Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Hiding and/or Lying about P.O.

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Hiding and/or Lying about P.O.

Postby Sencha » Mon 22 Nov 2004, 21:57:33

Does anyone have any experiences in which you hear people talking about their future plans, but don't know about Peak Oil? How does that make you feel?

Has anyone found themselves telling others about their personal plans for the future even though they aren't possible because of P.O.?

My parents are always talking about all the opportunities I'm going to have, and everything I'm going to get to do. I hate that, I don't believe them. I hate their ignorance, that they have no idea. If someone takes the ramifications of peak oil to heart, like myself, the last thing they want to hear about is everything they're going to have.

It's like telling a dying kid, that doctors are going to find a cure to his terminal illness, even though the kid knows he'll be dead in weeks.

I tell people what I plan to do, and the life I'm going to have, even though I no longer believe its possible.

I can't stand this crap. My relatives talk about how hard they work to get what they want, and all I can think of is that they're going to lose it all. I can't say anything, I can't tell them the truth.

What the hell is supposed to happen when or if the SHTF and everyone around me is going WTF? What am I supposed to do then? Act dumb (which I admit, wouldn't be entirely acting) or say, "I knew it all along!"

I wish it would all just happen tomorrow, the waiting around is the hardest part of all this. I can't tell anyone IRL what I'm really thinking. "Well, I'm probably not going to get that job, because the economy will collapse and/or the place of employment will be bombed out." is that what I'm supposed to say?

I have to entertain all these childish ideas for the future, which completely disregards the reality of finite resources. The war in Iraq is just a war in Iraq, to these people. Oil prices keep rising, but nobody cares. Why would they? Don't they have reality TV to watch or something?
Vision without action is a dream, action without vision is a nightmare.
User avatar
Sencha
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 375
Joined: Mon 21 Jun 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Massachusetts

Postby Guest » Mon 22 Nov 2004, 22:13:33

I know the feeling. I was talking to a friend of mine about his future plans and he said he wanted to be a doctor. I didn't have the heart to tell him that by the time he made it out of medical school, he would have almost no chance of paying down that debt. I didn't tell him because it would have crushed his spirit. (and he never would have talked to me again)

3 weeks ago I was having a debate with someone on why we should increase the gas tax. She said that raising the gas tax would hurt the poor and that they need cheap gas to get to work.
I died a little on the inside when I asked her what they would do when "he Market" doubled the price of gas. She didn't have an answer but instead regarded my statement as insanity. Thus, ending the debate with me looking like a maniac.
Guest
 

Postby Freud » Mon 22 Nov 2004, 22:21:20

maybe because you're prophesizing about the unknown and the poor only care about the current.......
User avatar
Freud
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 97
Joined: Sun 31 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Postby jesus_of_suburbia_old » Mon 22 Nov 2004, 22:43:14

I would think that you friend is in pretty good shape if he does graduate medical school. I've never heard anyone say that we have too many doctors on this planet.
jesus_of_suburbia_old
 

Postby Freud » Mon 22 Nov 2004, 22:54:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jrob8503', 'I') would think that you friend is in pretty good shape if he does graduate medical school. I've never heard anyone say that we have too many doctors on this planet.


obviously he never tried migrating along the face of this planet, as he'd be forced to re train through the same courses in order to gain his accredidation all over again.........


Russian intensive heart surgeons from Moscow still have to rego 3 years in Oz in order to practice as a GP.............
User avatar
Freud
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 97
Joined: Sun 31 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Postby Schneider » Mon 22 Nov 2004, 23:49:22

I feel your pain :( .. Most of the time,i can't almost keep my mouth closed when someone talk of his future or dreams 8O !

Sometimes,it is really hard to just get out of the rank and to be alone while everybody think you're the one insane ,isn't :cry: !?

I try my best to explain,but 99,9% of the time ,THEY JUST DON'T WANT TO FACE THE TRUE..Too hard to take it,and watch their dreams going to the garbage can !

It is human,it can even be understood (even for myself,it was so hard to swallow it)..BUT BLOODY HELL, IT IS MERELY A GOD DAMN SUICIDE :-x !!!!

Schneider
French-Canadian
User avatar
Schneider
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 503
Joined: Sat 23 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Canada/Quebec Province

Postby Terran » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 01:08:36

I know the feeling, I feel the same when someone ask me what I want to do after highschool, and I really don't feel like talking about my real plans. The people will just think I'm a nutcase. Well I just tell them about the plans I had in mind several years ago before I found out about peak oil. That is what I do, and it is working.
If they tell me about their plans I don't make negative comments about it, I just tell them wish you luck in whatever your trying to become, and that is it. Sometimes I feel a little guilty but I get over it.
User avatar
Terran
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 405
Joined: Wed 07 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Berkeley CA

Postby savethehumans » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 01:34:34

Ah, Sencha, I hear you....

I often feel disjointed from this society, as if I am in one place and they are in another--a kind of half-dimension apart. Today the world is the place and system they have known all their lives; nothing seems particularly out of the ordinary. People come and go from work, from errands, from shopping, from school. They tsk-tsk the latest news (at the moment, the Biggest Story On The Planet seems to have to do with a player-fan scuffle at an NBA basketball game :roll: ). You try to say ANYthing about ANYthing, and it's, "oh, it's always worked out somehow, don't worry about it." They are going to rake us through the coals for not telling them, but we DID try to tell them, they just selectively forget about that--cuz to admit it would be saying that they didn't listen to us, and people have too much "pride" to admit that they are/were WRONG...and we are all guilty of that in one way or another.

I've pretty much learned NOT to say anything. I will not chatter about the bright future ahead, or the "it's just the same old same old, and always will be" discussions, either. This leaves me with little to talk to people about: the weather, Christmas, how was your day--all the "safe" little banalities that every one of us hides behind, or wishes we could hide behind. So you end up talking about learning new skills so that you can take care of yourself financially in this stupid economy--not because you know you are going to NEED those skills to survive. I mean, I was mentioning the coming economic collapse to an acquaintance the other day--a view that is increasingly reported in the mainstream press, I may add--and she just went on about how futures and pensions and stuff were doing better than ever, so surely nothing like that is going to happen anytime soon! This, with the dollar dropping like a boulder against the euro, and Eurasia and Saudi Arabia seriously discussing using the euro and yuan to buy oil with, not just the not-so-almighty dollar! (And, oh, yeah, don't worry about the draft coming back--it ain't gonna happen! :roll: )

I'm not all that sure of what I can do to prepare in my particular situation--how can I tell/warn/advise anyone else? THEY DO NOT WANT TO LISTEN. And when TSHTF, how much are we going to be able to help them through--no matter how much we want to? If all we've got is less than it takes for everyone to share...people, to me, are always thisclose to "rational" barbarity; Germany in the 1930s and 40s is an excellent example of this. For me, this comes to more than just morality; I am a Christian, I both want and am told by my God to love people, to help them. But what if the help dooms us all? Sacrifice myself? OK--but what if my sacrifice STILL isn't going to save them? These are hard, hard questions--I'm only human, though I'm pretty sure I'll do the right thing anyway--but I'm not sure I have the faith that we'd all pull through.

This situation is as close to hell as I ever hope to get....and yet, I know we are all going to get MUCH closer to hell than this, and not too long from now. What to do? I don't know, and I DO know. We are sort of like the prophets of old: no, they won't listen to us; yes, we still have to tell them what's coming. If the scope of all this doesn't keep us humble about the fact that We Know, I don't know what will! :cry:
User avatar
savethehumans
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1468
Joined: Wed 20 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Postby nero » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 03:10:24

I've had that experience, no one wants to listen about this sort of stuff so you just stay quiet and leave people in ignorance. Everybody since the 70s has been taught since grade school that oil is a finite resource, so like the boy who cried wolf no one pays attention anymore if you start talking about resource depletion.

But don't give up on this world just yet even if you are sure TSWHTF soon. the best chance for a positive transition needs everyone to work towards a sustainable future; keep spreading the word just choose your battles. Avoid any mention of "Die Off",instead just introduce Hubbert's peak. I think the concept is close to going mainstream, so it isn't a hard sell.
User avatar
nero
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1433
Joined: Sat 22 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Ottawa, Ontario

Postby Rhinestones » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 03:45:13

I want so badly to warn my friends and family about the long (hopefully) decline ahead of us. I hold these thoughts and theories and evidence inside, til they burst out in semi-hysterical rants, shocking the listener into stone faced disbelief. My poor family. I've got to get a better presentation! 8O I'm now concentrating on trying to only ask gentle probing questions about specific topics(the M.E. crusade) that ALL are or will be affected by peak oil. People have to come to an understanding of this dilemma themselves. You can't force it on them.

I have been liquidating some assets, as my resources 'feel' so much more limited now. While the buyers have been very pleased, i feel a bit guilty wondering how they'll feel should the crisis become apparent tomorrow. I've also avoided the topic with my patrons, but realize that I must do what i can to give any person who is open to understanding 'the matrix' they are living in, a chance to wake up.

The people that bug me most are those 50+ boomers who cop out with the response that they only need worry about this for a few more decades. GRRRR
User avatar
Rhinestones
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 45
Joined: Wed 03 Nov 2004, 04:00:00
Location: NW Ark

Postby TrueKaiser » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 03:51:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nero', 'I')'ve had that experience, no one wants to listen about this sort of stuff so you just stay quiet and leave people in ignorance. Everybody since the 70s has been taught since grade school that oil is a finite resource, so like the boy who cried wolf no one pays attention anymore if you start talking about resource depletion.

But don't give up on this world just yet even if you are sure TSWHTF soon. the best chance for a positive transition needs everyone to work towards a sustainable future; keep spreading the word just choose your battles. Avoid any mention of "Die Off",instead just introduce Hubbert's peak. I think the concept is close to going mainstream, so it isn't a hard sell.


even though food and oil are so intertwinded that a decress in avaliable oil will make food harder to get?
User avatar
TrueKaiser
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 503
Joined: Thu 28 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Postby Taskforce_Unity » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 06:56:34

Its more useful to give them hints about what you know. Small gaps of data just not you're full view. Tell the half truth. If they are interested they will ask questions. If they want to keep the world view they have now they won't ask questions. That way you can filter the people who have the guts and the brains to find out about the truth apart from the people who will only change when they can't pay their bills anymore.
User avatar
Taskforce_Unity
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 479
Joined: Mon 22 Nov 2004, 04:00:00
Location: Holland

Approaching "the talk"

Postby Such » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 09:47:15

My family is a bunch of engineers... so data talks with them. I went to the local university library and printed the actual journal articles by Campbell, Laherre, Bahktiari, etc. and will give them to my family during Thanksgiving (of all times) to support my viewpoint.

Its hard to argue against this kind of data:

Bakhtiari, Ali M. Samsam. “A Middle East View of The Global Oil Situation.â€
Such
 

Postby Sencha » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 10:05:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'a')nd will give them to my family during Thanksgiving (of all times) to support my viewpoint.


Whoa, well I hope the turkey tastes a little better after you show them data pointing to the end of the modern world... 8O
Vision without action is a dream, action without vision is a nightmare.
User avatar
Sencha
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 375
Joined: Mon 21 Jun 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Massachusetts

Re: Hiding and/or Lying about P.O.

Postby cador » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 11:21:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sencha', 'M')y parents are always talking about all the opportunities I'm going to have, and everything I'm going to get to do. I hate that, I don't believe them. I hate their ignorance, that they have no idea. If someone takes the ramifications of peak oil to heart, like myself, the last thing they want to hear about is everything they're going to have.


Thanks for posting this. We are living in a civilization full of denial.

Anybody with a calculator and access to old magazines to compare the prices of things to the prevailing wages at the time can see that our purchasing power has declined in the last 40 years.

Two hours of pushing broom
Buys a eight by twelve fourbit room
I'm a man of means by no means
King of the Road


Great lines. It means that in the old days even a homeless bum could afford to buy himself a place to sleep by simply working for a couple of hours.

In 1965 a comic book cost 12 cents while the minimum wage was $1.25. Hence, one hour's work could buy you 10 comic books way back then. Today, the minimum wage is $5.50 and a comic book costs around $2.75. Therefore, one hour's wages can only buy you 2 comic books today. (I like to read comic books, can you tell?)

Perhaps comic books are an extreme example (comic book reading is geared towards a niche market since most of today's kids prefer to play video games) but things like going to the movies, cost of CDs are quite more expensive than they used to be when you account for inflation.

I used to think it was this giant conspiracy to make the rich richer and the poor poorer (you know NWO, illuminati, George Bush). Although these sinister forces might be very well true (I'm so open-minded about things that I stumbled upon the peak oil theory), I think that peak oil is a perfect explanation for our overall decline in purchasing power.

In the 1950s you could produce 40 barrels of oil for every 1 barrel used in the process in many parts of the US. Today, you get about 4 barrels produced for every barrel. We are so desperate for energy sources that the EIA has declared the tar sands in Alberta to be an oil reserve. On paper, Alberta has 300 billion barrels of oil in its tar sands. BUT--IT COSTS 3 barrels of oil to produce 4. So you might as well only have 75 billion.

We had an energy crisis in the 1970s. How did we solve it? I suppose that US foreign policy eventually secured itself a supply of cheap oil from the Middle East which lead to more "prosperous" times in the 1980s/1990s--but how is life different today compared to the 1950s? Most middle-class families require two incomes in order to keep up their high standard of living (mom & dad both go to work). Since overturning the 40-hour work week would prove very politically unpopular, social engineers were hard at work at pushing women in the workplace.

Women in the workplace. High cost of entertainment. Decline of purchasing power. All SYMPTOMS and indicators of the coming energy collapse.
cador
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 57
Joined: Thu 04 Nov 2004, 04:00:00

Postby nero » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 11:49:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'e')ven though food and oil are so intertwinded that a decress in avaliable oil will make food harder to get?


There already are 800 million people inadequately fed and yet we continue to have cheap oil for personal water craft, Nascar, Hummers, and other totally discretionary activities. People aren't starving now because of a lack of oil, and they won't in the future. They will and do starve because of the inequitable distribution of the benefits of oil. I believe that this will continue into and past peak oil production. As a citizen of a developed country you are in the priveledged position of recieving the benefits of what oil is available. That is likely to continue to occur meaning mass starvation in America or Europe or Japan is quite unlikely.
User avatar
nero
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1433
Joined: Sat 22 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Ottawa, Ontario
Top

Postby clv101 » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 11:58:54

Yes but that 800 million figure will get larger. As oil becomes scarce and expensive the 800 million +1 person is going to go hungry. That's not to say if the oil supply increased today some of those 800 million would get fed, they wouldn't but with reduced supply even more won't get fed.
User avatar
clv101
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1050
Joined: Wed 02 Jun 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Bristol, UK

Oil production is going to peak...shh...don't tell anyone.

Postby J0EW » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 14:14:36

Let's face it. No one wants to hear about the price of oil, or its implications on the future. I have tried talking to my wife, my parents, my brothers, and many of my friends about the implications of peak oil. Here are the responses I got:
Wife: I don't like to think about that stuff.
Dad: We live in the U. S., son. If supplies are going to be short, you can bet that our military will make sure we have enough. [Dad, I think that's what our military is trying to do already.]
Mom: You can't really believe all of that negative stuff. They've been saying we'll run out of oil for as long as I can remember, and it hasn't happened yet. [But Mom, it's not about running out, it's about the production peak]. There's no sense worrying about it.
Brothers: Peak what? That's interesting.
Friends: Yeah, we heard about Peak Oil already. We're screwed. Let's talk about something else.

So I don't spend all my days thinking about Peak Oil and what it means for me and my family. But I found myself thinking about it quite a bit yesterday, as I drove to a job interview very close to New York City. There I am, sitting in traffic (and running late for my interview) and there's a Ford Expedition in front of me, a Chevy Suburban on my right, and other SUV's and minivans sprinkled all over this parking lot once called a highway. There I am in my Ford Escort, thinking, These are the people that take the long commute to the city every day? Now I know why! So they can make enough money to buy their huge gas-guzzling vehicles! The idiocy was never more apparent to me than it was yesterday.
Trust me, these people don't want to know about Peak Oil. It will break them. Let us hope instead for a miracle in energy technology that will save all our asses.
J0EW
 

boy who cried wolf.

Postby Such » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 15:34:24

people have been crying wolf on running out of oil forever... but there are two things we should all remember:

1. As Matthew Simmons says, peaking is as different from running out as catching a cold is from death.

2. We all seem to forget, that at the end of the Little Boy Who Cried Wolf story... the wolf actually shows up!
Such
 

Thanksgiving is my favorite holiday!!

Postby Dvanharn » Tue 23 Nov 2004, 16:40:42

I know that many of you outside the U.S. don't celebrate Thanksgiving day, but many cultures have their own form of a harvest festival/holiday. However, Thanksgiving in America is a still time when many families get together, bring each other up to date on personal issues, and talk with each other. It is interesting that this thread occurs just as we approach Thanksgiving. I will be going with my partner to the home of one of her friends near Hopland, California, and the group there will all be "progressive" types. I recently accompanied one of the women in the group to a talk by Richard Heinberg at Solfest 2004, an annual event that just happens to be held in Hopland at the Solar Living Center. It will be interesting to hear what she did with the information, and how her husband has reacted to it (although he will not be present).

I work in the solar business, and many of the people who walk into our store/office on Main Street in downtown Sebastopol, CA are environmentally conscious, but most are not aware of the strong likelihood of peak oil within the next couple of years. I speak to them in terms of rising energy costs and shortages, and the need to prepare for major changes in our lifestyles, but do not preach doom and gloom.

On a more personal level, I am nearly 63 years old, and have been acutely aware of impending resource shortages since I was an older (mid-30's) undergraduate student at U.C. Berkeley from 1974-1976. I graduated with a B.S. in Conservation of Natural Resources. I still have many of my books and materials from those days, and then it was even more difficult to convince anyone outside of the environmental community that we were not simply a bunch of crackpot doomsayers. The green revolution and more and more resource discoveries blinded everyone to the inescapable reality of severe future shortages and depletion. I eventually gave up on convincing anyone in the "outside world" of the issues we faced, but continued to support environmental and conservation organizations.

I discovered www.dieoff.org a couple of years ago, and became aware that the future I anticipated was getting closer, and that I would probably see peak oil before I grew old and died. The 9/11 attacks on the U.S., the invasion of Afghanistan, and the rise of the neoconservatives to the rulers of the U.S. gave me an uneasy feeling that a big change in the world was coming within a decade. The invasion of Iraq, and the flood of misrepresentations, half-truths and outright lies that accompanied it convinced me that I was correct, and that human civilization was on the brink of great upheaval and change.

I discovered this website (www.peakoil.com) earlier this year, and you people - my fellow peakers - have become my source of discussion and on-line camaraderie with respect to peak oil and gas, resource depletion in general, and how to deal with it. I still hope to live a long life – at least a couple more decades, and recognize that it probably will not involve world travel, and many of the comforts I had hoped for. Even though we own our home with no mortgage, have two acres and a nice garden, plan to install solar PV next year, live in a progressive “semi-ruralâ€
User avatar
Dvanharn
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 228
Joined: Thu 20 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Sonoma County, Northern California

Next

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron