by Ayoob » Wed 24 Nov 2004, 14:57:42
Yeah, it's funny trying to talk to people who are totally committed to a growing economy and the continued economic development of resources for the consumer market. Growth is the undercurrent of so much in our culture. Competition, struggle, advancement, increasing wealth, optimism, lack of critical thinking, physical pleasures, group identity... I think these are the characteristics that the Peak Oil group are arguing against. These values are embedded very deeply in US culture.
When we say that there is a limited resource out there and that there are actually limits to our growth and achievement, it takes the wind out of people's sails. The American dream is built on everyone having the chance to be Donald Trump, or at least the dentist with the Benz and a nice house in the burbs. What happens when you take that away from the American people? They get upset. We spend so much time working and so little time socializing that our mindsets are very much aligned with the dream of success that capitalism provides.
Not that they actually enjoy the benefits of capitalism. Capitalism concentrates wealth in the hands of the few rather than distributing the wealth of the nation among the many. By its nature, capitalism takes from the many and gives to the few. Why is this a good thing for the many? It's a mindset I don't understand. Why would young workers care whether the Dow Jones goes up? They get much more of their wealth from the labor they provide, yet they're anti-union because unions give workers some degree of negotiating power. Why would I care whether Bill Gates makes an extra billion or two? I'd think that programmers would form unions and collectively bargain with the relatively few places that provide them with employment. They don't want to possibly because they see themselves rising up from the masses to own their own company some day and they want unfettered freedom to grow. Maybe they don't see that today is the day to enjoy life and be rewarded for work, not twenty years down the road. Who knows what life will bring over the next twenty years?
My girlfriend's company makes 5% of its profits from the sale of landmines. When I found this out, I emailed her the document and she showed it to her boss. He got really upset. I don't think he likes to consider the ramifications of his actions.
Oh, a little side note. The UPS guy just delivered a package to me and I gave him a copy of End of Suburbia. I wonder if he'll watch it.
Anyway, it's difficult to overcome these obstacles when talking to somebody about what we're all doing. It's the very definition of counterculture. I think there's a certain percentage of the population that is predisposed to counterculture and a much larger percentage that is not going to listen under almost any circumstances. People sacrafice their personal lives, their time, their energy, their very days on this planet in order to achieve material success. How do you tell someone who has worked for forty years to climb their way up to their house in the suburbs, their bass boat, their SUV, their community's movie theaters and stores, their roads and bridges... how do you tell them it's all going to unravel and there's nothing they can do about it?
I've been a salesman for the last ten years. I'll tell you from personal experience that if you want people to agree with your point of view, it's much easier to get them to look at a positive and happy experience than it is to simply dump gloom on their heads. "Everything's going to get worse!" Well, all that does is stimulate the spot on people's lizard brain that says there is danger coming from that person and I need to get away from them.
So, how do we make the post-carbon life look attractive to people? I've been struggling with this for quite some time. One thing I came up with was to make a list of the things I want. At the top of the list were clean air and clean water. Without those, it's more difficult to be healthy. Obviously, if you are immersed in a toxic atmosphere, it's going to affect you in some way. Asthma is one possible effect of our current lifestyle that many people have. Most people at least know somebody who has asthma. Wouldn't it be great if that person didn't have to suffer while breathing? Sometimes asthma is caused by pollution. How would you like to live in a place where you could walk out your back door and be able to fish in a stream? I think that would be pretty cool. Not that I'd want to HAVE to do that every day for my sustenance, but it would be a good thing to have that resource available if I wanted to utilize it. How could fishing be a bad thing? Try to connect pollution with someone they know and care about. Let them know that if we change our lifestyles a little that person would suffer less. Let them know the decision is in their hands every time they decide to drive across town to rent a movie or go to Burger King instead of making something healthy at home.
I've noticed that people are more and more aware of peak oil. I don't sound like a total lunatic anymore when I talk about this with people. Even the guy at the gas station knows what's up. This is a big change
Another problem we face is the stark reality that we consume 30% of the world's oil with 5% of the population. We'd have to get down to 1/6th of our petroleum usage just to be average. Driving 1/6th of the miles we currently drive, importing products from 1/6th the distance, running 1/6th of the appliances. Nobody wants to hear about that. How about presenting it from another angle? China and India's population combined is ten times our population. No matter how much we conserve, no matter how much we would like to defend "our" access to petroleum, if China and India double their use of petroleum, it has ten times the impact that we would have in conserving on a per capita basis. The future of oil distribution is no longer completely in our hands. There are other forces at work.
Since our military, the strongest on the planet, cannot subdue a devastated third-world country like Iraq, what do you think the likelihood is of defeating an enemy like Iran? They're much stronger than Iraq and their people will rise up like the insurgents in Iraq against us. Well, maybe attacking Iran isn't such a good idea. Now consider China and Russia. Nobody in the history of the world has beaten China in a war. The Mongols gave the Chinese a solid run for their money once, but China came back. They have five thousand continuous years of military success. The US has 250 years of military success (debatable) and a lot of good luck on our side as far as resources, alliances, and technology. Maybe using the military to ensure our future and success isn't the best plan. What else could we do?
What would happen if we invested $200 billion in auto efficiency, windmills and solar panels, construction of smaller communities that wouldn't need so much dependance on resources we don't even have, better schools, improvements in public transportation infrastructure, parks and police in our cities instead of patrolling the Middle East in aircraft carriers? Which one would you rather have? I think the average citizen would rather have a really nice electric tram in their towns rather than an increasing gas price.
There is a bright side to Peak Oil. Smaller, cleaner communities where some degree of economic planning and resource allocation would make people's lives better. I don't think anyone really likes commuting 45 minutes each way on the highways. Wouldn't it be nice to have a ten minute commute on a light rail system to go to work? I think so.
The Jewish neighborhood in West Hollywood has it pretty good. Since they all have to walk to Temple on the Sabbath, they pretty much have to live in a concentrated area. They support their local businesses run by local people. There's the butcher, the leather repair shop, the bookstore, the Jewish community center, the Hebrew schools, and other things. Koreatown in LA is similar. They have local entertainment, local businesses, and a community that has an identity. Lots of Koreans live there because they have a culture to identify with. East LA has a similar situation with the Mexican, Argentinian, Ecuadorian, etc communities providing things locally that their populations like. In Chicago, we used to have Polish neighborhoods, German neighborhoods and so forth that provided certain things locally.
We've degenerated to Wal*Mart.
No more local diversity.
Anybody really like Wal*Mart? I don't. I know, it's cheap, and you can get more pickles than you ever wanted for $2.69. But what's the price we pay for that? We give up so much for that jar of pickles. We get to choose from Vlasic, Vlasic, or Vlasic for our pickles. I used to love the pickled tomatoes from this Jewish deli a couple miles from home in Chicago. It's getting increasingly difficult to locate places that have something other than the same stuff we have everywhere. I have to drive an hour and a half round trip to get pickled tomatoes today.
A couple years ago I drove from Chicago to San Francisco to LA to Tijuana and back up through the Four Corners to Chicago. I was expecting to see all kinds of different things in the different places. I figured I'd see a good place to pick up a pair of cowboy boots somewhere along the way. They were all made by the same manufacturers, though. You could get the same ones in Chicago for the same price. McDonalds was everywhere. Barnes and Noble in one city was the same as it was in another. Togo's. Subway. Motel 6. Shell gasoline. Ford. Chevy. Kmart. Baskin Robins. The amount of diversity has decreased. My latest trip from LA to Ft Collins, CO was even worse. Wal*Mart had choked off diversity even further. In a lot of places, I found warehouse stores offering the exact same goods everywhere. The malls all had the same shops in one place that they had in another. What a yawn. I might as well have just stayed home.
Wouldn't it be nice to travel from place to place and find local businesses and local specialties? It would make travel worthwhile.
So, this is my message to activists on the topic of Peak Oil. The brighter future we can work towards is that of local communities run by local people. As we diversify ourselves across the land, we'll have more individual choices about how we would like to live. Maybe in Texas, people will want to go to church and eat beef. Maybe in Northern California people will walk around in locally made sandals and eat Tofu. Maybe people in NYC will have greatly concentrated populations with a mix of different cultures for those that like the buffet that comes from that lifestyle. Maybe people in LA will still have fake tits and porn and whatnot, but that will be their choice. We could have it good, you know?
There is a dark side to consider. It will be colder in winter and hotter in summer. We son't have easy access to every last goddamn thing under the sun. We won't have as many things, but maybe we'll have a better connection to the things we have. All things considered, if we take a realistic look at our situation and take useful actions, we'll still have it good. The poor bastards in Haiti are screwed beyond belief. Same thing in the Philipines, certain parts of Africa and Asia, the frozen wastelands of Russia and parts of Canada... and the list goes on. We'll have food, we'll have water, we'll have a diverse culture, we'll have forests and lakes and wilderness. Give the earth a couple of decades to clear itself of the crap we pour out all over it and our great grandchildren could have it better than we have today.
Or, we could go to war to defend the profits of BP and Shell, and to continue to work harder and harder for less and less of the share of the things that our world has to offer us.