think you already know the answer. If it is possible to sell it now for a fairly high price, such as 80-90% what you have invested in it (only a loss of between 10-20%) you prevent that you later loose 60-70% of the value and.

This is my thoughts too, but are the economic going down. How sure is it that the economic is going to crash.


You'll have to decide that for yourself. Every housing market is local. Look around you at the property scene. Bear in mind that inflation will pay off most of your loan. This is a point that actually deserves more attention than it gets. If there is 15% inflation for four years, that is two thirds of your load paid off. If I were you I'd keep the flat but instaed concentrate on getting into a job that is secure and is likely to have a salary reasonably protected against inflation.

Even during the Great Depression, there was still about 70% emplyment in the USA. The majority of people kept their jobs. The real tragedy of the Depression was that it affected certain sectors to the point of extermination, whilst leaving others not too badly off.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UFCjunkie', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrMambo', 'S')ome people would also suggest you buy some gold.

About buying gold. what shall I ask for? 24 carats Gold bars?

Its gonna be a heavy load to walk around with, that and my guns and ammo to protect the stuff too. :)


If you buy bullion you put it in a safe deposit box and you protect it through silence, not guns. Least of all in a civilised place like Sweden where gun crime is unlikely to be a big problem.



$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UFCjunkie', 'T')he gas in Norway and Russia only going to slow down the process. What I want to do is to find a way of life that is permanent, not a way that is going to change again soon.

Tough luck, you are going to die just like the rest of us. Gas from Russia will last long enough to see any of us out.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UFCjunkie', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', 'S')weden's going to be relatively fine. I wouldn't sell.

What are you going to do for money? I hope you're not a 7/11 clerk or something like that.
What makes Sweden a "safe" place?

It's an ancient monarchy with a liberal tradition, much like the Netherlands, Denmark and the UK. State structures are exceeding stable in such coun tries, there is very little chance of getting a military junta there. Sweden is large with a small population. It has highly educated people and gifted engineers. There are no guarantees, but if I had a choice between Sweden or Argentina, I know which I'd take.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby mmasters » Sun 13 May 2007, 14:47:49

Sell and put your money in gold, silver for the time being and rent. You can probably buy your place back for a small amount of the relative cost or something better when the world economy goes in the shitter and you've maintained your wealth while everyone has lost most of theirs.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby Newsseeker » Mon 14 May 2007, 08:35:53

Let your conscience be your guide as my grandmother would say.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby UFCjunkie » Fri 18 May 2007, 03:42:06

Thanks for all the replies. I have been working all week and this is my first day of. I have read every now and then but haven't got the time to write something. Now I have so here we go...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gerben', 'I')'m not sure whether you are reading the newspapers, but Sweden is one of the most advanced worldwide in getting rid of fossil fuels. There's lots of hydro-electric power, nuclear energy and biomass (wood) power in sweden. And import of more hydro-electric power from Norway. Sweden has a lot of E85 (ethanol) cars, from Saab and Volvo. There are also a lot of biogas initiatives. A significant amount of ethanol has to be imported from Brazil, but there are already experiments under way in Sweden with ethanol from woody materials.
You don't want to sell your house. Sweden is where I'd go when TSHTF.

I should congratulate you that you OWN your house. Most people in the Netherlands, where I live (as well as in the US), live in a house paid for by their banks.

I think that the way we are living in Sweden and the way Swedish people looking for new fuel is the wrong way to live. It's not going to work in the long run. I'ts not going to work long at all.

I don't own my apartment, I have a loan. But I have put alot of money into it by renovate every single spot in here.
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Re: Guys, I need your point of view...

Unread postby UFCjunkie » Fri 18 May 2007, 03:56:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'W')ell, here's what I think about Sweden.

85% of its people live in major metropolitan areas. These cities are dense and have decent public transportation networks. (+2 points)

This means that the government of Sweden will not collapse and the people of Sweden will not have to live in fear of anarchy. (+1 point)

Is that a good thing? I see anarchy as the begining of the new and better world. Not that anarchy is good but it's the turning point. So reading what you write to me means that Sweden is going to be stuck in a problomatic way of live for a longer time than other countrys that is going to evolve to the new world a lot quicker.
To me that's a bad thing.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'S')weden has no poor, third world neighbors and the potential for millions of economic refugees swarming across the border is minimal (+1 point).

Oh, that's to late already. we have very open boarders and alot of people from all over the world is already here and keep on coming. It's going to be interesting to see what this societies inside Sweden will do PPO, will they finally blend with the Swedish people?
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