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Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

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Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby Narz » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 00:23:42

Just a little scenerio (not one that I plan to act out, not having a Manhattan Penthouse) I played with in my head as I walked thru Manhattan this "holiday season" (visiting my folks here).

Say you had a Penthouse apartment in Manhattan (or an outer bourough or any big city really) with exclusive roof access. And you know what was coming. Given the longer summers and shorter cold season, assuming you are in a very strong, old building could you survive?

Thinking about the fact that once PO gets really bad many may flee the city. Would be ideal if your neighbors all abandoned the building (except for you and your crew).

Would be good if you could get tons of seeds and excellent soil for growing beforehand and a few rabbits, maybe some small goats. (I'm getting a bit unrealistic you might say but I'm sure it's possible to sneak up a goat or two).

You could probably grow enough to survive on an acre of roof and thruout the building (on balconies and indoors) to survive without every leaving home. Obviously pluming would be an issue but you could start an outdoor compost heap and catch and filter rainwater. If your whole block had been abandoned you might be able to take over neighboring roofs for plantation.

What do you think of my scenerio here?
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby perdition79 » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 05:10:22

Another aspiring Block Lord out there? Urban survivalism; I've thought of it myself, and you've come to the same conclusion I have: most people will wind up fleeing the cities for the country, leaving quite a lot for a survivalist to work with. When TSHTF, I'm making a go of it at my apartment complex.
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby Narz » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 05:37:28

Nah, I had my share of urban life in my younger years. Even without all the traffic and pollution I'll take the country. I just figure it could be done, maybe even more easily and more defenseably. Of course, like in any good strategy game, it depends on what your neighbors decide to do.
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby eastbay » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 06:37:10

Someone quite hungry will see the roof top garden and take it away from you or destroy it trying. Defending a rooftop garden will be next to impossible when things deteriorate and guard duty will be an around the clock operation. Pointless IMO. Don't even bother.

*edited due to silly typo...
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby TommyJefferson » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 12:35:13

You could survive like those apartment dwellers did in the movie 28 Days Later.

Shotguns are legal in NYC. You should have one in your closet.

http://www.nyc.gov/html/nypd/html/dclm/licdiv_faq.html
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby PrairieMule » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 12:55:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TommyJefferson', 'Y')ou could survive like those apartment dwellers did in the movie 28 Days Later.

Shotguns are legal in NYC. You should have one in your closet.

http://www.nyc.gov/html/nypd/html/dclm/licdiv_faq.html


or
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and Vincent Price
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby TheTurtle » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 16:21:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', '
')Charlton Heston in
Omega man

and Vincent Price
I am Legend



Of course, Omega Man was just an updated version of I Am Legend, but your point is well taken. I wouldn't personally want to hole up on the top floor of a Manhattan building, but if one were well enough supplied to survive the first few weeks of survival horror, one might be able to make a go of it. And then one would be in a relatively unimpeded position to search for something better ... OUT of the city.
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby marko » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 17:33:45

I have a very different opinion. I actually think it matters a lot whether your penthouse is in Manhattan or in an outer borough. I also think it matters which part of Manhattan. I think that the elite parts of a few major cities will be fortified refuges for the elite, kind of like the Green Zone in Baghdad.

In fact, I think that Iraq is probably a good analogy for the US post-peak. If you were in Iraq and you were rich, or even moderately well off, where would you rather be? In the middle of the countryside surrounded by roaming gangs? In a small city like Fallujah? Or in the Green Zone in Baghdad?

Because Manhattan is an island, it will be easy for the private police of the elite enclave to secure and defend. There will be checkpoints at either end of any bridges, tunnels, or ferry terminals that remain around the island. Possibly the Upper East Side would be cordoned off for extra security, with fortifications built down the middle of, say 59th Street, 5th Ave., and 94th Street. The people living in this enclave will earn an income, albeit reduced, from their investments elsewhere and will be able to defend their enclave and import necessities and even a few luxuries. The remaining resources of the government will be devoted to defending the property and the safety of these people.
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby dogf » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 17:41:29

I would think by the time the neighbors started getting aggressive, they would have gone through a few months with massive unemployment, government failure, no transportation etc. So on that time line, I can't see thousands walking a couple hundred miles looking to squat on some farmer's field without the knowledge of what to do when they got there. And that's assuming the farmer just let them squat.
I am a believer that while we will get to huge die off, it will be a slow process and everyone will become urban horticulturists to some degree. BTW, a few weeks of managing your plot in the sky will not be enough to realize your efforts. By the time harvest was ready, you may have given up unless you were already stocked up. And a couple goats worth of meat would be gone before your radishes were ready.
I believe most will learn from you when they have the time after they have gotten laid off at the car factory.
GM employees will actually benefit from being laid off years ahead of the Toyota plant so they will have more time to assimilate to the new way of life.
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby DesertBear2 » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 17:55:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('marko', 'I')f you were in Iraq and you were rich, or even moderately well off, where would you rather be? In the middle of the countryside surrounded by roaming gangs? In a small city like Fallujah? Or in the Green Zone in Baghdad?

You forgot to mention the most common situation of all- non-green zone Baghdad.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('marko', ' ')The people living in this enclave will earn an income, albeit reduced, from their investments elsewhere and will be able to defend their enclave and import necessities and even a few luxuries.

Maybe investments in real estate? or in bank CDs?

Would the import business be liable to disruption? Maybe by the zombies of the outside regions?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('marko', ' ')The remaining resources of the government will be devoted to defending the property and the safety of these people.


The "outsiders" will have nothing to live for and will be willing to sacrifice their lives to appropriate the wealth of the people in the favored zones. Or just destroy them. Like in Baghdad....

If any semblance of a voting system remains, the outsiders will vote in politicians who will level the society by force.
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Sun 31 Dec 2006, 00:42:18

Are you nuts. It is HARD to grow enough food to meet your calorie needs. I know lots of people that work at subsistence farming and every one of them ends up buying food because they can't grow enough calories. OTOH, there are billions (maybe trillions) of calories ambling dociley around New York. If you want to survive in NYC, vegetarianism is not going to be your friend. Grow the garden for seasonings and garnishes, but your best source of calories is clearly going to be from hunting long pig.
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby spear » Sun 31 Dec 2006, 07:29:56

And depending on how high up you are,you might want to throw a parachute in your closet for just in case you have to leave in a hurry.
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby TheTurtle » Sun 31 Dec 2006, 10:12:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '.').., but your best source of calories is clearly going to be from hunting long pig.


8O Eww, I was expecting you to say rat. :P
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby TommyJefferson » Sun 31 Dec 2006, 12:42:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'O')TOH, there are billions (maybe trillions) of calories ambling dociley around New York.


You are so naughty. :mrgreen:

In that case, a scoped .223 with a sound suppressor might be more apropo.

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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby jupiters_release » Mon 01 Jan 2007, 04:39:02

If you can afford and live in a Manhattan penthouse, you probably know nothing about autonomous post-SHTF living. This is one imaginitive step above hypothetical cornucopian thought.
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Re: Peak Oil Survival in a Manhattan Penthouse?

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Mon 01 Jan 2007, 04:51:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TommyJefferson', 'I')n that case, a scoped .223 with a sound suppressor might be more apropo.
Dang it Tommy, you promised you wouldn't spread that photo around! :P
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