[kaktus]

A new dissertation, Giant Oilfields the Highway to Oil , affirming Peak Oil was presented March 30.
The researcher Fredrik Robelius predicts a peak some time between 2008 and 2013 and estimates a top production of 93 million barells per year. He is pessimistic about the future capacity of the giants and says that is the main difference to IEA's estimates.

Robelius has done his research at the department of Prof Kjell Aleklett, leader of the Uppsala Hydro­carbon Depletion Study Group and one of the founders of ASPO.

The dissertation: www.diva-portal.org/diva/getDocument?ur ... lltext.pdf

See also some nice charts at http://www.peakoil.net/GiantOilFields.html

[Newsseeker]

Uppsala continues to lead the way.

[Starvid]

This is the same dissertation we discussed in two threads a few weeks ago.

[Coolman]

93 million barrels of day sounds to optimistic. We are struggling to stay at 85. And they count dumb things like ethanol.

[Geko45]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kaktus', 'T')he researcher Fredrik Robelius predicts a peak some time between 2008 and 2013

[Starvid]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')he most optimistic result, which is the demand adjusted best case scenario, from the analysis performed here shows a peak in 2018 at a level of 93 Mbpd.

[kaktus]

What struck me when reading an article reporting this thesis in one of the Swedish leading right wing newspapers (SvD.se) was the casual tone. The same newspaper wrote a week earlier about the huge and neglected environmental problem with all the windmills when they will get scrapped. "They are made of steel and composites, some of it will have to get scrapped and no one can tell what to do with it!" Think about that!
The world is just so crazy.

[Loki]

kaktus, is the environment a partisan issue like it is here in the US? Or is there more of a consensus in Sweden (and Scandinavia in general)? The environmental impact of steel windmills seems pretty insignificant, so it sounds like this right-wing newspaper is perhaps not so supportive of environmental issues.

And how about peak oil? Here in the US peak oil tends to be seen as a "liberal" issue. Most "conservatives" I've encountered seem to think it's some sort of environmentalist conspiracy. Is that different in Scandinavia?

[Starvid]

Everyone is green washing here nowadays.

I am not kidding, at least once a week the main piece of news in the right wing paper SvD is about climate change. But the things is environment, not energy. That's why all energy sources, including wind mills, are scrutinized.

Peak oil and the energy perspective has mostly been discussed in SvD and the finance papers.

[kaktus]

I agree with you Starvid in the sense that environment and energy over here are both seen as important but also they are totally unconnected. One day they write about the greenhouse effect, next day the same paper tells the sad story about someone that has gotten the view of the horizon from his vacation house destroyed by a wind farm 30 km off.

climate change is the headlines all over the world I suppose. and there is an environmental conscience present in all scandinavia I'd say.
at the same time the commitment to economic growth and techno religion is stronger than ever, from all sides. and the peak oil problematic is unknown to most people. but its true all politicians want to seem environmentally aware, so far its all talk.

it will be interesting to say how peak oil will wipe out climate change.