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Environmentalism aided Stephane Dion leadership potential

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Environmentalism aided Stephane Dion leadership potential

Unread postby Denny » Sun 03 Dec 2006, 13:55:55

In looking at the Canadian Liberal party leadership content this weekend, the suprise of Stephane Dion's success seemed built on his clearly drawn line of opposition to Stephen Harper's environmental agenda. It especially attracted the younger element, just as Trudeau did almost 40 years ago.

It will be interesting to see if the Canadian public gets on the environmental bandwagon. Dkion seems to be punching the right buttons, that we can adopt environmentalism and use it to our economic advantage. Whereas the Conservatives see the envoirnment and economy as opposing forces.

After seeing Al Gore's "An inconvenient truth", I must say that it would be great to see him back in the political arena too. What a possible great combination that could be for North America, Gore and Dion.
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Re: Environmentalism aided Stephane Dion leadership potentia

Unread postby threadbear » Sun 03 Dec 2006, 14:24:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Denny', 'I')n looking at the Canadian Liberal party leadership content this weekend, the suprise of Stephane Dion's success seemed built on his clearly drawn line of opposition to Stephen Harper's environmental agenda. It especially attracted the younger element, just as Trudeau did almost 40 years ago.

It will be interesting to see if the Canadian public gets on the environmental bandwagon. Dkion seems to be punching the right buttons, that we can adopt environmentalism and use it to our economic advantage. Whereas the Conservatives see the envoirnment and economy as opposing forces.

After seeing Al Gore's "An inconvenient truth", I must say that it would be great to see him back in the political arena too. What a possible great combination that could be for North America, Gore and Dion.


Very interesting that this vote took place during a freak and record breaking cold ice and snow blast that ripped through the Western provinces, knocking out electricity etc...etc... It then proceeded to roll through the rest of the country, taking temps from balmy to frigid within a matter of hours. Unseasonal and unprecedented. Global climate change IS ushering in a new era in Canada.

Did you listen to the speeches. When the liberals yada yada yada all the typical platforms, universal daycare, everyone gets a pony, that sort of thing, there was a muted reaction. But anytime any candidate mentioned the environment, a roar of applause.

Way to go, Canada. Kick Alberta ass!
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Re: Environmentalism aided Stephane Dion leadership potentia

Unread postby auscanman » Sun 03 Dec 2006, 17:59:39

The decision to choose Dion as leader of the liberals is sure to make the already interesting Canadian political scene even more so. Its good to see the environment finally getting the attention it deserves.

I have quite a few concerns with Dion. First the party can pretty much forget about making gains in western Canada. The choice of yet another Quebecer as liberal party leader is certain to confirm western Canadians belief that the party does not take western interests into account. I still dislike the Liberals as I see them as a party that tries to be all things to all people and consequently has no real direction and never achieves any meaningful results. Even under Dion, in the environment context they will undoubtedly try to take measures that appear to be robust to the public, but that are rather ineffectual and cost their friends in business as little as possible. Recently the support of the Green party has been at 10% nationwide. With those sorts of numbers they could probably win a few seats in the next election. I just hope very few of those 10% are now persuaded to vote Liberal, as the Green environmental policies will no doubt be stronger than the Liberals. An ideal outcome next election would be a Liberal minority with enough Green and NDP MPs to produce a majority, although I very much doubt that will be the outcome. In fact, I doubt Canada will ever have a single party majority government again. We're going to have to get used to the European system of coalitions and compromise.

From what I saw energy issues received no mention at the Liberal leadership convention...
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Re: Environmentalism aided Stephane Dion leadership potentia

Unread postby threadbear » Sun 03 Dec 2006, 18:23:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', 'T')he decision to choose Dion as leader of the liberals is sure to make the already interesting Canadian political scene even more so. Its good to see the environment finally getting the attention it deserves.

I have quite a few concerns with Dion. First the party can pretty much forget about making gains in western Canada. The choice of yet another Quebecer as liberal party leader is certain to confirm western Canadians belief that the party does not take western interests into account. I still dislike the Liberals as I see them as a party that tries to be all things to all people and consequently has no real direction and never achieves any meaningful results. Even under Dion, in the environment context they will undoubtedly try to take measures that appear to be robust to the public, but that are rather ineffectual and cost their friends in business as little as possible. Recently the support of the Green party has been at 10% nationwide. With those sorts of numbers they could probably win a few seats in the next election. I just hope very few of those 10% are now persuaded to vote Liberal, as the Green environmental policies will no doubt be stronger than the Liberals. An ideal outcome next election would be a Liberal minority with enough Green and NDP MPs to produce a majority, although I very much doubt that will be the outcome. In fact, I doubt Canada will ever have a single party majority government again. We're going to have to get used to the European system of coalitions and compromise.

From what I saw energy issues received no mention at the Liberal leadership convention...


You miss the point Auscan, when you say support for the Greens in Canada has ONLY been 10%. That's absolutely huge. All of those votes will swing Dion's way, if it looks like he's going to fund major research and development into altenative energy. If he dares to go soft on his environmental stance, he'll lose the Greens. What is happening right now in Canada is similar to what could have happened in the US prior to the 2000 election, not if Gore won, but if Nadar won.

And the environment was the only hot topic at the convention, from what I got from CBC.

Dion will be super popular here in BC. There has been a huge change in this province, where many of us have come to admire the Quebecker's anti-Americanism and grit.

We whole-heartedly embrace the province and Dion, as a conseqence. He is no separatist, but a strong nationist and that's exactly what the country needs and the candidate HAD to be from Quebec. Demographically, that's just the way it has to be, and from a cultural perspective we are better for it. Would you really want to be just another boring axis -of -weevils anglo nation? The franco-phones will save the day, in more ways than one.
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Re: Environmentalism aided Stephane Dion leadership potentia

Unread postby auscanman » Sun 03 Dec 2006, 21:47:18

Threadbear, I was saying that 10% support for the Greens IS massive. Also, I haven't been west of Ontario for a few years now, so I wasn't aware that there is now a conciliatory feeling in BC towards Quebec- there didn't seem to be such a feeling when I was there. Alberta is pretty much a write-off for the liberals so their choice of leader wouldn't make a difference there. I admire the Quebec culture... we certainly wouldn't be the great country we are without them.

On the alternative energy point, it's important that we don't let the agribusinesses divert the needed investments that must go to research into ramping up biofuel production with a crappy EROEI, as has happened in the US. Without a meaningful Green party presence in Parliament, I fear Dion's good intentions will lack backbone and the ability to overcome the lobbying efforts of these agribusinesses.
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Re: Environmentalism aided Stephane Dion leadership potentia

Unread postby nero » Mon 04 Dec 2006, 13:38:34

It is good to see the environment and sustainable development paradigm being supported by the liberals but what would be more encouraging is if the conservatives were forced to move off the do nothing stance.

Until the political center has turned so green that it is political suicide for the conservatives not to have a serious green house gas policy we won't have the social consensus required to implement serious changes. Alberta is a serious problem in that regard. They are at least 5 years behind the rest of Canada when it comes to GHG.
Biofuels: The "What else we got to burn?" answer to peak oil.
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Re: Environmentalism aided Stephane Dion leadership potentia

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Mon 04 Dec 2006, 18:21:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', 'F')irst the party can pretty much forget about making gains in western Canada.


It's been that way for a very long time. Alberta in particular has been blue for as long as I can remember. Even when they were Reform, it was only because the Conservatives were damaged goods. Liberals nominating an anglo leader wouldn't have changed that.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', ' ')<snip> when you say support for the Greens in Canada has ONLY been 10%. That's absolutely huge. All of those votes will swing Dion's way </snip>


That was my read on it as well. I think the liberals looked at the last election results and said "Wow, the greens lost us this riding... and this one... and this one..." Just look at the list:

(C) Conservative seat
(L) Liberal seat
(Q) Bloc Quebecois seat
(N) NDP seat
* could have gone liberal if the green party didn't exist

Sackville Eastern Shore (L)
West Nova (L)
Madawaska-Restigouche (L)
Tobique-Mactaquac (C)*
Abitibi-Baie-James-Nunavik-Eeyou (L)
Ahuntsic (Q)*
Beauport-Limoilou (C)
Brossard-La Prairie (Q)*
Charlesbourg-Haute-Saint-Charles (C)
Hull-Aylmer (L)
Louis-Hebert (C)
Papineau (B)*
Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing (L)
Barrie (C)*
Beaches-East York (L)
Brant (L)
Burlington (C)*
Glengarry-Prescott-Russell (C)*
Guelph (L)
Halton (C)*
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek (N)*
Huron-Bruce (L)
Kitchener-Conestoga (C)*
London-Fanshawe (N)*
London West (L)
Mississauga South (L)
Oakville (L)
Ottawa Centre (N)*
Ottawa-Orleans (C)*
Parkdale-High Park (N)*
Parry Sound-Muskoka (C)*
Peterborough (C)*
St. Catharines (C)*
Simcoe North (C)*
Thunder Bay-Rainy River (L)
Saint Boniface (L)
Winnipeg South (C)*
Desnethe-Missinippi-Churchill River (L)
Edmonton Centre (C)*
Burnaby-Douglas (N)*
Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca (L)
Fleetwood-Port Kells (C)*
North Vancouver (L)
Richmond (L)
Vancouver Island North (N)
West Vancouver-Sunshine Coast-Sea to Sky Country (L)

That's 46 swing ridings out of 330. But more importantly, that's 22 seats the liberals lost due to the green vote, 14 of which ended up conservative. That's the difference between a conservative minority, and a liberal one. It's also a hell of a lot of power for a party that doesn't even have any seats.

The lesson to politicians: Ignore the green vote at your political peril.
The whole of human history is a refutation by experiment of the concept of "moral world order". - Friedrich Nietzsche
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