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The Cassandra of Toledo: A Requiem For Mitigation

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: The Cassandra of Toledo: A Requiem For Mitigation

Unread postby NEOPO » Sat 17 Mar 2007, 03:05:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('WildRose', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NEOPO', 'C')all me crazy but I still have hope for a non draconian transition.
I think if people who are "aware" would quit pretending that everything is hopeless and actually DO SOMETHING that we might just get by this without having to jam RFID chips up everyones asses :lol:


I do gravitate towards this position, NEOPO, and agree that we are capable of much more than we give ourselves credit for, especially in a pinch.

Now, do you have hope for mitigation in large urban centers as well as smaller towns and eco communities?

The reason I ask is because, knowing that it's impossible for everyone to move to a rural setting, how can we get started with mitigation in highly populated areas?

I'm aware of groups starting community gardens and the work of the Post Carbon Institute (particularly their relocalization groups across North America) and am doing all I can do with my own home in the city.

What are your thoughts?

Rose,
Thank you for the enquiry and even though I am aware of many others who feel at least somewhat as I do it is good to be reminded periodically especially around here.

I am very much torn within as to how well I feel cities will fare post peak and certainly some are in a much better position then others. Some are closer to food and water - walkable/bikable communities - peak aware - electrical production dependent mainly upon renewables and/or alternatives etc etc. and all of this has been discussed here many times over and well read by many including yours truly and from this it seems there is the concensus that "post peak quality" cities are few and far between and fewer still are those who have more then one of these things to offer and I must concur.

In 05'/06' I was in Miami and then Fort lauderdale for about 4 months total yet my employment takes me all over an area so suffice to say I saw most of Miami and probably all of ft lauderdale, pompano beach, dania et al in that time and it looks totally unsustainable IMHO.
I see little hope for places like that and I simply do not know what we should do besides some sort of redistribution of the masses and yes I understand what anything like that is suggesting.

Yes I saw vast treks of unused land all over the map and tons of food could be grown yet getting people to do this a season or two before anything like a gas and food shortage occurs is a frustrating thought to say the least. What are they doing instead? Having every orange tree in sight felled because of the tree disease canker or some such theory.
I distinctively recall a man giving me his theory on the real "diabolical" reason he believed they wanted all of the orange trees removed and honestly I have a hard time denying the possibility of conspiracy.

Perhaps a small percent of the 5+ million people in the Miami area could remain "sustainably" yet who decides who and how many?
and this is why I feel that it will ultimately be a more natural migration yet it will speed up or slow down dependent upon depletion rates and our collective efforts to continue to prop up these areas with imported resources as well as our haste toward more "alternatives" etc etc...

I will mention global warming only to say that in this southern florida example we can only hope that a 20 feet or similar rise in sea level does not occur.

2000 to 2003 I watched and assisted as a small city became the center of a sprawling suburbs which was the area surrounding Manassas VA and of course this land was previously nothing but farmlands.

If my personal experiences are any indication of what is going on in and around most cities then my overall prediction would be a tad more dire.

Since 96 I have been many places on the east coast - approximately 25-30 distinct major as well as minor metro areas and it is usually new developments that require my skilled presence the most thus I have basically been living and participating in a Kunstler-esque style nightmare which I did not perceive as such until after becoming PO aware - heck I thought I was helping america build its dream er something like that.

It must be fairly evident by now that I do not wish to be mistaken for someone who has much hope for the cities yet I do believe a natural wildebeast style migration will occur and then we bump up against the very real limits of arable land which is another discussion in an unto itself.

Some cities yes, most cities no, yet the potential for chaos virtually anywhere can never be ruled out even without depletion so of course it cannot be ruled out with it.
IMHO With decline rate so goes the potential for chaos and also so goes the speed of the migrations.
If we were to realize a year or two of near double digit declines I feel most of the larger cities would thin out considerably which would give those who remain a better chance minus the initial elevation in chaos factor of course.

We must try to wreck gracefully sums my thoughts up best and some of us will be jumping off at a high rate of speed as that seems better then simply waiting for the impact.

Its definately going to be a train wreck with many unforeseeable ramifications yet at some point the brakes will be applied by depletion and demand destruction if not by the conductor.
I for one am not waiting to be priced out of existence.

Again there are many things we could do and it seems those are the things most are not doing and this observation appears to apply to the aware as well as the unaware.

I will not lie and openly admit that I have tried and failed in my/our first endeavor and initially felt as if I/we have wasted much valueable time and resources yet it has done nothing but galvanize me/us into a more determined state of mind and into a different and probably better direction.
I say I/WE as I do not accept all of the blame :roll:

We have learned alot, what not to do and say, how not to communicate, how not to break horribly relevant bad news stories to early peakers etc etc so in that sense it was time and money well spent.

There seems to be some here who are immersed in apathy and totally lacking empathy, why this bothers me still I do not know but that is why I rant - it really really bothers me and especially so when I see people with any sway or authority over others whatsoever displaying the same attitude.
This "anger" I guess you could call it applies equally so to my convictions concerning war and the environment.

Now I sense that I must get on with it and get away from this unsustainable way of life before I feel the need to silence one of the lambs :lol:
Do you see clarise! do you see! 8)

Laughter and pale attempts at comic relief has been very beneficial lately so please bare with me and my bad jokes.
I really do not know what we must do - I only know what I feel that I must now do.

The following bit of angst on display is simply popping out of my head now so please do not hate me for it 8)

Hey Matt Savinar?
If all most of us are doing is nothing but fight or flight self serving monkey man theory then why arent ALL the monkeys doing it?!
Yeah!!!
I am sure you will get it one of these days yet hopefully that day will arrive before your supposedly well sculpted buttocks is roasting on some hostile monkeys open fire along with your heirloom seed collection :-D
I dont hate ya Matt and I think you do a great service getting the word out YET your deep seated belief in all things psychological borders on mind control and even though I can poke fun at it, it rarely fails to creep me out...

Okay - I tried to stay on track but this big hairy subject has so many big hairy flailing arms its easy for me at least to get off track.
Love to hear your further thoughts on this Rose and to know more about your efforts as well.
Goodnight all.

Bob Dylan's MASTERS of WAR
It is easier to enslave a people that wish to remain free then it is to free a people who wish to remain enslaved.
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Re: The Cassandra of Toledo: A Requiem For Mitigation

Unread postby sameu » Sat 17 Mar 2007, 06:49:47

end of humankind or not
in any event
it will be more interesting then the boring consumerstyle 9-5 work jadajada keeping up appearences lifestyle most of the people have now :roll:
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Re: The Cassandra of Toledo: A Requiem For Mitigation

Unread postby WildRose » Sun 18 Mar 2007, 00:37:41

NEOPO, thanks for responding at length! I did glean a lot of what I think is valuable information from your observations in your travels. I can certainly see where you're coming from and I do agree with your insights about the large urban centers, especially where no thought is being given to a powered down existence. Some of the cities in locations where there is adequate water, arable land, people with open minds and less urban sprawl will fare better with less energy.

I'm in Alberta, as you may know, in a city made up of people with all levels of income, from the very poor to the very wealthy, lots of people currently making a good living but also with huge debt. I really do shudder to think what will happen if the worst of our fears is realized and we really are about to face rapidly declining energy, not only depleting oil and natural gas but also higher priced electricity. I can only guess at the fallout from all of this in this city where as a whole, we have such a huge sense of entitlement.

Our preparations are centered on working to pay off debt, doing what needs to be done to our home while it's still possible, and looking at areas that may be more sustainable should we decide to leave. We're starting a garden here this spring (we did have a large garden at our first home and were successful with it), but this time we'll be learning from scratch how to build healthy soil. We just want to be sure that we have some skill at doing this. Fortunately, my husband has a lot of marketable skills (mechanics of every description), which he is starting to teach to our kids. My line of work may not be around for long, kind of depends on what happens with technology, although I have a pretty good medical background and am quite trainable that way.

I'm looking into relocalization efforts by groups in Alberta through the Post Carbon Institute. As far as I can see, they are about the most positive thinkers for sustainability that I've come across around here.

There's a lot to think about. It occupies quite a bit of my time these days, but I think it's important to learn as much as one can. I don't think I've ever done so much reading in my life, not even during my time in college!

Thanks again for your reply.
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Re: The Cassandra of Toledo: A Requiem For Mitigation

Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Sun 18 Mar 2007, 02:58:10

"We must try to wreck gracefully" NEOPO I'd put that in a signature file to go on the end of each of my posts if I knew how. :lol:
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