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It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby Tanada » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 17:50:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Concerned', 'W')hat about turboprops running on ethanol. Or back to the old helium or hydrogen airships?

Not airtravel as we know it but would it be an alternative?

Yes it would, and that's what we'll see. Aircraft of the future will be very slow, but extremely fuel-efficient. The only fly in the oitment would be their vulnerability to bad weather. Jets just fly over or around it. Airships or very slow airplanes can't do that.


Actually you can build a rigid airship ala the Hindenberg with sufficient lifting power to go higher than the thunderheads and cost along quite nicely in the jet stream. There have been Ballon competitions for a decade or so trying to circumnavigate the world, without propulsion. Add engines and you can effectively go at a pretty fast clip with little energy wasted, especially if you lower your bouyancy by compressing the lifting gas into a tank instead of venting it.
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To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby Tanada » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 18:13:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dbuckley', 'I') was born in NZ in the late 50s, and my mum "popped home" with me for a holiday to show me off to the grandparents in old England. Given the distinct lack of wide bodied jets and cheap airfairs, the journey took six weeks by boat. And six weeks back.

Expect to see a resurgence in sea travel, but powered by sail rather tha fuel oil...


You know Newport News shipbuilders has had quite a cusseful line of 100,000 ton ships that steam at 38 knots without without burning any petroleum in the process......

Look in Google under the USS Ronald Reagan Image

From this vantage point you can see that a fast passanger ship could easily be built as the finished product.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Largest Cruise Ship In The World Construction & Engineering

On December 22, 2003 Cunard officially launched its first new cruse ship built in 34 years. The $800 million Queen Mary 2 is the longest, tallest, widest and heaviest passenger ship ever constructed. The ship measures 1138.5 feet (345 meters) long, 135.3 feet (41 meters) wide, 237.6 meters (72 meters) tall, and weighing some 150,000 tonnes. The ship accomodates 2,630 passengers and features five swimming pools, 14 restaurants, 24 massage parlors and an art gallery.

Posted: 2003-12-24 11:55:23 AM
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$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Alfred Tennyson', 'W')e are not now that strength which in old days
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To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby Zardoz » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 05:16:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'H')ow about a return to the steam liners of old.

Well, you do know what the newer ones burned to make steam, right?
"Thank you for attending the oil age. We're going to scrape what we can out of these tar pits in Alberta and then shut down the machines and turn out the lights. Goodnight." - seldom_seen
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Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby Zardoz » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 05:21:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '.')..100,000 ton ships that steam at 38 knots without burning any petroleum in the process...

Exactly one nuclear-powered commercial vessel (the Savannah) was built. We'll never see another one. Too many issues to deal with that commercial shipping companies just couldn't handle.
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Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby Tanada » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 08:40:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '.')..100,000 ton ships that steam at 38 knots without burning any petroleum in the process...

Exactly one nuclear-powered commercial vessel (the Savannah) was built. We'll never see another one. Too many issues to deal with that commercial shipping companies just couldn't handle.


Sorry Zar but your incorrect, the Germans also built a commercial nuclear ship in the 1960's, and a fair number of semi-commercial ice breakers have been built as well.

With the price of Oil spiralling upward commercial shipping companies are looking for ways to make bucks without buying as much oil. In the 1990's this was typified by the switchover to MV (Motor Vessel) construction using big diesel engines burning grade 4 fuel instead of boilers burning Bunker C or D grade tarlike oil leavings. In part that was driven by the fact that refineries upgraded a lot of the Bunker C & D grade oils through hydrogenation because the Diesel 4 sells at a better price. Partly it was an efficiency matter, a stationary diesel running at constant speed can be operated in a fairly fuel efficient way compared to a boiler that has to heat a large volume of water and then looses that energy investment at the end of the trip when the steam is allowed to cool because it is no longer needed.

NS Savannah was killed by the rock bottom low oil prices in 1971, she could not compete in that environment without subsidies which were cancelled by the Nixon Administration. After the 1973 oil crisis she would have been financially viable, but the ship had already decomissioned and parts taken out of the reactor system for study. She never sailed again under her own power.

In the early 1980's the USN was spending on the order of 60% more to run oil fired aircraft carriers than the nukes. Institutional memories are long term things, they are now reaping the benefits of having an almost all nuclear carrier set. I have not heard yet that they are going back to nuclear powered cruisers and destroyers, but I wouldn't be surprised by that either, not with oil at tripple the old price and no signs of collapsing. The gas turbine powered ships of the 1980's and 1990's are great, so long as you have high grade oil to feed them. Pretty energy efficient, and they start up and shut down quickly. But high grade oil is getting expensive these days, even for the Navy.
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Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
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To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby EndOfGrowth » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 15:25:05

"U.S. airlines are getting more innovative as they sweat over ways to reduce costs amid high oil prices. Many see jet fuel conservation as a necessity, while price hedging has become part of the standard operations manual, top airline executives said at the Reuters Aerospace and Defense Summit in Washington, D.C. this week."

"Fuel competes with labor as an airline's largest cost, and volatility in prices over the past two years has wreaked havoc on the industry."

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Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 23:09:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'H')ow about a return to the steam liners of old.

Well, you do know what the newer ones burned to make steam, right?


We have XYZ years of that dirty solid black stuff. Do you think we won't use it?
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
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Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby Revi » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 23:35:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Concerned', 'W')hat about turboprops running on ethanol. Or back to the old helium or hydrogen airships?

Not airtravel as we know it but would it be an alternative?

Yes it would, and that's what we'll see. Aircraft of the future will be very slow, but extremely fuel-efficient. The only fly in the oitment would be their vulnerability to bad weather. Jets just fly over or around it. Airships or very slow airplanes can't do that.


When I was a kid we flew a turboprop over to Scandinavia. It must have been in the mid 60's. We had to stop in Iceland on the way, but we got there. It was a bit longer than jets, but if it saves fuel, it may come back. I can still remember looking out the window at the propeller. It was an adventure to fly. Iceland is a cool place we never would have seen otherwise.
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Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby MD » Fri 08 Dec 2006, 07:23:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'H')ow about a return to the steam liners of old.

Well, you do know what the newer ones burned to make steam, right?


We have XYZ years of that dirty solid black stuff. Do you think we won't use it?


Absolutely it will be used.

Let's just hope we never have another population bloom fed by cheap energy, then the "carbon footprint" from burning misc. sludge will remain below absorbtion capacity thresholds globally.
Locally, it will always be a mess.
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
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Re: It will be sad to see all the planes grounded

Unread postby Zardoz » Fri 08 Dec 2006, 12:22:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'W')e have XYZ years of that dirty solid black stuff. Do you think we won't use it?

I suppose coal-fired ships could make a return, hard as that may be to imagine.

What a mess. Here we are complaining about all the coal-fired power plants that we and the Chinese are building, and now we can look forward to a possible future with thousands of huge coal-burning ships spreading their toxic exhaust all over the planet.

We are so screwed...
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