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THE Africa Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Inadequate electricity in Africa - shocking!

Postby rogerhb » Mon 04 Sep 2006, 20:29:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gego', '"')LAST week’s warnings from <occupation> operating in <location> that their operations could be hit by power disruptions highlighted increasing power shortages across <region>, as growing economies grapple with inadequate planning and higher energy costs."


I've just prepared it ready for mail-merge. This should save reuters some time.
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Re: Inadequate electricity in Africa - shocking!

Postby mekrob » Tue 05 Sep 2006, 23:22:24

Ethanol to save the day!!!
I want to put out the fires of Hell, and burn down the rewards of Paradise. They block the way to God. I do not want to worship from fear of punishment or for the promise of reward, but simply for the love of God. - Rabia
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Re: Inadequate electricity in Africa - shocking!

Postby gg3 » Wed 06 Sep 2006, 04:56:50

For NZ: a couple of nuclear reactors would make much sense, seeing as Aus has the uranium with which to fuel them. Meanwhile, Aus should build a breeder reactor and start a commercial waste-to-fuel reprocessing service.

Rogerhb: Yeah, good one there.

When I was a kid we used the term "underdeveloped." Then it became "less developed." Then "developing." I understand that before "underdeveloped," words such as "backward" were common.

Now modern military theory talks about "collapsed states" and "failed states." Those phrases seem more realistic than all of the terms for relative degrees of "development."

I've always thought the term "pre-industrial" was kind of nasty. I prefer "non-industrial" because it does not presuppose a uniform timeline by which all cultures are judged: some cultures just won't go there if left to themselves, and that's their right. And I say this as an "eco-industrial" who has worked in and promoted technology all my life.
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Re: Inadequate electricity in Africa - shocking!

Postby Free » Thu 07 Sep 2006, 00:55:26

Haha, guess what, not only in Africa.

Yesterday I read an article that there are looming electricity shortages in Austria in the winter since we a) don't have enough domestically produced power and b) the grid isn't designed to handle a higher import load.

Meanwhile I don't even pay that much attention anymore to such stories about energy which seem to confirm the greatest fears. It's like:"Clusterfuck? Everything going according to plan..."
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Re: Is Iran a red herring?

Postby SchroedingersCat » Tue 12 Sep 2006, 00:36:48

Civilization is a personal choice.
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Re: Is Iran a red herring?

Postby rwwff » Tue 12 Sep 2006, 00:43:17

I'd be insulted if we weren't running covert ops in Somalia, Niger, Sudan, and every other lame, disorganized oil producing country. Sheesh. What planet do these British press guys think they live on.
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All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy history?

Postby MrMambo » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 05:22:59

The German "Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety" has suggested a very down to earth an practical solution to meet all of Europes electricity needs from renewable energy. It is also a plan to provide a lot more desalinated drinking water.
Check out their english language repport on:
http://www.trec-uk.org.uk/reports/TRANS ... _Final.pdf

This report is related to the suggestions of the "The Trans-Mediterranean Renewable Energy Cooperation:" http://www.trecers.net/

The main idea is to use High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) wich is now 97% effective over 1000 Kilometers to transport energy from Consentrating Solar Thermal Power (CSTP) in African and Middle eastern desert regions. It is about mirrors focusing light on something making it extreemly hot and then running a more or less conventional heat power plant on that.

The main reason theese are realistic plans is that CSTP is already producing power at a price of about 50$ a barrel of oil equivalent energy according to the estimate. Also note that large scale industrial deployment and further improvements on technology will probably lead to prices in the range of 20$ a barrel of oil equivalent

I shouldn't have to remind you that electicity is energy in its most usable form with engines easily performing at over 95% efficiency. Copuled with electric batteries at over 90% efficiency you get easilly about 85% total efficiency for an electric car compared to the below 30% efficiency of a gasoline based car. So PLEEEAASE don't pull out that irreplacability of liquid fuel bullshit!!!!!!

For a short summary read this article:
http://business.guardian.co.uk/story/0,,1957692,00.html
In addition to energy from the sun we have a lot more potencial energy from renewables. In norway we could easilly double our onshore electricity production adding more wind + smallscale hydropower. Adding the potencial of offshore wind and wave power we could technically quadruple our energy production. The only question for the offshore alternative is the higher relative cost than the solar alternative in Africa+Middle East. But if energy security is an issue... well then maybe we should build in an oversupply of renewable energy from the northern regions of Europe .. just in case Africa decided to cut the cables to the spoiled infidel europeans, and consume the energy for themselves.
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby waegari » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 06:21:41

This scheme may be great for electricity production, but will make hardly any difference for oil.

I seem to recall that in the EU some 60% of all oil consumption is by car traffic alone...

So it would only affect car traffic through a vast, massive and overwhelming restructuring of car technology (having them run on batteries) to be put in place right along with it, or better still: right now. Which in itself would vastly increase the amount of solar energy needed...
Not to mention the unfathomable costs to such restructuring of the EU automotive fuel system.
The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.

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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby MrMambo » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 08:59:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('waegari', 'T')his scheme may be great for electricity production, but will make hardly any difference for oil.

I seem to recall that in the EU some 60% of all oil consumption is by car traffic alone...

So it would only affect car traffic through a vast, massive and overwhelming restructuring of car technology (having them run on batteries) to be put in place right along with it, or better still: right now. Which in itself would vastly increase the amount of solar energy needed...
Not to mention the unfathomable costs to such restructuring of the EU automotive fuel system.


I'm not sure if you got my point about the greater efficiency of electric cars. You will get 85% efficiency instead of below 30% (often closer to 20 when you look at city trafic with frequent breaking).

So you might get 3-4 times as much distance for each unit of energy. That means you dont need to build an amount of solar energy that equals the current gasoline consumption in energy, you just have to build what equals it in distance driven and that would be something like 1/3 to 1/4th of the energy currently wasted in gasoline cars.

And for the cost of replacing cars... Well you replace cars already. How many percentage of the cars on the road are over 20 years old? That means that in 2026 only a tiny fraction of todays cars will be on the road anyway. So with no aditional cost you can easilly replace the old carpark in 20 years with new electric cars. And with a little bit of price incentives favouring electical autombiles you can speed up the process and get the switch done by 2016 instead (at a huge profit for the whole of society not having to import as much of the scarse and expensive oil- even making the scarse oil supplies less in demand and therefor cheeper).

And for the cost of the infrastructure.. Well the grid needs a bit of extra improvement.. But putting more electricity on the grid has been an ongoing process since the first power cables were set up. Electricity usage is better correlated with GDP growth than oil consumption. The costs of accellerated grid developments are not unmanagable. And definately less expensive than extracting more oil from tarsands, shale-oil, coal etc.

And for the existing petrol-stations... How about refitting them to battery switching stations for extension of range of electric automobiles, removing the argument of having to wait until batteries are recharged? This makes existing infrastructure transition into a similar but now sustainable mode of operation.
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby miraculix » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 09:46:38

do not get ahead of yourself there Mambo!

First you have to look at the energy required to manufacture and maintain electric vs. internal combustion motored vehicles.

I do not have any numbers to fall back on in regards to this correlation, but my gut feeling is, that the batteries are putting you in the red for the electric car.

Overall there certainly will be an overall net energy gain on a per mile basis for electric over gasoline.

Also, I do concur that electrification of transport will result in a prolonged sustainibility of our current modus operandi.

Schemes like the sun-to-steam power genration and the new generation of "mini" nuke-power plants, like the Chinese are planning, seem viable as alternative sources of electricity.

The key is diversification of generation and upgrading and expanding existing power grids.

It all appears possible - if only we had the time to do it.
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby JRP3 » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 09:49:30

A couple of points. The batteries available that give EV's reasonable performance are very expensive, which makes the cost of EV's relatively high. See Tesla, Electrum, Phoenix, Tango, etc. Yes this will come down with time, but it will take some years to do so. People driving $15-20K cars now will not replace them with $35-45K cars antime soon.

As for petrol stations changing out battery packs, all EV's have batteries totalling hundreds of pounds buried in the vehicle with many connections, it's not a quick swap and it's unlikely there will be any kind of standard pack that could be swapped out. More likely petrol stations would be fitted with fast chargers allowing 5- 10 min. recharge, which is not much longer than what you spend now filling up.
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby MrMambo » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 10:22:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JRP3', ' ')As for petrol stations changing out battery packs, all EV's have batteries totalling hundreds of pounds buried in the vehicle with many connections, it's not a quick swap and it's unlikely there will be any kind of standard pack that could be swapped out. More likely petrol stations would be fitted with fast chargers allowing 5- 10 min. recharge, which is not much longer than what you spend now filling up.


I think you have a viable point here. I have never seen a real engieneering solution giving you quick battery replacement at the same level as filling up your tank with gasoline. But I don't see why robotic units couldn't do the heavy handling job (Possibly from below ground). I don't see why one couldnt make standard battery systems that internally might have different solution but externally have a standard electric interface (like standard electric appliances pluggs in peoples homes).
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby MrMambo » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 10:26:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JRP3', 'A') couple of points. The batteries available that give EV's reasonable performance are very expensive, which makes the cost of EV's relatively high. See Tesla, Electrum, Phoenix, Tango, etc. Yes this will come down with time, but it will take some years to do so. People driving $15-20K cars now will not replace them with $35-45K cars antime soon.


As for the price: In norway we have a manufacturer making $15-20K cars for city use.

http://www.think.no/

They are definately not SUV's but still they are not luxury cars for the filthy rich either (Like the Teslas).

With real mass production you could easilly make improved versions of the think (4 seaters) in the same price range.
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby MrMambo » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 10:36:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('miraculix', 'F')irst you have to look at the energy required to manufacture and maintain electric vs. internal combustion motored vehicles.


Well for the car body and the wheels you should be identical. For the motor electric requires a lot less maintanance. Few moving parts, less motor cooling (most of energy is transformed to movement). Less lubrication of moving parts. (An end to the oil change rouitine).

For the energy consumption to make an electric motor versus a combustion engine... well I guess you weigh the metal to get an idea, and electric motors arent as bulky.

When it comes to batteries... Well since there are already low cost EV's on the market they cannot be prohibitively expensive to make, and thats before you have mass production giving you efficiency rewards.

Yes you cannot today build EV's that will give you as long a range on a full battery as a car has on a full tank...

But how many percentage of car use involves driving such long distances? Most people could charge during night and get enough for all their days driving. If the distance to work is long they might fix that by charging on the workplace parkinglot.

I have submittet some questions to an engineer in
www.think.no
regarding energy consumption in production and distanse you can drive for each KWh of electricity from the grid. I am fairly optimistic they will come out positive relative to classical small combustion cars.
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby lateStarter » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 17:12:19

When I saw this article last week, the first thing that came to mind was: who would invest the huge sums of money involved to build and maintain such a project in Africa? It could all be gone in the blink of an eye. In case you haven't noticed MrMambo, Africa is not the most stable of places (not that anyplace else really is either). Sure, energy hungry countries outside of Africa will continue to suck/drain/mine the place to ruin, but those are more of a hit and run type of operation. When the resource runs low or gets too expensive to obtain, or it gets too dangerous, they just move on to the next place.

What you are talking about is a long-term comittment. Even though being in the desert may offer some protection from the wandering, restless masses, the electricity produced has to be carried by cable(s) to Europe. I'm assuming the desalinated water is a 'gift' for the local people. Where would the water come from? Oh! They need a pipeline to bring it in...

On paper (in some Ivory tower in Germany) this looks like a great concept. Of course, those folks in the tower won't be on the ground in Africa building or maintaining (guarding) it. In short, the geography is great, the political and social instability not so promising.
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby JRP3 » Wed 06 Dec 2006, 19:03:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrMambo', '
')
As for the price: In norway we have a manufacturer making $15-20K cars for city use.

http://www.think.no/

They are definately not SUV's but still they are not luxury cars for the filthy rich either (Like the Teslas).

With real mass production you could easilly make improved versions of the think (4 seaters) in the same price range.


These cars are what has always been wrong with EV's. Sure they may be fine vehicles and all most people really need, but they will not gain widespread acceptance. People will not go from their $20-30K Camry to a $20K mini car with a 50-100 mile range. They might go from their Camry to a $25-35K EV Corrolla equivalent with 150-200 mile range. That car does not exist and probably won't at that price range for 5 or more years unless there is some truly breakthrough battery technology.
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby MrMambo » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 02:34:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JRP3', ' ')These cars are what has always been wrong with EV's. Sure they may be fine vehicles and all most people really need, but they will not gain widespread acceptance. People will not go from their $20-30K Camry to a $20K mini car with a 50-100 mile range. They might go from their Camry to a $25-35K EV Corrolla equivalent with 150-200 mile range. That car does not exist and probably won't at that price range for 5 or more years unless there is some truly breakthrough battery technology.


Well you now have the Tesla if you have the money to be extravagant. But say if gasoline prices double up or tripple up even the regular folks will have to choose between affording to drive to work using a compact EV or they can go bankrupt sitting in the suburbs with their SUV wich they can not afford to drive to work.

In times of need its amazing what changes in lifestyle people accept.

If governments understands that oil both is harmful and getting scarser they might forsee that there will come a "time of need" where large gassgusslers simply cant function for mass transportation. Antisipating theese changes they should greatly increase tax on larger cars, making compact cars fre of tax. Subsidizing 25 % of EV car costs and putting up a European style tax on gasoline.

Such government actions will force every car manufacturer in the world to set up mass production lines for EV's making them a lot more affordable. (So that you get comfy four seater family EV-cars at an affordable price)
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby MrMambo » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 02:52:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lateStarter', 'O')n paper (in some Ivory tower in Germany) this looks like a great concept. Of course, those folks in the tower won't be on the ground in Africa building or maintaining (guarding) it. In short, the geography is great, the political and social instability not so promising.


Yes there are security issues. Still a country like Egypt is still a popular hollyday destination... and the pyramids have so far not been blown up by suicide bombers. Algeria is not the worst of places either, and is already an energy producing country. Marocco is not out of the qutestion. Libya although not a democracy still seems to be very stable with a highly educated population. Gadaffi in his Miami-Vice style suits, protected by his all-female-ninjette-guard is now officially an ally of USA.

When it comes to Sudan.. well forget about it. Don't build the stuff at their place. I'm sceptical about Tunisia too.

I say BUILD IT!
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Re: All of Europes energy from Africas Sun. Oil-energy histo

Postby chris-h » Thu 07 Dec 2006, 03:33:38

we have to "LIBERATE" these africans coutries !!!!! :lol:
We "MUST SPREAD DEMOCRAZY" there !!!! :lol:
Operation "DEZERT FREEDOM" must proceed at once !!!! :o
Cheney make plans !!!!
to the public
THEY HAVE NEW VOODOO tech !!!!
They are a threat !!!! They can VOODOO us in 5 minutes !!!! :lol:
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African oil

Postby Armageddon » Sun 08 Apr 2007, 00:09:06

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