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PeakOil is You

It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Is it time to take debt?

yes, and invest it in sustainable infrastructure
10
No votes
yes, and invest in hoarding
8
No votes
yes, other
4
No votes
hmmmm....
21
No votes
 
Total votes : 43

Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby coyote » Fri 12 Jan 2007, 13:11:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Torjus', '-') Much of the silver in the world has been spent for industrial purposes. But because we don't use silver for money anymore (or yet) that loss isn't calculated into the current price. When the need comes for using silver as money again, it will be far more precious when it used to.

Interesting. Is that just because of the greater physical scarcity of the metal as it is now, that there actually won't be enough of the stuff to make the coin we need?

I like silver anyway. I've been thinking about throwing in for some if I can sense a trend shift as it's happening.

Debt: I'm in quite a bit of debt at the moment, but it's been for a good cause: education, both conventional (increase hireability, so I can relocate) and peak oil specific (survival and outdoorsing training). Much of my thought is bent on paying down as much of that as I can, as quickly as I can. I think going into debt for a specific, rational, long term goal is okay. Otherwise, stay out of debt if at all possible.
Lord, here comes the flood
We'll say goodbye to flesh and blood
If again the seas are silent in any still alive
It'll be those who gave their island to survive...
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby Revi » Fri 12 Jan 2007, 13:34:52

We're out of debt next year. Then I'm thinking of building the ultimate earth bermed bug out spot. Not too far away, but undetectable from the road, like MD's idea. Stovepipe pokes up, smoke goes up through the trees. Facing south with solar panels and solar hot water, fed from a spring. The way I see it, people in the area may know we're there, but people marauding from some other place would have no idea. It would be the ultimate safe haven. The only problem is getting the cement poured in there without disturbing too much vegetation. I still haven't got the right land for it, but I have some ideas. I don't want to go into debt to do it, but maybe it makes sense to borrow now so that you have some place to go later.
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby TorrKing » Fri 12 Jan 2007, 14:33:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('coyote', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Torjus', '-') Much of the silver in the world has been spent for industrial purposes. But because we don't use silver for money anymore (or yet) that loss isn't calculated into the current price. When the need comes for using silver as money again, it will be far more precious when it used to.

Interesting. Is that just because of the greater physical scarcity of the metal as it is now, that there actually won't be enough of the stuff to make the coin we need?

I like silver anyway. I've been thinking about throwing in for some if I can sense a trend shift as it's happening.


In fact most of the stuff is gone.
http://www.silverstockreport.com/essays ... ilver.html

Don't know any details of much is left though.
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby topcat » Fri 12 Jan 2007, 16:29:49

MD said:

[fade]I am selling everything and investing the proceeds in the future; in a direct and concrete fashion.[/fade]

MD, Anything in particular you can share with us on this?

If you do follow Plan B, just remember ya kant call em rednecks, theys gotta be called Appalacian Americans nowadays.
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby Revi » Fri 12 Jan 2007, 17:43:54

Silver seems like a good move now. I like old US coins like peace dollars and other pre-1964 coins. They are about 90% silver and a silver dollar contains about .78 of an ounce of silver, so you can pick one up for around $10 now, or maybe a little more. The value may go up and down, but the trend is obviously up. A quarter is worth around $2.50 now, so that shows that all money is worth about 1/10 of what it was then. And you can buy them a few at a time. I call it the poor man's hedge fund.
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby MD » Sat 13 Jan 2007, 05:28:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'I') think, it is a time to pay off debt, not to take any more of it.
.....


I don't know. The idea of building the ten-year rat hole is very appealing. Borrow the money. Build the thing. Crawl in and disappear for ten years!

Doomer fantasy! Woo!
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby pea-jay » Sat 13 Jan 2007, 06:07:53

Okay what about this arguement.

Take out a mortgage you can service in the near term on a property with long term value (e.g. farmable) even if you have some doubt about the economy remaining strong enough to stave off mass bankruptcies, forclosures and the like.

Be able to service the loan long enough so you dont get tossed out in the early waves of forclosure

Cease to pay it when the currency collapses/or pay it completely off if it inflates out of sight.

Live happily ever after (or until the starving hoardes descend upon your property)

Ugh. Nevermind. Is this even an excercise worth undertaking.
UNplanning the future...
http://unplanning.blogspot.com
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby Revi » Sat 13 Jan 2007, 18:57:53

Pea Jay, I think it's an exercise worth pursueing. Why not? If the economy holds up you have the ultimate get-a-way out in the woods. It would be practically unassailable since it will be built out of concrete buried in the ground. Only one side open to the weather, and you could make that hard to find. I think it's a fun exercise in sustainability. A loan taken out for something like that is an investment. You're certainly not throwing your money away. (or the bank's)
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby Roy » Sun 14 Jan 2007, 09:53:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')kay what about this arguement.

Take out a mortgage you can service in the near term on a property with long term value (e.g. farmable) even if you have some doubt about the economy remaining strong enough to stave off mass bankruptcies, forclosures and the like.

Be able to service the loan long enough so you dont get tossed out in the early waves of forclosure

Cease to pay it when the currency collapses/or pay it completely off if it inflates out of sight.

Live happily ever after (or until the starving hoardes descend upon your property)

Ugh. Nevermind. Is this even an excercise worth undertaking.


Pea-Jay, you just read my mind there!

In fact that's exactly what I've planned. If, for some unknown reason, our economy continues as is, business-as-usual, what debt I do have is not a stretch on my budget.

Personally I doubt seriously that business as usual will continue to see my daughters graduate college (4yo and 5yo). Yet, if you had asked me two years ago, I would have thought that we would be worse off by now due to all the economic imbalances we have. Yet, the machine just keeps on running somehow.

How much longer? That is question.

I see an increase in demand for locally grown produce in the next few years and hope to be in a position to become a producer within the next 3 years.

IMO the best thing to do is to plan for multiple outcomes and have a way to position oneself to the best advantage regardless of what happens (ie TSHTF, depression, or business as usual).

I'm not borrowing any more money from a bank though, I can tell you that.
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby eXpat » Wed 21 Feb 2007, 16:17:19

EnergyUnlimited wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') think, it is a time to pay off debt, not to take any more of it.
.....


hmmm, the sheeple disagrees with you (See link ) so you must be right :P
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby keehah » Wed 21 Feb 2007, 17:36:35

Thats my plan Pea-Jay.
And I did buy some silver with credit in 2005 ($7.00oz).
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby Revi » Wed 21 Feb 2007, 22:01:11

Buying silver on credit a couple of years ago was a good move, but buying it now at $14 on credit may not be. Who knows what the roller coaster is doing? We could be going into a deflationary period, or we could resume the commodities ride. The only thing that's certain is death and taxes. I'm not borrowing now.
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby cube » Wed 21 Feb 2007, 22:13:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MD', '.')..and. invest them in sustainable infrastructure.

Fixed rate of course.

Basis:

Future dollars may come cheap(understatement)

Even if you lose the bet, you have improved the system.
*scratches head in confusion*

I think you have it mixed up.

Investment 101:
Sell what will go down in value.
Buy what will go up in value.

Therefore you should sell dollars not buy them.

As for borrowing dollars today in hopes of being able to pay back the loan using cheaper dollars in the future....that only works if there's anything worth buying. IMHO just about everything in America is overpriced and not worth buying, whether it's real estate or stocks.

As an American my patriotism stops at my wallet.
Meaning I will do what is best for my wallet....and right now is NOT a good time to invest in America.

my 2 cents
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Re: It may be time to borrow all the dollars you can...

Postby Revi » Wed 21 Feb 2007, 22:25:39

I think that there are a few things worth buying in the US, but it's hard to find them. They certainly aren't the things that we are advertized about every day. Anything that they have to push so hard to sell isn't worth buying. The thing is that the housing market is tanking, so most real estate is not worth buying right now. I don't trust the stock market anymore, and there is no sense in buying anything that burns more gas and oil. Silver has already had a run up, and may go higher, but it won't double as quickly as it has in the past few years.

The only things I'm investing in are a new small pickup truck and some improvements to our solar hot water and PV electricity. Otherwise, we're not doing anything. Just waiting for what's coming.
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