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World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

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World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby Temperedoil » Thu 05 Apr 2007, 05:09:02

A positive outlook for the global economy, even the USA is given expectations of growth for the next couple of years.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')
World growth to 'resist US blip'
US President George W Bush
The speed of construction is a good gauge of economic growth
The global economy should be able to withstand a slowdown in the US and wobbles in its housing market, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) says.

Helping to offset any problems will be strong growth in nations such as China, and a recovery in Japan and Europe.

The US is the world's largest economy and has shown signs of slowing as a weaker housing market has dampened consumer confidence and spending.

However, the IMF said that the problems were US specific and should not spread.

"Most countries should be in a position to decouple from the US economy and sustain strong growth if the US slowdown remains moderate as expected," the IMF said in its World Economic Outlook report.



Source and full article:

BBC News

Sustain strong growth in a period of declining oil production? Decouple from the US economy in a time of deepening globalisation? There is a good chance that the IMF economists will be red-faced by the end of the year. Why do economists not see that the times, to borrow a quote from Bob Dylan, they are a changing?
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby americandream » Thu 05 Apr 2007, 05:35:55

If you've any hard evidence of an impending crash, could you post the link..thanks.
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby Temperedoil » Thu 05 Apr 2007, 07:43:54

There is an article on the Energy Bulletin website wherein the writer states his opinion that the USA is headed for a recession, probably toward the end of this year.

Energy Bulletin article on US recession risk

Given the importance of the US economy to the global economy, and considering that the risks to the US economy are likely to reverberate around the world through financial markets, it would seem to follow that the world as a whole is looking at a testing time in the months ahead.
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby americandream » Thu 05 Apr 2007, 08:23:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Temperedoil', 'T')here is an article on the Energy Bulletin website wherein the writer states his opinion that the USA is headed for a recession, probably toward the end of this year.

Energy Bulletin article on US recession risk

Given the importance of the US economy to the global economy, and considering that the risks to the US economy are likely to reverberate around the world through financial markets, it would seem to follow that the world as a whole is looking at a testing time in the months ahead.


An economy is its people.

Look around Auckland and ask yourself, what would the locusts do in the event of a risk to their standard of living..why..work harder.

Ditto America etc. The only terminus on this run away cornucopian express lies at either climate collapse or resource depletion..whichever comes first.
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby americandream » Thu 05 Apr 2007, 16:42:54

And no....resource depletion, notably ,has not yet commenced despite the bleatings on here.

The actions of the world will speak louder than all the peak oil doomerism. When I see the Chindian express falter, the Euroland dance miss a step and the mighty US ego take a dent...in concert, I will then be on the alert for....a socio economic event of global proportions.

For the moment, its business as usual (have you noted the almost unseemly demonstration of euphoria in business circles these days each time China so much as farts) bar a few sub-primers getting a roasting for borrowing/lending on the smell of an oil rag.
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby Ebyss » Thu 05 Apr 2007, 17:01:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '
')An economy is its people.

Look around Auckland and ask yourself, what would the locusts do in the event of a risk to their standard of living..why..work harder.

Ditto America etc. The only terminus on this run away cornucopian express lies at either climate collapse or resource depletion..whichever comes first.


Is that what they did when the Great Depression hit?
We've tried nothin' and we're all out of ideas.

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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby mmasters » Thu 05 Apr 2007, 17:13:59

A few more years of growth is necessary to complete the global infrastructure.
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby strider3700 » Thu 05 Apr 2007, 17:27:31

Canada is already slowing down along with the US
http://www.cbc.ca/money/story/2007/04/0 ... rmits.html

THe largest decline coming from industry. This isn't just "a few sub-primers getting a roasting for borrowing/lending on the smell of an oil rag". This is what the start of a recession looks like.
shame on us, doomed from the start
god have mercy on our dirty little hearts
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby Zentric » Thu 05 Apr 2007, 18:37:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'A') few more years of growth is necessary to complete the global infrastructure.


Hi mmasters,

Besides a ranch in Paraguay that needs building, where else on the planet other than parts of India and China, and the permanent bases in Iraq, are we aggressively building out possibly future-dependent infrastructure?

Could it be the furtherance into debt and the further adherence to "the system" which is the growth in global infrastructure that you speak of?
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby DesertBear2 » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:07:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Temperedoil', '
')Given the importance of the US economy to the global economy......


That is an interesting point to consider. What does the US provide to the global economy? Tanks, bombs, F16s, and some inferior automotive products. Some entertainment products ie Hollywoord movies. Some legal services. Maybe some scrap metal and carboard and agricultural products. Oh and lots and lots of funny money type debt obligations.

The global economy is much more critical for the US than the US economy is to the world. The global economy is shipping us what?- 15 million barrels a day of oil. Massive numbers of quality electronic products from Asia. Specialize agricultural products from all over the world. Most of our clothing and shoes. Almost all of our bicycles, parts, tires etc. Most of our auto replacement parts. And most of it is courtesy of millions of Asian slaves that toil endless hours for a pittance.

And let's not forget that the US currently absorbs 75% of the total of global savings .

The key word above is currently.
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby MonteQuest » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 19:57:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DesertBear2', 'W')hat does the US provide to the global economy?


The world's reserve currency and a place to invest their savings.

You answered your own question.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nd let's not forget that the US currently absorbs 75% of the total of global savings .

The key word above is currently.


Connect the dots.
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby mmasters » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 20:03:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zentric', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'A') few more years of growth is necessary to complete the global infrastructure.


Hi mmasters,

Besides a ranch in Paraguay that needs building, where else on the planet other than parts of India and China, and the permanent bases in Iraq, are we aggressively building out possibly future-dependent infrastructure?

Could it be the furtherance into debt and the further adherence to "the system" which is the growth in global infrastructure that you speak of?

India and China aside, there's a lot of new development coming online in the Pacific Rim. Places like Indonesia, Japan, the Phillipines and then other odd places like Mongolia. Add to that further corporate consolidation and consolidation of world markets into "global infrastructure". Of course as well debt dependance isn't as hopeless as it could be. :twisted:
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby DesertBear2 » Fri 06 Apr 2007, 23:33:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DesertBear2', 'W')hat does the US provide to the global economy?


The world's reserve currency and a place to invest their savings.

You answered your own question.


A world reserve currency on it's last legs.....backed up by an overbuilt military machine and soon to be replaced with something like baskets of regional currencies. Asian capital markets will ultimately be the place to park serious capital- not in the US. Watch how fast it happens if we use nukes on Iran.

Besides, a currency is basically just a method of economic organization and is worthless without a serious economy backing it up- no matter how many resources the empire invests in the dark hole of militarization. The US sprawl machine generates lots of big economic numbers but is also basically just another energy-sucking black hole and certainly of little import as a factor in the global economy. International central bankers will not be endeared to further dollar investments by the ongoing disaster in US housing sector.
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Re: World growth to 'resist US blip' - IMF

Postby MonteQuest » Sat 07 Apr 2007, 02:34:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DesertBear2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DesertBear2', 'W')hat does the US provide to the global economy?


The world's reserve currency and a place to invest their savings.

You answered your own question.


A world reserve currency on it's last legs......


Obviously.

Oh, and another thing the US provides to the global economy...a place to sell their wares.
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