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THE Blackouts/Brownouts Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 15 Apr 2007, 16:11:49

These posts that suggest "years" of storage are rather dubious. It may seem fine, but it ain't.
Here's what Chevron says:Longer-Term Storage of Gasoline
Link
Fuel Degradation In Storage link

Gas Expiration - Ethanol Blend Fuels Have a Short Shelf Life link
And gas today is not the gas we knew 20 years ago.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')nergy Secretary Bodman said the idea of a strategic refinery reserve, akin to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, "ought to be considered," but is a complex matter. "Gasoline has a limited shelf life," he said. "It begins to lose its performance characteristics after two to three months. And we also have about 15 types of gasoline … so which grade are you going to put in the reserve?"

And almost all gas today is an ethanol blend, or soon will be, with a very short shelf life. Alcohol has an affinity for water, from condensation and elsewhere.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby AirlinePilot » Sun 15 Apr 2007, 16:16:49

There is about 3-5% ethanol right now in just about everything. I know because my Cessna can take auto gas. We (some Cesna 150 club members) have been looking at this all over the country lately because the lower lead content and the added ethanol is an issue for plug fouling and stuck valves in our engines. Most of us will no longer use the auto gas for these reasons. A lot og members hae been testing over the last 6 months and no one can find straight gasoline anymore, anywhere.

I believe that storing between 20-25 gallons for no longer than 3 months at a time should be no problem and thats what I plan on doing.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Sun 15 Apr 2007, 16:48:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'T')here is about 3-5% ethanol right now in just about everything. I know because my Cessna can take auto gas. We (some Cesna 150 club members) have been looking at this all over the country lately because the lower lead content and the added ethanol is an issue for plug fouling and stuck valves in our engines. Most of us will no longer use the auto gas for these reasons. A lot og members hae been testing over the last 6 months and no one can find straight gasoline anymore, anywhere.

I believe that storing between 20-25 gallons for no longer than 3 months at a time should be no problem and thats what I plan on doing.

You can easily remoove ethanol from your gasoline.

Take 10L of gasoline into plastic bucket with a lid, stirr very well with 1-2L of water for 3-5 minutes.
Best to use large magnetic stirrer, if you have access to one.
Leave for few minutes to allow phases to separate. Collect top layer (gasoline), reject bottom one (water with ethanol).
Repeat procedure twice more to ensure complete separation of unwanted ethanol.
Now collect your gasoline in plastic bucket again.
For each 10L of gasoline add 100g of powderized anhydrous magnesium sulfate or 100g of potassium hydroxide pellets. Stirr well for 10 minutes again best with a lid and using magnetical stirrer, allow your gasoline to settle, decant from solids and additionally filter. Now you can transfer it to storage cans. It is ethanol free.
You are assuming responsibility for your own safety while following that procedure.
I would not hesitate to use so purified gasoline in my car.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby Mechman » Sun 15 Apr 2007, 19:04:25

For most people using a slowly leaking plastic container half full, you and Chevron are very correct but this is only for the general case. If you take the equipment, time and effort to do things better, you can store gasoline for years. The government thinks a SPR is a good idea and I think each of us should have one too. I have and continue to do so each year with my own small SPR but I store the finished products. Just get a 5 gallon metal Jerry can each year, add preservative, fill it almost full with gasoline, seal the bung down tight, check it after a few days to make sure it is pressurizing with no external leakage, store it in a cool dry place and try it one or two or three years later. Cost of the experiment is less than $50 and you will find out easily you can store gas for years successfully.

There is an excellent reference of "Gasoline FAQ" in 4 parts at if you want to study about gasoline issues: link

Gasoline is a witches brew of up to 400 different compounds but generally only 30 different compounds are in substantial mounts per specific SAE blend requirements based upon region and season (winter and summer). Most of these compounds are actually stable and effectively liquid "wax" or "solvents" at temperatures above -40C. As long as they don't escape, get exposed to UV light (impossible in a metal can), get heated to the point of thermal bond breaking, or oxidized by surplus air/oxygen, the gasoline will remain good and stable.

The biggest problem is people store gasoline in the wrong manner, not that gasoline cannot be stored. A good hermetic seal in a metal container will keep gasoline good almost forever like propane in a propane tank. The biggest problem is leaks and air/oxygen. Gasoline has a vapor pressure people usually don't expect, its low but it is there. The pressure builds up and if the container is not a hermetic pressure tank, the high pressure and high Octane compounds escape. If you can leak out under pressure, you can usually leak in air when you get a vacuum and then you get continual oxidation. This constant loss of high Octane compounds combined with new air intrusion will make your gas bad or "stale".
Store gasoline the right way and you can store it for years and years. Mess up and you better use it before it goes bad or you have to creatively get rid of it after it has gone bad. Just like preserving food.

Diesel is easier to store than gasoline, it has a very low vapor pressure so does not go bad by leaking away. However Diesel will oxidize so seal it in a vapor tight metal container and it has the added feature that it can "rot". Diesel is not toxic enough like gasoline to kill all bacteria. You have to add diesel "biocide" fuel preservative to diesel if you don't want it to possibly rot.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby kjmclark » Sun 15 Apr 2007, 22:16:55

Check out this discussion on the same topic from a few weeks ago.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby jbeckton » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 09:27:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mechman', 'I') was concerned that Y2K might cause a few days of problems but nothing really big so I stored 1 weeks worth of gasoline, 25 gallons of high Octane in 5 new metal Jerry cans with standard amount of fuel preservative sealed air/vapor tight in July 1999. I never opened the cans until July 2005, six years later.

How do you use 25 gallons of gas a week? Do you drive a hummer 50 miles to work? Why high octane?
Also why not use the gas for 6 years? Why didn't you use it when gas was $3.25/gal? Seems odd, just curious.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby vision-master » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 09:49:13

P'boly a commuter that drives a large 4x4. Figure 25 gal would be good for 300 miles max. I used to commute 52 miles a day & that ain't jack. Many sheeple are doing this one-way.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby jbeckton » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 10:11:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'P')'boly a commuter that drives a large 4x4. Figure 25 gal would be good for 300 miles max. I used to commute 52 miles a day & that ain't jack. Many sheeple are doing this one-way.

Seems like a lot of gas for someone on a PO board. I am by no means a doomer but I conserve as much as possible. I get about 45-50 mpg in my hybrid and only drive 5 miles to work and 5 back, no bike lanes on the bridges and no sidewalks most other places so I can't ride my bike. 25 gallons would last me over 4 months.
Just a thought, instead of perfecting gas storage that will only last you a week at best, get a different car and store your "emergency gas" in your gas tank.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby Newsseeker » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 12:20:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'T')here is about 3-5% ethanol right now in just about everything. I know because my Cessna can take auto gas. We (some Cesna 150 club members) have been looking at this all over the country lately because the lower lead content and the added ethanol is an issue for plug fouling and stuck valves in our engines. Most of us will no longer use the auto gas for these reasons. A lot og members hae been testing over the last 6 months and no one can find straight gasoline anymore, anywhere. I believe that storing between 20-25 gallons for no longer than 3 months at a time should be no problem and thats what I plan on doing.

You can easily remoove ethanol from your gasoline.
Take 10L of gasoline into plastic bucket with a lid, stirr very well with 1-2L of water for 3-5 minutes.
Best to use large magnetic stirrer, if you have access to one.
Leave for few minutes to allow phases to separate. Collect top layer (gasoline), reject bottom one (water with ethanol).
Repeat procedure twice more to ensure complete separation of unwanted ethanol.
Now collect your gasoline in plastic bucket again. For each 10L of gasoline add 100g of powderized anhydrous magnesium sulfate or 100g of potassium hydroxide pellets. Stirr well for 10 minutes again best with a lid and using magnetical stirrer, allow your gasoline to settle, decant from solids and additionally filter. Now you can transfer it to storage cans. It is ethanol free. You are assuming responsibility for your own safety while following that procedure. I would not hesitate to use so purified gasoline in my car.

I'm not quite sure if I trust people with this information.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby Mechman » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 01:14:33

jbeckton-Seems odd, just curious.
I will be honored to clarify this mystery because it all does have a very good explanation with more details.
>How do you use 25 gallons of gas a week? I usually did not use 25 gallons a week but the car I drove had a 23 gallon fuel tank and during a normal fill-up I would use about 21 gallons. I would typically fill my tank once every 2 weeks. If I bought 5 of the 5 gallon Jerry cans, I could fully fill my empty tank with a little left over in the 5th can, give it to a friend, help a neighbor, etc. Also during a crisis you actually use more fuel, not less, a nasty paradox (no fuel available and you have to use more to do the same driving tasks). Traffic jams, waiting in line and creeping along kills your fuel efficiency. Just like some of the people that tried to leave Houston, Texas to go to Austin during the hurricane evacuation and they found out after 12 hours of driving (normally the 170 mile trip takes only 2.5 hours), they were out of fuel and they were still not in Austin yet even when some of them started with full tanks and could have gone 400 miles in normal conditions.

>Do you drive a hummer 50 miles to work?
Nope, in 1999 I drove a BMW 735, 17 mpg city, 20 mpg typical, 25 mpg highway at 55mph about 10 miles to work but sometime I would a have to go about 200 miles every 2 weeks on business trips. You might notice from my sig I have been actively changing my ways for the last three years. I now drive a 3 cylinder manual 42 mpg city, 45 mpg typical, 48 mpg highway Geo Metro and use the 23 gallon tanks of my two BMW’s to store fuel along with my 55 gallon drums. If the local Fire Marshal will not let you store a 55 gallon drum of gasoline, get and park a big van, big truck, or use two cars and you can store that much fuel without any fuss. For Y2K, 25 gallons was fine for the risk, PO is huge and the effects long lasting, 25 gallons is not much but a good personal SPR start.

>Why high octane?
Because if there was any leakage, the 93 Octane gasoline might not degrade below the 87 Octane I needed. If you stored 87 Octane gasoline and it degraded to 81 Octane, your engine would probably not like you or the gasoline. If you stored 93 Octane and it degraded to 87 Octane, you would not have a problem. Many of the sources say you cannot store gasoline for very long, months, so if I was concerned about Y2K in July of 1999 I better store fuel in a way that it would still be good on January 1, 2000.

>Also why not use the gas for 6 years? Why didn't you use it when gas was $3.25/gal?
Actually I would still be storing it to continue the experiment today if it was not for a friend in need. My friend needed 4 of my 5 gallon Jerry cans to remove all the fuel from his car fuel tank so he could drop the tank safely for repairs. I used this as a excuse to drain the 6 year old gasoline from the 5 gallon Jerry cans into my BMW to see how it looked and how it worked. Did I have 25 gallons of green Goop? Was general knowledge and Chevron correct, months only, not years? I wanted to know so I stopped the experiment, used the 6 year old fuel which appeared to be in perfect condition and it worked without any problems for the full tank and no problems with future tanks of fuel. This was great! You can store fuel for years instead of months if you use sealed metal containers with preservative and keep them in a cool dry storage area. This gave me the confidence expand into more SPR like storage for longer times.


vision-master-P'boly a commuter that drives a large 4x4. Figure 25 gal would be good for 300 miles max. I used to commute 52 miles a day & that ain't jack. Many sheeple are doing this one-way.

Nope, just a BMW at the time (1999) and now (2007) a Geo Metro that uses the BMW’s, 5 gallon Jerry cans, and 55 gallon drums for external fuel storage. In Texas, if you have a car that gets 20 to 25mpg and you drive from Austin to Dallas, around the city and then back to Austin, you just blew through 20 gallons in a day. 25 gallons in 1999 would typically last about 2 weeks of driving around Austin, Texas. With my Metro and a new job (better pay) with less driving, the 25 gallons now in 2007 typically lasts about 4 to 6 weeks.

jbeckton-Seems like a lot of gas for someone on a PO board. I am by no means a doomer but I conserve as much as possible. I get about 45-50 mpg in my hybrid and only drive 5 miles to work and 5 back, no bike lanes on the bridges and no sidewalks most other places so I can't ride my bike. 25 gallons would last me over 4 months.

>Just a thought, instead of perfecting gas storage that will only last you a week at best, get a different car and store your "emergency gas" in your gas tank.

Absolutely jbeckton, Y2K to PO, BMW’s to Geo Metros, 5 gallon Jerry cans to 55 gallon drums. The threat of PO compared to Y2K is huge and I have seriously been changing everything in my life over the last 3 years. I still have years to go but I am moving as quickly as I can without a full crisis but with the understanding that a full crisis is now probably not avoidable in the next 1, 5 or 10 years. The risks continues to climb and my lifestyle much match the threats the best I can in my circumstances.

Get a “helmet” as soon as you can: financial, fuel storage, vehicle change, housing change, food storage, square foot gardens, permaculture, solar, rain catchment, etc. Personal “Armor” does not stop the attack, it will just hurt less. Preparing for PO will not stop PO or the related problems of PO but it will hurt less. Your actions will minimize the risk to you and yours.

Or you can chose not to change and self-elect to “take one” for the herd when things don’t work out well in the future. In a spiritual way, suffering is good for the soul and it helps one to focus on the blessings of the afterlife. Remember to not store gasoline for more than a few months and only small amounts, use the “Wrong Way“ to justify this general belief so you will not try to store gasoline so you can “take one”. Out of fuel events probably will not be life threatening but it will hurt or at least suck. Remember, you are building up your soul. Or you can do something, spend a little money, time, and effort and make at least a difference in your own life and maybe help someone else too.
Last edited by Mechman on Thu 19 Apr 2007, 23:23:04, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby jbeckton » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 08:39:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mechman', 'j')beckton
>Seems odd, just curious.
I will be honored to clarify this mystery because it all does have a very good explanation with more details.
>How do you use 25 gallons of gas a week?
I usually did not use 25 gallons a week but the car I drove had a 23 gallon fuel tank and during a normal fill-up I would use about 21 gallons. I would typically fill my tank once every 2 weeks >Do you drive a hummer 50 miles to work?
Nope, in 1999 I drove a BMW 735, 17 mpg city, 20 mpg typical, 25 mpg highway at 55mph about 10 miles to work but sometime I would a have to go about 200 miles every 2 weeks on business trips.
>Why high octane?
Because if there was any leakage, the 93 Octane gasoline might not degrade below the 87 Octane I needed. If you stored 87 Octane gasoline and it degraded to 81 Octane, your engine would probably not like you or the gasoline.

That makes sense if you were planning on the problems being "long term" (long enough for the octane to drop 6 points). I was under the impression that you only thought the problem was going to last a few days
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mechman', 'I') was concerned that Y2K might cause a few days of problems but nothing really big so I stored 1 weeks worth of gasoline, 25 gallons of high Octane in 5 new metal Jerry cans with standard amount of fuel preservative sealed air/vapor tight in July 1999.

Is it possible that you thought that the Y2K bug would have a much larger impact than a fews days inconvienence and feel a bit silly about it now?

By the way, I have a Civic Hybrid and it has an auto stop engine so if you were stuck in 10 hour traffic you would not be wasting fuel when you were not moving (7 1/2 hours). Every time you come to a stop the engine shuts off automatically, then starts when you take your foot off the brake. Just something to consider if that is something that worries you.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby Newsseeker » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 08:57:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jbeckton', 'B')y the way, I have a Civic Hybrid and it has an auto stop engine so if you were stuck in 10 hour traffic you would not be wasting fuel when you were not moving (7 1/2 hours). Every time you come to a stop the engine shuts off automatically, then starts when you take your foot off the brake. Just something to consider if that is something that worries you.

That's cool. But doesn't it require more fuel to start it back up or is there a mechanism to get around that?
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby jbeckton » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 09:07:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newsseeker', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jbeckton', 'B')y the way, I have a Civic Hybrid and it has an auto stop engine so if you were stuck in 10 hour traffic you would not be wasting fuel when you were not moving (7 1/2 hours). Every time you come to a stop the engine shuts off automatically, then starts when you take your foot off the brake. Just something to consider if that is something that worries you.
That's cool. But doesn't it require more fuel to start it back up or is there a mechanism to get around that?

The battery starts the engine, don't think I have ever heard my starter being used to fire it up, its just there for backup.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby jbeckton » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 09:09:17

Its a huge battery that assists the engine, not the little battery under the hood.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby Mechman » Fri 20 Apr 2007, 00:28:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jbeckton', 'T')hat makes sense if you were planning on the problems being "long term" (long enough for the octane to drop 6 points). I was under the impression that you only thought the problem was going to last a few days

I was actually expecting almost no problems. My personal estimate in July of 1999 for Y2K was 70% of almost nothing happening, 10% chance of a day crisis but back to normal, 10% chance of a several day crisis but back to normal, and about 10% chance of holy smokes I did not expect that to happen so I really could not prepare for it. Y2K did have many problems but most of the problems were identified and solved or a work-around developed. Not everything was actually fixed but alternates (software and hardware) were available and put into service.
I did not want anything to happen and this gasoline storage was actually an experiment to answer the question of can gasoline be stored for longer than months when many people at the time were being told only store for months or don't try. Really the gasoline storage was to test conventional wisdom much more than to prepare for Y2K problems. That is why I started with only 25 gallons 6 months ahead and used fuel preservative. My experiment was a big success 6 years later.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')s it possible that you thought that the Y2K bug would have a much larger impact than a few days inconvenience and feel a bit silly about it now?

As stated above, the risk of Y2K was generally small and I really expected nothing big to happen (70%) but there was still the risk of something going wrong or badly wrong (30%). I worked next door to a company that specialized in Y2K problems and solutions and my discussions with them was that most of the problems would be solved but some things could not be fixed in time or were not worth fixing so some problems would have to be worked around. I think the 4th or 5th largest accounting software package used by non-profit firms could not be fixed so it was abandoned and other companies had to replace the software. No, I did not feel silly because the risk was small but real and I took prudent measures. No more silly than having car insurance and not needing it. If the risk is real, manage the risk instead of ignoring the risk or be consumed by the risk. Most people did nothing and generally nothing happened. I expected nothing to happen but there was a risk and I managed this risk.

The probability of PO is just like the probability of Y2K, the event will happen, 100%. However, the big problem with PO effects is not like Y2K effects (70% nothing and 30% a small or big crisis). The exact PO timing and effects are unknown but the easily predicted effects will be bad if no solutions are ready on a broad scale. Remember back in 1999 Ford said they would have a mass produced methanol fuel cell car by 2004? This would have been a good solution but it was not made in 2004. Where is it now? That solution to PO effects does not exist today in 2007 and may never exist. As the problems of PO effects arrive and the solutions to maintain our current lifestyles fail to arrive in a timely manner or not at all, you and I will have to change, and maybe change in a big way.

I suspect the change will be long and hard because just like some non-Y2K-compatable software, maybe saving us from PO effects is not profitable so we are to be generally abandoned to fend for ourselves as the problems arrive and refuse to go away. Most of our lifestyle and culture in the West is not no-oil or low-oil-compatible. There are solutions to minimize the harm of PO effects but I don’t think they are being implemented in a broad and timely manner or even implemented at all. This is very bad because it will take time to fix (if it is fixable) and many people are not even trying. Maybe this is why the GAO report is not well liked or talked about, blacked-out if you like. The GAO report is bad news and people don’t generally like bad news even if it is real or just a risk.

Just in case you are wondering about my overall approach to PO effects, it is blend of about 60% power down, 30% lifeboat, and 10% techno solutions with Permaculture principles applied to all three categories. Much harsher than Y2K predictions but just is the way I now see it. Good Luck to us all!
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby MonteQuest » Fri 20 Apr 2007, 00:37:15

Some mod should split this thread after the 5th post.
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby jbeckton » Mon 23 Apr 2007, 07:54:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mechman', 'T')he GAO report is bad news and people don’t generally like bad news even if it is real or just a risk.

People don't like it but it gets their attention and it usually gets good press, at least every time I watch the news I see 90% of the stories are about murder, crime, or corruption. Why does PO not get the attention that the people that get abducted by aliens for "experiments" get?
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby Newsseeker » Mon 23 Apr 2007, 08:23:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jbeckton', 'I')ts a huge battery that assists the engine, not the little battery under the hood.


Thanks for the info
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Re: GAO report blackout

Unread postby Mechman » Tue 24 Apr 2007, 00:26:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jbeckton', 'P')eople don't like it but it gets their attention and it usually gets good press, at least every time I watch the news I see 90% of the stories are about murder, crime, or corruption. Why does PO not get the attention that the people that get abducted by aliens for "experiments" get?

jbeckton, the difference should be pretty clear from your own list. People really don't expect to get murdered, or violated by crime or corruption or alien experiments. They read that stuff to break boredom by titillation of the bizarreness of the story. People don’t go to the movies to be one of the people in the movie, but to watch an atypical life or event. Most people would agree being the victim of a crime or in a atypical life event would suck. These things happen and are suppose to happen to someone else you don't really know. The problem with the GAO report on PO and the whole PO issues is they are like getting your own personal report of cancer in you, not someone else. You are going to be the one to have a hard time, suffer, your dreams of a happy future shattered, financial and job damage or ruin, and the events may kill you. The bright hope in such a dismal mess is that you will make it through after the trials and have a new and better perspective on the rest of our life you have left.

Most of us want a bright, happy, safe, clean, comfortable future. There is nothing wrong with that dream, a nice dream. However, PO and the implications of the GAO report put that all of that nice dream at risk for everyone, no just someone else. People can handle bad things happening to other people but only those into S+M or “building up their soul for the afterlife” would like bad things to happen to themselves now or in the near future. The report is not officially blacked out, it is blacked out by popular opinion. Bad news that will happen to you is treated very differently in our culture compared to bad news that happened to someone else but will not affect you personally. PO is not all bad news, we get a chance to be humble and responsible if we want to live a reasonably happy, safe, clean, comfortable life in the future. The dream bubble of a bright, happy, safe, clean, comfortable future achieved by arrogance and irresponsibility because someone else will fix it all for you is going to get popped if is hasn’t already been popped.
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