by MoogSM » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 15:10:14
I would also recommend this one as a first read. It's by a journalist, which means that it's pretty well written and not just a straightforward argument such as Heinberg's. I believe Roberts when he says that he didn't come to the writing of this book with a set agenda (i.e. to prove peak oil) but that it became apparent over years of experience.
Roberts doesn't seem to have any bias or axe to grind, so it's hard to pass this off as left-wing propaganda or something else like that.
He's also pretty positive about the potential of alternative energy sources. This can be a good thing, since coming from having no idea about the end of oil to hearing that the world is gonna end AND there's nothing we can do about it is the kinda thing that'll make people dismiss peak oil out of hand. However, his optimism MIGHT allow some readers to not worry at all--"When oil becomes expensive it will stimulate R & D of alternatives, so we'll be fine, nothing to worry about."
The fact that he doesn't really deal with the apocalyptic possibilities of peak-oil events also cuts both ways. On one hand, presenting new peak oil people to the kind of detailed prediction of a post-petroleum world makes it easy for people to write peak oil off as another crazy doomsday prediction. On the other hand, when people realize what the actual potential is here, it might spur them into doing more research and eventual action. He gives two scenarios, spends more time on the good one, and just happens to mention that this one is very unlikely.
This is the best peak oil book that I've read for people unfamiliar with the idea.