by MonteQuest » Tue 04 Jul 2006, 12:22:29
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gridlock', 'O')K here is my problem: TPTB must realise that going to war with China, or any other major power over oil, leads to the exact situation that you are trying to avoid. Oil price spikes and shortages at best, (if not all-out armagedonn). As this will happen anyway, what is the point in expending precious resources? Also, they must realise that oil is going to run-out regardless, so unless you address that then even if you win WW3, you’ve still lost. So I think whilst the times are still good, countries are doing what they can to extend their influence, in preparation for the down-turn, so that their exposure is as limited as possible, and alot of this is sabre-rattling and bargaining for position.
I’d be surprised if the US and China were to go at it, I think there are alternatives for them (not just energy-wise)...
The same arguments have been made as to why Hitler, Mussolini, Hirohito and Hideki Tojo would not wage war.
Did you not read the text of what I quoted?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') precipitive use of the military could easily trigger an escalation in hostilities, generate a tremendous amount of anti-American sentiment, lead to United Nations’ sanctions, and fracture friendships and alliances. But compared to the economic effects of an oil shortage,
such risks are acceptable.