by MrBill » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 04:26:47
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'I') think someone might question how MrBill can be a moderator when he can't even argue a subject matter in the finance realm he professes expertise in and constantly works to cultivate an aura of respectability in.
Add to that spreading false information concerning the banking system and knowingly or unknowingly trying to dissuade people from the truth (even when rock-solid documentation refuting his claims is presented).
Furthermore when he can't even carry on a logical argument and solely resorts to personal attacks against forum members.
If you want to be a Moderator Mmasters then be my guest. It is a lot of aggravation for nothing in return.
As to my understanding of banking. If you do not understand something I have written, let me know. But do not ask me to explain it all again in detail when you're not listening in any case. I have neither the time nor the inclination.
Please compare my posts with the Chicago Fed link
Modern Money Mechanics and tell me specifically where my detailed explanations are at odds with what is written. Actually the link goes into far more detail than I did about the T accounts used for assets & liabilities in money creation through fractional banking.
But the point is that money is created when banks on lend 0.90 of their balances
1.0 + 0.9 + 0.81 + 0.729 ...... = 10X
And not Bank One lending 9X based on one primary deposit thereby 'creating money out of thin air'
I have tried everything, but one more example of why there is only one right explanation and all other explanations are wrong by default. There is no gray area here.
This is for the others who do want to learn.
Return on Assets (ROA) for US banks.
Citigroup ROA = 1.27%
JPMorgan Chase ROA = 1.13%
Bankof America ROA = 1.53%
That would be consistant with taking in deposits and then making loans based on my definition of fractional banking. Margins are tight, competition is fierce.
Based on your definition of creating money out of thin air by lending out 9X of any primary deposit they would pay on-site deposits what 2%? And then they could turn around and invest directly in risk-free US treasuries that are called cash equivalents because they are highly liquid and can be converted to cash on a T + 0 or T + 1 basis.
What would the ROA then be?
On demand deposit = 2%
10yUST = 4.50%
net 2.50%
then
0.1 x 0% = 0%
0.9 x 2.50% = 2.25%
8 x 4.50% = 36.0%
ROA = 0% + 2.25% + 36.0% = 38.25% p.a.
nice business if you can get it?
You can also look at the calculation as
site deposit = 2%
minimum reserve at CB = 10% x 0%
loan lending = 9 x 4.50% = 40.50%
ROA = 40.50% - 2% = 38.50%
But clearly this is nonsense as well.
Well, Citigroup, Bank of America and JPChase are all primary dealers. Why is their ROA 1.13% to 1.53% instead of 38.25%? Keeping in mind that commercial loans at a spread over USTs would mean an even higher ROA.
Citigroup calculates their capital adequacy ratios (CAD) differently than Bank of America and JPChase.
Citigroup CAD = 11.71%
Bank of America CAD = 11.88%
JPChase CAD = 12.30%
Not zero or some other ridiculously low number associated with creating money out of thin air.
I do not have any number for Citigroup. But for the others.
Bank of America Tier I capital = 8.64%
JPChase Tier I CAD = 8.70%
That is the bank's own capital or reserves along with minimum CAD requirements set aside for bad loans, on demand deposits, investment liquidity and contingencies. Again it is not zero or some other ridiculously low number associated with creating money out of thin air.
Of course, the bank's use leverage.
Bank of America leverage to CAD ratio = 6.36%
JPChase leverage to CAD = 6.20%
Again I have no numbers for Citigroup because they account for it differently, so straight forward comparisons would be misleading.
That allows them to earn a return on equity (ROE) of
Citigroup ROE = 18.66%
Bank of America ROE = 18.07%
JPChase ROE = 12.96%
Not bad at all. The Canadian banks earn higher ROEs though.
But still no where near 38.25% or more if the banks could simply lend out 9X their deposits or invest them directly into safe USTs.
So I took all this information from Bloomberg. I sometimes notice slight discrepancies between data from Bloomberg and Reuters, but it is a matter of public record, so you can download the numbers from the bank's own webpages or go to the official returns that these bank's must file every quarter. Because we know my word cannot be trusted. So please if you do not agree with me then look the numbers up yourself.
Now, I am going away on a business trip from now until March 21st and will not be logged onto peak oil dot com while I am away, so you can say all the nasty things you want about me, and my lack of understanding of capital markets. Go ahead, I am sure you will feel better about yourself?
But if you find something in my posts that are at odds with what is written at the Chicago Fed's pages then please document it and let me know. As you are very sure of your own position, and equally sure I am wrong, this is a perfect chance for you to prove it. Thanks.
UPDATE: I made a mistake in my calculation. And it was a dumb one. Sorry for any confusion. Cheers.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.