Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby Bas » Sat 09 Dec 2006, 17:11:35

As I see it, food prices will rise as there will be an increased demand for biofuels will skyrocket; money will flow from the city to the rural areas.

Comments please.
Bas
 

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby Bas » Sat 09 Dec 2006, 17:35:12

I disagree, most value adding happens in cities, why do you think we have to subsidize our farmers?
Bas
 

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 09 Dec 2006, 18:08:32

No.

Profit-taking corporations are going to profit from PO.
Ludi
 

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby EnergyHog » Sat 09 Dec 2006, 18:32:03

I don't see farmers getting rich anytime soon and I don't recall hearing of such a situation in history either (let me in on it if you do know of a time where farmers were wealthy). The only people that are going to be getting any richer are the rich as has been the case for some time now. Everyone else will be hard pressed to maintain their current lifestyle. I think the key will be turning oneself into a producer, not just a consumer. It's a competition, exploit or be exploited. I don't like it anymore than anyone else but that's the way it seems to be.
Survive the economic fallout...
PeakEconomy.com
User avatar
EnergyHog
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 215
Joined: Mon 27 Mar 2006, 04:00:00

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby Bas » Sat 09 Dec 2006, 23:48:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'N')o.

Profit-taking corporations are going to profit from PO.


you underestimate the freedom of information.
Bas
 

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby billybell88 » Sun 10 Dec 2006, 00:12:42

I think that the South will fair well with Peak Oil given the rich land and warm climate.
Prepare for Peak Oil
http://www.kbkmedia.com
billybell88
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 34
Joined: Sat 09 Dec 2006, 04:00:00

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby Heineken » Sun 10 Dec 2006, 10:29:07

Other than in a few relatively isolated places, the soil in the South is actually rather poor. It's been severely damaged by centuries of cotton and tobacco farming, not to mention more modern activities such as tree farming.

And, would you like to have starving NASCAR types as neighbors?
"Actually, humans died out long ago."
---Abused, abandoned hunting dog

"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
---I & my bro.
User avatar
Heineken
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 7051
Joined: Tue 14 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Rural Virginia

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby AWPrime » Sun 10 Dec 2006, 11:18:17

And the warm climate makes hard work difficult.
AWPrime
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 514
Joined: Thu 07 Jul 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Europe

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby Laughs_Last » Sun 10 Dec 2006, 12:40:48

You could sell T-Shirts from a roadside stand. “I headed for the hills and all I got was this lousy T-Shirt.” Cha-ching!
Laughs_Last
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 510
Joined: Tue 26 Jul 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby alecifel » Fri 15 Dec 2006, 10:14:07

PO is going to level things. Before the oil age, people in rural areas pretty much lived a subsistence life while people in cities were crowded, mostly poor, and subject to crime. The availability of cheap energy has allowed a great boost of opulence but when energy costs reach their true value, all will be as it was before. We'll have the nice gizmos, internet and cell phones, etc. But transportation is going to be expensive again and so will having a bigger house than you really need.

I forsee a dual economy coming in America. The cities will have high rents, incredibly expensive food and lots of people sharing houses to make ends meet. Crime is going to be a constant factor of daily life and taxes will have to be very high to support the police and other infrastructure.

The rural economy will be as it was before the industrial revolution: self-supporting farmers who trade mostly with each other but rarely have two quarters to rub together. Country wages will be cheap, VERY cheap. Anyone who is presently living in the country but not producing their own resources, is either going to have to adapt or move.

On the other hand, the country is going to see a lot of vagrants. The people who can't make it in the city, who lose it all, are going to start wandering and foraging. We'll be able to take a lot of them in and have a good workforce for raising food (sharecropping etc.) but if you live in the country like I do, be sure to keep your guns in good operating condition and a close relationship with your community. And don't allow an abandoned home to stand... it'll attract the wrong kind of people.

Nobody will really benefit from PO. But all in all, I think one's prospects are better in the country than in the city. Either way, you can expect to have a lot fewer luxuries.
Nick J. Allen
Hilton, Oklahoma

"The Chinese have many hells. This one is the hell of valueless currency." -- J. Albertson
User avatar
alecifel
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 166
Joined: Thu 02 Feb 2006, 04:00:00
Location: Luther, OK

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby kenohio » Mon 25 Dec 2006, 00:30:42

Some rural areas will do well, very well in fact but the bounty won't be shared equally.

If you want to see rural areas that will do well, you need to look to the past. There are areas that in the past were thriving towns/cities due to their easy access to water transport, forest products, good farmland and energy sources such as coal, oil and natural gas.

I see many areas of Appalachian Mountains doing very well due to the abundance of the above in addition to a workforce that isn't too far removed from working the land. Most of these areas are very livable without air conditioning, have ample rainfall, decent soil and coal reserves.

A lot of these areas back in the 1800's and early 1900's were far wealthier than most Southern areas due to the abundance of natural resources. A lot of those resources are still there, but aren't a great alternative to oil at current prices. In the future that valuation will most likely re-adjust making these forgotten areas desirable once again.

Look at many of these areas and you will see huge tracts of land that had higher populations 75 years ago than they do today. Once the economic puzzle shifts so will the wealth of the landowners in these areas.
User avatar
kenohio
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 53
Joined: Tue 29 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Pittsburgh, PA

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby thuja » Mon 25 Dec 2006, 12:24:31

lets see-thesis: Money will flow from urban areas to rural areas post peak.

The vast majority of land in rural areas is owned by Big Ag, Big Timber, Big Coal/Oil and Big Mineral. Money has always flowed to the corporations who own these lands and to the companies involved in processing and distribution. These companies are located...in cities. When inflation takes off, money will go increasingly to urban based corporations who control the rural landscape.

Money does not "flow" to rural areas. It flows to the controlling interests.
User avatar
thuja
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2202
Joined: Sat 15 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Portland, Oregon

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby TreebeardsUncle » Mon 25 Dec 2006, 13:30:59

Well, it also depends on the location. The U.S. doesn't have much in the way of true rural areas or communities. It has suburbs, decrepit cities with sterile highrise districts, and large areas of land owned by agricultural etc conglomerates. Expect investors in oil rig leasing and servicing companies to do well in the early years after peak. Levels of indebtedness will increase among the US population at large until dispossession frees them of much of their excesses. Already rural poor commuters are having a hard time. Blue-collar red-necks are buying over-sized highly fuel inefficient bully-mobile pickups from Ford less frequently.

G
TreebeardsUncle
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 683
Joined: Thu 15 Jun 2006, 03:00:00

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby gg3 » Tue 26 Dec 2006, 01:57:46

There are pockets of oldschool rural small towns and farms, that could potentially sustain themselves while the rest of it is going to hell in a handbasket or being turned into 21st century slave plantations.

Our group has such an area in mind. Any small group that is sufficiently dedicated should be able to find such areas and plan to move there before the shit flies.
User avatar
gg3
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 3271
Joined: Mon 24 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: California, USA

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby wowpleasewakeupalready » Tue 26 Dec 2006, 02:19:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'T')here are pockets of oldschool rural small towns and farms, that could potentially sustain themselves while the rest of it is going to hell in a handbasket or being turned into 21st century slave plantations.

Our group has such an area in mind. Any small group that is sufficiently dedicated should be able to find such areas and plan to move there before the shit flies.


Good luck. These will most likely be the first places taken over by the bandits and thugs.

See you on the other side.


...tin foil hat off.....
User avatar
wowpleasewakeupalready
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 47
Joined: Fri 12 May 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Texas

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 26 Dec 2006, 08:55:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wowpleasewakeupalready', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'T')here are pockets of oldschool rural small towns and farms, that could potentially sustain themselves while the rest of it is going to hell in a handbasket or being turned into 21st century slave plantations.

Our group has such an area in mind. Any small group that is sufficiently dedicated should be able to find such areas and plan to move there before the shit flies.


Good luck. These will most likely be the first places taken over by the bandits and thugs.

See you on the other side.


...tin foil hat off.....


You're probably right 'wowpleasewakeupalready', but I suppose the alternative to living in small, rural communities and relying on combined self-defense is to do nothing in larger cities and rely on 'the authorities' to protect your interests?

I am not sure rural areas will be worse during post peak oil depletion than the city, but I cannot see how it will be worse? The same criminal gangs will be at work.

Having lived in the Ukraine and Russia post the meltdown of the Soviet Union I have certainly seen first hand and read enough accounts of organized criminal activity as well as random acts of violence and street crime. Including being personally targeted by the Russian Mafia in Odessa because I refused to lend money to a dodgy bank.

It is hard to insulate oneself from that in general aside from living behind thick metal doors and carrying a handgun because you cannot rely on the police. Even still our apartment was professionally burglarized. I am glad I did not have any gold bars or sliver coins at home because they found everything. They even looked in places I would not even think of hiding things.

On the other hand when we went out into the country on the weekend to dig potatoes at Baba's and drink homemade vodka life was not better in the material sense, but it did not feel less secure even though there were well documented cases of house break-ins and violence, especially directed at the elderly, enough.

The extended family and friends are your best source of protection and there is safety in numbers. That still does not guarantee you will not be targeted by organized criminals or a victim of crime.

I guess I would sooner take my chances in a small, rural community surrounded by neighbors and friends than alone in the big city. Personal choice. Who can really say until TSHTF?
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby thuja » Tue 26 Dec 2006, 16:57:06

Sure Bill, but you have enough money to buy a fantastic pied de terre out in the country where you can hire people to grow your food and grapes for wine. I'm guessing you wouldn't have to worry about mortgages, bills, etc.
User avatar
thuja
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2202
Joined: Sat 15 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Portland, Oregon

Re: Are rural communities going to profit from PO?

Unread postby MrBill » Wed 27 Dec 2006, 03:50:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('thuja', 'S')ure Bill, but you have enough money to buy a fantastic pied de terre out in the country where you can hire people to grow your food and grapes for wine. I'm guessing you wouldn't have to worry about mortgages, bills, etc.


I grew-up on the farm and apprenticed as a carpenter before I went to school to study agriculture. My step-brothers have such exotic jobs like welder, heavy duty mechanic and tool push in the oil patch. My step-sister is an oil well engineer and works at the nearby gas plant. Her husband's family have a cow & calf operation. My step-father's family have a fully integrated mixed farm from grain through to feedlot. But they still need to take work off the farm to make ends meet like working at local the Co-op delivering bulk fuel.

The silver spoon was shoved so far up my ass that when I was going to college I had to work 3-jobs, 100-hours a week, during the summer to pay for my tuition.

But, yes, an old farm house in Tuscany or Piedmonte on some land that grows grapes DOES sound nice, but when TSHTF, I guess I will settle for a couple of quarters of mixed farm in N. Alberta near friends and family.

In the meantime, I earn and save. That and sweat equity. I at least try to practice what I preach. It is the best I can do to prepare for an uncertain future?
Last edited by MrBill on Thu 28 Dec 2006, 03:40:28, edited 1 time in total.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia
Top

Next

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron