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THE Jim Rogers Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby oilluber » Sun 05 Nov 2006, 00:44:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('oilluber', 'T')he average american lives like a dog compared to
the avg citizen in an industrialized world like Western
Europe.


Did you not say this Oilluber?

I stand by my comment, it's an ignorant thing to say. I was just pointing out how ludicrous your comment was, can't you see that?
If you had stated something clarifying what you meant and I quote:

"I am talking about the slums in the hillsides and the ghettos"

than maybe your original statement would not sound so pompous.
As I said, there are slums and ghettos EVERYWHERE, Western Europe isn't immune to that problem.


Atleast, now, you are quoting me correctly.

The only problem is that, the slums and ghettos, unlike you
US rich yuppies claim to the contrary, is not an insignificant part of
the US population.

And I would not be mouthing off about this so much if the US
did not pretend to be the best country in the world with all
the bullying and imperialism.

It is the richest country in the world, in absolute terms, but in terms
of having that wealth spread out,,, or social safety net for the
working poor, it is rather dismal.

I have US friends that travelled outside of the US,,,, to Western
Germany,,, Quebec, even he stated that the US is like a 3rd
world country in many places in comparison.

I fully agree with Jim Rogers view of
the US.

Face it, the wealth gap is getting worse, the middle class is
getting poorer, US is loosing the manufacturing base.

The middle class is working at MAcdonals and walmart,
go look at Department of Labor avg income stats on many
parts of the US, esp the rural areas, and tell me that
the US is a wonderful place to live for most people.

Now, if you are the 10% at the top of the wealth bracket, you
can be proud to be a US citizen(unless you are Jim Rogers).
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby AirlinePilot » Sun 05 Nov 2006, 02:31:46

Hey, your entitled to your opinion...rock on.
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby Revi » Sun 05 Nov 2006, 15:53:35

Oilluber, you have convinced me. I am moving back to Sweden to rediscover my roots! Do you think they want all of us back there?

I agree, there is poverty in America. Big time. It's getting worse. There is no guarantee of anything here. No national healthcare, no safety net, nothing. We are on our own. It is not that great sometimes. We all get a bit defensive when you knock our country. You would too. We can pick on it, it's our place. Bad form to pick on somebody else's country. Look at how you guys took Rummy's reference to "Old Europe".

Back to Jim Rodger's Commodity boom, have you seen the price of base metals? Click on every 5 year average on Kitco and you'll see that they are all doing the hockey stick curve, especially in the past couple of years. Zinc is up to almost $2 a pound!

http://www.kitcometals.com/
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby DantesPeak » Sun 05 Nov 2006, 16:28:24

Helped by zinc and nickel, US penny and nickel coins have a higher metal value than their face value:

http://www.coinflation.com/
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby shortonoil » Sun 05 Nov 2006, 17:55:21

oilluber said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')ace it, the wealth gap is getting worse, the middle class is
getting poorer, US is loosing the manufacturing base.


When we tip over the edge of PO, it won’t make any difference what industrialized country you live in. Currency systems, all being fiat will collapse. Food production and distribution will unravel. Transportation will grind to a halt. Medical care will cease to exits. Rich or poor - it won’t make a damn bit of difference this time. Maybe, these mimicking monkeys will realize that we are all sailing in the same boat.

“When the lights go out - you are back in the darkages.”
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby pup55 » Sun 05 Nov 2006, 19:44:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'h')igher metal value than their face value:


Ironically, we now have a metals-based currency. The system works. A paper dollar will get you a dollars' worth of metal.

Little did we know we would reach it at the low end of the spectrum.
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby oilluber » Sun 05 Nov 2006, 19:55:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'O')illuber, you have convinced me. I am moving back to Sweden to rediscover my roots! Do you think they want all of us back there?

I agree, there is poverty in America. Big time. It's getting worse. There is no guarantee of anything here. No national healthcare, no safety net, nothing. We are on our own. It is not that great sometimes. We all get a bit defensive when you knock our country. You would too. We can pick on it, it's our place. Bad form to pick on somebody else's country. Look at how you guys took Rummy's reference to "Old Europe".

Back to Jim Rodger's Commodity boom, have you seen the price of base metals? Click on every 5 year average on Kitco and you'll see that they are all doing the hockey stick curve, especially in the past couple of years. Zinc is up to almost $2 a pound!

http://www.kitcometals.com/


Look guys, I have close family living in San Franscico area in
a 1 million $$ house and having a yuppie life with
good high tech jobs,,,, but I also have alot of other friends
that are middle(avg joe) class and struggling in other parts of the US.
The perception from talking to the blue-collar middle class friends
(and not my family in Sanfranscico), is that life is getting alot harder. Add the medical system in the US, that if you get sick
and you worked hard all your life making $15 bucks an hour,
you lose your house to pay for your medical bills.
Then you get old , sick, and then get broke.
Ain't no government going to get involved in a health system
that helps the working poor... no way,... its against
capitalism.
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby Denny » Sun 05 Nov 2006, 20:28:57

I think if hard times are coming, it is a good time for everybody to unite and share the sacrificing.

Right now, I see both sides of the argumenhts expressed above. Yes, America on average is a great place to live, if you pick the right places. But, an average is in many respects a fictional representation if you have disparity of incomes. And, that disparity is not only a fact, but a growing fact. I have seen it going that way ever since Ronald Reagan walkied into the White house. The coup de grace was when the Bush administration selecteivley chopeed taxes so the rich benefitted by a huge fadctor over the working poor. (Like $111,000 cut for Dick Cheney; $300 for the Wal-Mart guy.)

Remembering back to F.D Roosevelt, didn't he prove that spreading the wealth is the only way to maintain a decent standard of lviing for all? And, that even the wealthy benefit form a healthy and growing economy, even if their taxes go up?

A lot of the claims for beneficial effects of the income spread are really bogus. I don't think General Motors is getting any better leadership today, with the CEO making 100 times the line workers wage than it did back in the 50's when the job made 30 times as much. Are we getting better attention from doctors making 7X the average industiral wage, then we did when they made 3X the average industrial wage?

It seems all the supposed benefits fomr globalization are going to one group and all the detriments of it are going to another, but larger group.

I think Europe still clings to a shared welfare principle. Personally, I don't like the crowding in Europe, but I do like much else.
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby woodman » Mon 06 Nov 2006, 22:05:58

Anyone in my area making $15 an hour is extremely fortunate. I live in a rural area of northern Michigan. Sure the cost of living is higher in the bigger cities but the wages are not commensurate. The average wage here is close to minimum ($6 per hour). I think overall the oilglubber is correct. We are miserable slaves and are treated worse than slaves because most slave owners are interested in the health of their workers. We are nowhere near as bad as Mexico and other latin American countries though; as witnessed by their drive to cross the border.

As to commodities......I wish I new what to do with the pitifull amount I have saved. Should I buy gold and silver to try to avoid inflation or should I bury my greenbacks somewhere safe? I'm starting to think that soil is really the only wealth that will keep it's value. Gotta eat.
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby oilluber » Mon 06 Nov 2006, 22:27:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('woodman', 'A')nyone in my area making $15 an hour is extremely fortunate. I live in a rural area of northern Michigan. Sure the cost of living is higher in the bigger cities but the wages are not commensurate. The average wage here is close to minimum ($6 per hour). I think overall the oilglubber is correct. We are miserable slaves and are treated worse than slaves because most slave owners are interested in the health of their workers. We are nowhere near as bad as Mexico and other latin American countries though; as witnessed by their drive to cross the border.

As to commodities......I wish I new what to do with the pitifull amount I have saved. Should I buy gold and silver to try to avoid inflation or should I bury my greenbacks somewhere safe? I'm starting to think that soil is really the only wealth that will keep it's value. Gotta eat.


Buy some oil sands stocks in canada for 10 yrs,,, like SU or ECA
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby grink1tt3n » Mon 06 Nov 2006, 22:50:47

Here is some after-market news for you:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ap04BtSQ_ivQ&refer=home

H&R Block Cuts 2007 Forecast, May Sell Mortgage Unit


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')&R Block Inc. may sell its mortgage unit and will close more than a third of its branches amid a slump in U.S. home sales. The company slashed the top end of its earnings forecast for the current fiscal year by 22 percent.

Profit will be $1.20 to $1.45 during the year that ends April 30, lower than a previous forecast of $1.60 to $1.85, Kansas City, Missouri-based H&R Block said. All of the cut was attributed to the Option One mortgage unit, which will close 12 of 33 branch offices over the next four months. An unspecified number of jobs will be eliminated, said spokesman Ron Iori.


OUCH
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Re: Jim Rogers Sees Commodities Boom/US Recesssion

Postby Revi » Tue 07 Nov 2006, 11:25:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('woodman', '
')As to commodities......I wish I new what to do with the pitifull amount I have saved. Should I buy gold and silver to try to avoid inflation or should I bury my greenbacks somewhere safe? I'm starting to think that soil is really the only wealth that will keep it's value. Gotta eat.

I agree, dirt is the best investment. As for silver, I'd buy small amounts of "junk silver". It's pre-1964 washington quarters, Kennedy Halves. You should be able to get them for 8 times face value. They are legal tender, but are now worth almost 10 times what they were issued for. They are at antiques places, coin dealers, pawn shops. The dollar appears to be tanking today. I picture myself five years from now paying for a pound of beans with an old Washington quarter. The vendor bites the coin to prove it's real, and hands me the food.

Here's a good site to check the price of silver:

http://www.fromthewilderness.com/live_charts.shtml
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Jim Rogers: Agricultural Commodities to `Explode'

Postby mattduke » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 01:18:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '`')`If I told you how bullish I am about agriculture, you'd ask me to leave the room. Prices of agricultural commodities are going to explode. Inventories of food are the lowest they've been in over 40 years. The number of hectares devoted to wheat farming has been declining for over 30 years.''

``All of you should get all the sugar you can. The price of sugar is going to explode.''

Maybe Jim wants you to buy his ETF product. Then again, Jim has left the United States.

bloomberg
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Re: Jim Rogers: Agricultural Commodities to `Explode'

Postby billg » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 01:40:46

It definitely rubs me the wrong way when I hear about how people want to cash in on what is going to cause of lot of distress for a lot of people.
"It is no measure of health to be deemed sane in an insane society" J. Krishnamurti

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Re: Jim Rogers: Agricultural Commodities to `Explode'

Postby Kristen » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 02:25:03

What is convincing isn't necessarily true; merely convincing.
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Re: Jim Rogers: Agricultural Commodities to `Explode'

Postby Gandalf_the_White » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 02:28:58

Lets see how many links of hydrocarbon bubble yum are in the food chain.

Base supply going up because of flat supply growth and increasing demand - check

Refinery Costs going up because of poorer grades of oil - check

Cost to manufacture fertilizer increasing - check

Cost of diesel fuel for tractors increasing - check

Cost of everything everywhere increasing -check

Risk premium going through the roof - check

Opportunistic options trading at all time high - check

Dilbert cartoons grossly misunderstood by big fat middle of American corporate life - check

Elite planning massive crack-down as economy drifts quietly through the waste water treatment plant - check

Roger Clemens to be found responsible for all the ills of America - check

Every important element has been accounted for. You are ready for your first major economic wake up call in over thirty years. Here's to Texas! Where 'stagflation' is a steak so thick you need a chainsaw and an open ended commitment to an oil war just to tackle the grisle.

Heaven taunts you now, and hell awaits. Eat drink and be merry!
I return to you now at the turning of the tide.
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Re: Jim Rogers: Agricultural Commodities to `Explode'

Postby Nano » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 07:12:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('billg', 'I')t definitely rubs me the wrong way when I hear about how people want to cash in on what is going to cause of lot of distress for a lot of people.


That's how the world works and you better get used to it. Either that or be prepared to accept nothing but the scrapings from the bottom of the pot. If you want to prosper you have to get down and dirty with the rest of us.

A good solution IMHO is to work hard and uncompromising in pursuit of material gain and family life until your offspring is independent, and after that renounce material activities altogether in order to purify your existence. That's how I plan to do it anyway.

BTW, I read some of Krishnamurti's books, and I particularly liked "The First and Last Freedom".
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Re: Jim Rogers: Agricultural Commodities to `Explode'

Postby Heineken » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 09:15:11

Anyone priced a 1 x 8 x 8 oak board at Home Depot lately?

You'd think you were buying a slab of silver.

INCREDIBLE.

Glad I got wood.
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"Things have entered a stage where the only change that is possible is for things to get worse."
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Re: Jim Rogers: Agricultural Commodities to `Explode'

Postby billg » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 09:45:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Nano', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('billg', 'I')t definitely rubs me the wrong way when I hear about how people want to cash in on what is going to cause of lot of distress for a lot of people.


That's how the world works and you better get used to it. Either that or be prepared to accept nothing but the scrapings from the bottom of the pot. If you want to prosper you have to get down and dirty with the rest of us.


Profiting for the sake of profit is a dead end that has led us into this financial and environmental quagmire. It makes little differerence how much one prospers if it comes at the expense of destroying the ecosystems that support you.
"It is no measure of health to be deemed sane in an insane society" J. Krishnamurti

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Re: Jim Rogers: Agricultural Commodities to `Explode'

Postby Fishman » Fri 29 Feb 2008, 11:25:27

Billg
You must live off the public trough. The only way to generate the money and yes capital to feed those folks and yes you (unless you are self sufficient and completely sustainable) is the mentioned manner. Please show me another system that has been shown to work. No Cuba does not count, gets lots from others. You must be advocating for mass extermination, only other way to supply the food to those out there.
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