by Concerned » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 00:36:15
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Micki', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'r')un on the bank?
Isn't that when everyone takes out their savings?
No risk, there are no savings.
Well actually it is a problem. Because it means you owe money to the bank and it owes the money to the person(s) who loaned the money to them.
It's the principle of a run on the bank that holds as the danger.
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by MonteQuest » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 01:47:46
There is an existing 45 page thread that covers every single point you made here. There is even an existing poll to the same effect. Why didn't you put in a 'No" option? Yes and perhaps, but not sure?
Ever read the Code of Conduct here?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Code of Conduct', 'S')elect the most appropriate Forum in which to post your message. Try to make sure someone else has not already started a discussion on the same subject before you post. If someone has already started a discussion/topic on a particular subject or article, please post your information in a reply instead of starting a new topic.
Last edited by
MonteQuest on Fri 09 Mar 2007, 01:55:47, edited 1 time in total.
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by MonteQuest » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 01:51:25
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JustWatch', 'A')n argument I hear concerns the fiat money system being a pyramid scheme.
I have never heard anyone claim that here or elsewhere. It has been
likened unto one, however:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ur system of fractional reserve banking suffers from an inherent instability that increases over time; because at the base, fractional reserve banking is a kind of Ponzi or pyramid scheme. As long as there is economic growth the pyramid stands, but if not, it collapses like a house of cards.
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by MonteQuest » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 02:02:12
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JustWatch', ' ') Once it began to run out, the government could simply spend a bunch of money and build some roads or something, or give out huge government contracts or whatever to put more money into circulation, they don’t have to loan it out. They could simply spend as much as they wanted in order to put more money into circulation by spending it on Medicaid and The Military Industrial Complex or thousands and thousands of other social programs and welfare giveaways as they are doing right now. Problem solved.
You do realize that the US government goes into debt to foreign central banks to do this, don't you?
3 billion a day at the moment. Japan, China, Taiwan, and South Korea.
They don't have to loan it out, but they sure as hell have to borrow it to spend it.
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by MonteQuest » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 02:08:31
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JustWatch', ' ')Of course the fact that the GAO accounting office would have to keep the total amount of money owed continually growing larger and ever larger is not a real problem either. They can put any figure they want on that piece of paper no matter how huge because it will only be a problem if the users of said fake notes become unwilling to use them.
Oh? The CAD is not a problem? Guess you need to do a little research on trade deficits as a percentage of GDP.
Users? You mean holders of dollar denominated assets? The Chinese hold about $1 trillion in dollar reserves. What if they cashed all those IOU's?
It will be a huge problem if the holders of said fake notes become unwilling to hold them.
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by MonteQuest » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 02:14:51
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Micki', ' ')If US$ for instance goes down the drain, it will not necessarily lead to end of the fiat system. Just like Weimar was an isoleted event, US currency can go under without dragging every other currency with it. Although commodities for instance should gain, I think money would simply move into other countries currencies.
So, tell me...what other fiat currency based upon debt can grow by compound interest while the energy required for economic growth declines?
Don't people realize that all debt-based money systems must grow?
Weimar Germany in 1923 was not hampered by a lack of energy to recover.
We have no corrolary by which to compare. None.
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by max_power29 » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 06:46:44
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')
It will be a huge problem if the holders of said fake notes become unwilling to hold them.
I for one am unwilling to hold them. I wonder how many more people there are like me right now.
I don't think the zimbabweans would agree with the original poster right now.
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by JustWatch » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 12:15:36
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JustWatch', 'A')n argument I hear concerns the fiat money system being a pyramid scheme.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MQ', '
')I have never heard anyone claim that here or elsewhere. It has been likened unto one, however.
I hear that all over the place, and not just here either. I’ve read that opinion countless times. Mostly at contrarian sites. What I think they are alluding to is that the money has to grow exponentially and therefore it's a pyramid. In a sense, they may be right, but only partially. A true pyramid scheme has to keep growing, or it dies. (Sounds kinda like you!) My argument is only that it will probably keep growing, but that it doesn’t necessarily have to die because of oil depletioin. It only dies when people become unwilling to use it, not because of how big it gets. Look at how monstrously big it is now!
My opinion is that oil decline will be disruptive most certainly, but at the same time I think it’s possible that the dollar could still be around long after all the oil is gone. We just don’t really KNOW. That’s my whole argument in a nutshell. Although I do agree that all fiat systems will eventually die because of people becoming unwilling to use them. I didn’t put a third option of no because I accidentally hit the post-it button rather than the review button. I tried to change it three times, it wouldn’t let me do it. But that’s ok, I think the only correct answer is “Perhaps, but not sure.” The other two are opinions. If you could get someone to add it, I would appreciate that. Thanks. I want “No way, can’t happen?”
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MQ', '
')You do realize that the US government goes into debt to foreign central banks to do this, don't you?
They don't have to loan it out, but they sure as hell have to borrow it to spend it.
Oh? The CAD is not a problem? Guess you need to do a little research on trade deficits as a percentage of GDP.
Users? You mean holders of dollar denominated assets? The Chinese hold about $1 trillion in dollar reserves. What if they cashed all those IOU's?
Yes I know they have to go into debt to foreign governments. Yes, they have to borrow it. They can do this from the bank too, they don’t have to get it elsewhere if they don’t want to. I’m aware of the CAD. All these things are just ways of making things very complex, and at the same time, trying to find ways that it “might” or “could” fail. They are valid, for sure. But they are not central to the idea of whether or not it “MUST” fail. They are just reasons it “could” fail. They are only opinions based on the future possibilities, not facts of what WILL happen. We don’t know what will happen yet. We can only guess and make assumptions. Guesses and assumptions are not facts.
Now this next is only opinion, because I don’t really know all the in’s and out’s of what the heck is going on in Washington (None of us really do after all, there could be so much corruption it could make our heads spin.) The Fed and the government could be in cahoots with one another, and they could do anything they want. They could print all the dang money they want, and send that money around the world on computers and whatever, and there’s not a thing we could do about it. It’s what goes on behind closed doors as they say. That’s what bothers me, because they could be doing this to cover their own ass, so to speak. You know, to keep the whole messed up system going, so that it doesn’t collapse and to keep people as well as foreign governments from abandoning the currency. I really do believe that if they aren’t already doing this, that eventually they will. What do you think about this, MQ?
Oh, and by the way,
Repetitive posting MQ!!! I count 5 in a row…..shame on you! (That’s ok, I don’t mind a bit. My scroll button works fine.)
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('max_power29', '
')I for one am unwilling to hold them. I wonder how many more people there are like me right now.
I don't think the zimbabweans would agree with the original poster right now.
They understand the fact that true democracy is nothing but a fallacy whereby idiots are elected into power and these idiots then have to cater to the morons that elected them in the first place.
Sol Palha
by MonteQuest » Fri 09 Mar 2007, 20:33:45
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JustWatch', 'I')’ll talk at ya later!
Let's hope not.
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by Concerned » Sat 10 Mar 2007, 06:51:41
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('HEADER_RACK', 'I') was reading through this thread and something occured to me. Is it even possible to have a run on a bank or banks in this day and age?
Last time everyone used hard currency for purchaces.Now most people carry a debit card. Just swipe it! If you have electricity, you pretty much have access to your money in a bank.
Of course you can you just need to have the people who are bankrolling you want their money back.
The whole point being there is not enough money (real or digital) available to cover outstanding claims. Especially when loans are made on inflated assett values, that will sink faster than they can be paid back.
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