[Anonymous1]

http://broadcast.forio.com/pro/oil/inde ... _rand=4117

Try it out! You'd be surprised. Peak Oil awareness makes an enormous difference in the choices you might make.

[Specop_007]

Damn I suck. Well, a vote for Specop in 08 is a vote for more oil!! Heres to it!!

[Oiltanker]

I think, the point of this game is to show the best method, and it's CARPOOLING!

In that way you can cut with more than 1/3 and no one will kill you.

but it will probably not happen.. both in China and USA.. it can drag it for a while and give some time to "plan c".


What would the reaction be, that you had to have a license to own a car? ONE family ONE CAR. NO FAMILY NO CAR UNLESS SPECIAL REASON...

I think, that will not happen, instead those with money will have a car, but when price is that high it's to late anyway.

[SilverHair]

As the price of filling up gas tanks increases there will be some serious motivation to avoid driving, which favors the carpool idea anyway. The ebb and flow of the market is a much more efficient way to restrict car ownership and usage than to impose yet more inefficient government solutions.

[gg3]

Ideally we'll get market-based solutions, and carpooling is a good one. However, any policy choice, including not making a policy choice, has an impact on the market, so we shouldn't make the mistake of assuming that no policy is the same as no interference.

Tax breaks for gas-guzzlers: case in point.

The only rational use of a tax break is to encourage the purchase of vehicles (etc.) that utilize new technologies: specifically to stimulate demand and thereby overcome a certain amount of time-inertia in the market. That is, if it would "naturally" take a new technology a certain number of years to obtain viable market share, a tax incentive could cut that time back by a sizeable fraction.

Now here's the important part:

By cutting that time frame, the competitive strengths and weaknesses of new technologies will become known sooner. This in turn will provide necessary feedback to manufacturers. Thereby shortening the cycle between development, deployment, and widespread adoption.

In essence, the proposed tax policy only "interferes" with a market mechanism to the extent of shortening the time-cycle for the market to evaluate new technologies, and that is a rational goal in view of the nature of the present crisis.

Comments?

[k_semler]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')ongratulations!
You reduced U.S. oil imports by 54%.
Imports declined from from 11.44 million barrels per day in 2002 to 5.32 million barrels per day in 2020.



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Your initiatives reduced oil consumption by
11.85 million barrels per day.
Oil Demand and Savings in the Year 2020
US Demand Without Initiatives
US Demand with Your Initiatives
Savings From
Your Initiatives

27.12 15.27 11.85
Million Barrels of Oil Per Day


Your savings is greater than the oil to be imported from OPEC in 2020 (about 9.90 million barrels per day).

Your savings is also sufficient to compensate for the oil to be imported from the Persian Gulf by 2020 (about 5.04 million barrels per day).

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Your development initiatives produced an extra 1.68 million barrels of oil per day.
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge Production



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

With your initiatives,
35% of US oil will be imported in 2020.
2002 Oil Demand
19.58 Million Barrels Per Day
2020 Oil Demand
15.27 Million Barrels Per Day

58% was Imported in 2002 35% will be Imported in 2020
(With Your Initiatives)


Domestically Produced Oil Imported Oil


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Reducing the average miles Americans drive cars, SUVs, and trucks by 60% was your most effective initiative.
Most Effective Least Effective
5.03 Million
Barrels per Day
0.15 Million
Barrels per Day

Car Pooling Residential Conservation
Reducing the average miles Americans drive cars, SUVs, and trucks by 60% was your most effective initiative with a savings of 5.03 million barrels per day. Reducing residential and commerical consumption of petroleum products by 15% was your least effective initiative with a savings of 0.15 million barrels per day.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Your initiatives have increased domestic oil production and reduced oil consumption.
Demand Without Initiatives Production Without Initiatives
Demand With Initiatives Production With Initiatives





Simulation developed by Forio Business Simulations