by Petrodollar » Thu 27 Jul 2006, 14:42:42
I read the article yesterday, and today I sent
Harper's a little email thanking them for writing a cover story on Peak Oil, but I also critiqued Urstadt's article for comparing various apocalyptic religious movement with an imminent
geophysical phenomenon - one that has already occured in 33 of the 48 major-oil producing nations on this planet....important facts that the Harper's article ommitted...and this geological issue should not be compared with various religious movements.
I also mentioned in my email to
Harper's magazine that both Bill Clinton and Al Gore have recently stated in public their belief that we are either at or near peak oil...and
neither of those two men can be dismissed as "radicals" or doom-and-gloom prophets...
MPR: A conversation with Bill Clinton (from a July 7, 2006 interview)
http://minnesota.publicradio.org/displa ... 11/midday2
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Clinton: “This is very important…I was reading a book the other day by a guy just bashing the living Hell out of me, about, saying that he was certain the CIA briefed me once a week on how America was running out of oil and that I did nothing serious about it. Of course he ignored what we tried to do and got our brains beat out doing. But that’s not true.
To the best of my knowledge, I never had a security briefing which said what some of these very serious, but conservative petroleum geologists say, which they think that, either now or before the end the decade’s out, we’ll reach peak oil production globally, and with the rise of China and India and others coming along, unless we can dramatically reduce our oil usage, we will run out of recoverable oil within 35 to 50 years. And that would mean that quite…in addition to climate change, we have a very short time in the life of the planet to turn this around.So I think that we all need to start thinking that as we propose…practical solutions to climate change, what we…we all need to keep this in the back of our mind.
There’s a good chance that these people who have a living all these years studying petroleum deposits know what they’re talking about, and we may not have as much oil as we think. So we need to get in gear.
But it, it’s a blessing. It’s a bird’s nest on the ground. America needs a source of new jobs. And we should be leading the way. Furthermore, if we don’t, the Chinese and the Indians will never follow suite, and we’re cooked anyway.”
James Fallows: “Let me follow up with one just further aspect on this climate change issue. As you’re well aware, this is one of many cases in the U.S. where the facts are determined by political orientation more-or-less. There is a set of…that the very success of your former vice-president, Al Gore’s movie, has made people both persuaded by his argument, and identifying with him, and with your administration, with the Democratic Party. How do you think this issue either will, or should be resolved, in terms of having a common set of facts and action plan agreed on?”
Clinton: “Well, I think first of all, in order to get broad bi-partisan support and have it bite with the American people, you have to put the climate change issue into the context of...first, you have to inject this oil depletion issue.
This needs much more serious debate. It is almost not discussed at all by the mainstream media, and very few people know about it. You’ve got to read these books by geologists or people who talk to them, to you know, form an…to get a grip on the facts.
...and here's what Gore said on Larry King live in June 2006...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'K')ING: Gas prices -- we've only got a minute left.
GORE: Yes.
KING: Gas prices going to go down?
GORE: Well, I've seen a number of -- over the last several decades I've seen this happen several times, where they spike and then they do come back down.
But each time they go to a higher plateau.
We almost certainly are at or near what they call peak oil, defined as having recovered a majority of the oil reserves at a certain price, affordability range. And so with the new pressure on the consumption side from China and India, if they come back down, they won't stay down long.
KING: What do you drive?
GORE: I drive a hybrid. Tipper and I got a Lexus hybrid. And we have a couple of Priuses in the family with our children. And I encourage people to make environmentally-conscious choices because we all have to solve this climate crisis.
KING: Thank you, Al.
KING: See you soon.
GORE: Thank you for having me on.
KING: Make the return visit sooner than four years.
GORE: That's a deal.