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Jenab's Master Race

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Do you have an 'Acceptable' Problem ?

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 12:34:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', '
')All three boats had outcomes in accord with natural selection, the main evolutionary operation.


What you write has absolutely nothing to do with natural selection.

Again , you confuse the "struggle for survival" and "survival of the fittest." The former has nothing to do with genetic evolution.
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Re: Do you have an 'Acceptable' Problem ?

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 12:37:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', ' ')We are a force of natural selection, albeit a conscious one.


No, we are not. You fail to understand natural selection over time.
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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby DefiledEngine » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 13:43:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')No, we are not. You fail to understand natural selection over time.


Eh? Sorry, I thought that anything that had some kind of impact on an environment also contibuted to the selection of species of said environment. Like whales and humans, for example.
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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 14:02:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DefiledEngine', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')No, we are not. You fail to understand natural selection over time.


Eh? Sorry, I thought that anything that had some kind of impact on an environment also contibuted to the selection of species of said environment. Like whales and humans, for example.


Notice the caveat, "over time". Environmental impacts can affect survivability, or their actual existence, but not their evolutionary traits over time. That is, unless those impacts alter the environment in a big way and over a long time. Meteor impacts are a prime example, where entire species were wiped out.

However, we can see changes in a rather short time, a classic example is the Pepper Moth that changed colors over a period of about 100 years from predominately white to almost black, in response to the use of coal in England. (darker Pepper Moths had a higher rate of survival from predators due to not being as visible) But this is not evolution, it is genetic variability that has always been present in Pepper Moths.

Biological evolution consists of change in the hereditary characteristics of groups of organisms over the course of generations. From a long-term perspective, evolution is the descent with modification of different lineages from common ancestors. From a short-term perspective, evolution is the ongoing adaptation of organisms to environmental challenges and changes.

Since we are talking about millions of years, it is often hard to put this in proper perspective. The short-term perspective leads to many false conclusions.

Jenab's conclusions are false. We cannot choose what qualities we like in humans, as they may be just the qualities that are weeded out due to natural selection. Remember, those traits are randomly generated. Nature keeps what works, not what it likes or reveres or what is pretty.

However, human evolution has in recent times changed fundamentally in nature from externally driven by natural forces beyond our control to internally driven through intention and the advent of advanced technological systems. This is where Jenab is coming from, I believe.

And this has merit, but only in the sense that we may just be another "impact meteor" and nothing more. We could sequester the "less desirable" to a remote corner of the planet and then have them be the ones to survive because their "undesirable traits" lead to their survival, while our "better qualities" were our demise.
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Re: Do you have an 'Acceptable' Problem ?

Unread postby Concerned » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 14:57:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', '
')In Lifeboat #3, the people who recognized the need for someone to GO identified the least valuable passengers in the boat and pitched them to the sharks.


LOL :lol: as long as that "someone" is me then sure sounds like a great idea. LMAO.

Im sure you're thinking something along these lines. Say there are 10 people and 5 need to go (50% dieoff).

Bill Gates, Steve Forbes, Alan Greenspan, Warren Buffett, Jenab6, Fidel Castro, Hugo Chaves, a Chinese pesant and two hungry Africans.

Well hmmm geee let me guess *rubs chin thoughtfully* the only fair thing to do would be to keep the most valuable passengers so out with Fidel Castro, Hugo Chaves, a Chinese pesant and two hungry Africans.

Now everyone can get on with growth, GDP, production and consumption.

But wait..... The boat is taking on more water we need a 60% die off to reach shore. *ponders list* Ummmm.... looks like it's Jenab6's turn to go to the sharks.

Question do you take scenario 2 and jump or will you have to be thrown to the sharks for everyones benefit?

:roll: :roll: :razz: :razz:
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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby Kylon » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 15:30:51

The problem is who is "fit" to survive, or who "fit" for selection.

Ultimately the people who are "fit" are the ones with the guns, the military behind them, and the political power, regardless of how destructive and useless they are.

Ultimately the whole whose "fit" idea is simply a way of justifying mass murder in order to benefit the group doing the mass murder, and who will survive.

Just one more reason why I want to build an oceanic colony.
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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby Jenab6 » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 17:45:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kylon', 'T')he problem is who is "fit" to survive, or who "fit" for selection.

Ultimately the people who are "fit" are the ones with the guns, the military behind them, and the political power, regardless of how destructive and useless they are.

That's the point I was trying to make with my lifeboat parable. Being able to win the struggle for survival does not make one the fittest for living after that particular struggle has been decided. I'm not certain what Monty means by making a distinction between the "survival of the fittest" and "the struggle for survival." The struggles of men and those of wolves are the same in principle. For both, the fittest learn who they are by struggle, and the struggle for survival is what determines who is fittest to survive whichever struggle they had just been engaged in. But the struggles never end, and the array of advantages (and shortcomings) that served the winners of the past struggle might betray them in the next.

In a dieoff triggered by a resource overshoot (like the one we're approaching), there are two struggles of major importance. First, there's the military struggle, in which the soldier has the advantage on the farmer. Second, there's the struggle to grow food in a world without petrol, in which there has been a reduction of soil fertility. In this second struggle, the farmer has the advantage on the soldier.

How does the farmer survive the military struggle, so that he can be alive to produce food when the fighting is done? It seems that the farmer must be protected by soldiers.

But these considerations involve skills, which aren't heritable, but learned. I'd been referring to innate potentialities that aren't learned, but heritable. Not "farming knowledge" or "marksmanship," but the potentials for developing strength, intelligence, dexterity, stamina, and so on. Although exercise will improve anyone's muscles, up to a point, some people have an inborn capability of taking the process further than others do. Likewise with intelligence: everyone benefits to some extent from using his mind, but some have an inborn ability to benefit more than others do.

These innate potentialities are what I would maximize when trying to decide who would be preferred for surviving the die-off. Some of them would be trained as soldiers, and some would be trained as farmers, but the soldiers and the farmers, though differing in skills, would be alike in having an uncommonly high set of potentialities.

Now the correlation of these potentialities to fitness seems rather reliable to me. A strong man will, all else being equal, do better than a weak one. An intelligent man will, all else being equal, do better than a stupid one. A man who is both strong and intelligent will, all else being equal, do much better than one who is both weak and stupid.

Won't those having great potential simply rise in the natural course of things? Usually, perhaps. But maybe not during the die-off. The reason for that is that the capitalism of our times, run as it is by terawatts of exosomatic power, and organized as it is by the legal and corporate hierarchy, has divorced genetic potentiality from success. A small bulldozer will win a tug-of-war against the world's ten strongest men...as long as there's gasoline to put in it.

And that, more or less, is why those of lesser potentiality might survive while their genetic betters die off. The political and corporate elites have gathered to themselves a massive head start in resources; they, not the supremely gifted with heritable potentials, will win the military phase of the struggle, after which they'll find themselves at something of a loss when their stored food supplies run out and they can't figure out how to farm efficiently.

Jerry Abbott
Last edited by Jenab6 on Sun 25 Jun 2006, 18:03:40, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 17:59:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', ' ')Being able to win the struggle for survival does not make one the fittest for living after that particular struggle has been decided. By making a distinction between the "survival of the fittest" and "the struggle for survival," Monty might be casting men as some sort of Special Case; e.g., as though the struggles of men were different than those of wolves in principle. But, no. For both, the fittest learn who they are by struggle, and the struggle for survival is what determines who is fittest to survive whichever struggle they had just been engaged in. But the struggles never end, and the qualities that served the winner of the past struggle might betray them in the next.


You just don't get it do you? Random genetic mutations determine who is fittest to survive. If your mutation promotes reproduction or survival, then over time this will lead to an evolution of the species.

Survial of the fittest refers to genetics, not who is stronger that day. Who has the genetic traits that promote survival.

You may win the battle in the struggle for survival, but lose the war due to an inability to adapt to the changing environment. Remember the War of the Worlds movie?
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Re: Do you have an 'Acceptable' Problem ?

Unread postby TonyPrep » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 18:18:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', 'N')ot only did the remaining passengers survive, they founded a nation (after they beached their boat in a new land) whose average member was an improvement over the average where they'd come from.
No they didn't, Jerry, this was all in your mind. But let me ask the question of the determination of quality. How do you think that should be determined and who should do the determining? If this is an impossible question to answer, then you might as well forget your fantasy new world.

And, as Monte indicated, your invented scenarios have nothing to do with increasing the quality of the genetic stock. You completely misunderstand evolution if you think your carefully engineered world will continue on as you hope.

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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby Jenab6 » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 18:19:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', 'B')eing able to win the struggle for survival does not make one the fittest for living after that particular struggle has been decided. I'm not certain what Monty means by making a distinction between the "survival of the fittest" and "the struggle for survival." The struggles of men and those of wolves are the same in principle. For both, the fittest learn who they are by struggle, and the struggle for survival is what determines who is fittest to survive whichever struggle they had just been engaged in. But the struggles never end, and the array of advantages (and shortcomings) that served the winners of the past struggle might betray them in the next.

You just don't get it do you? Random genetic mutations determine who is fittest to survive. If your mutation promotes reproduction or survival, then over time this will lead to an evolution of the species.

Genetic variation (all of which arose originally as mutations) exists in the hominid genera already. There's variation in the several kinds of primary human potential. But sometimes environmental factors change very quickly, faster than mutations can arise, even faster than gene selection can shift the dominant characters. The die-off will be a stark case of such rapid environmental flux, both at the onset and just after the resolution.

Sometimes, the significant scale of time is long: millennia. Sometimes, it's short: a few years.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'S')urvival of the fittest refers to genetics, not who is stronger that day. Who has the genetic traits that promote survival.

I didn't say "that day." I referred to the (human) stocks in whom a large measure of strength breeds true. Or those in whom a higher than average IQ reliably runs in their families. These are genetic traits that promote survival.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'Y')ou may win the battle in the struggle for survival, but lose the war due to an inability to adapt to the changing environment. Remember the War of the Worlds movie?

Isn't that MY point? I wasn't speaking of a particular set of skills, analogous to the Martians' technical skills. I was speaking of fundamental, heritable potentialities. I'd seek those who have them in plural abundance, and I'd favor them for aid in surviving the apocalypse.

Jerry Abbott
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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 18:34:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', ' ')I referred to the (breeding) stocks in whom a large measure of strength breeds true. Or those in whom a higher than average IQ reliably runs in their families. These are genetic traits that promote survival....I was speaking of fundamental, heritable potentialities. I'd seek those who have them in plural abundance, and I'd favor them for aid in surviving the apocalypse.


Says who? How do you know what genetic traits will promote reproduction and survival? How do you know what traits the changing environment will select?

The traits may have nothing to do with intelligence or strength or any of the qualities you select, they may be as simple as the ability to tolerate high global temperatures, high doses of radioactivity or being immune to SARS, AIDS, or whatever pandemic arises.

Inherited abilities are not what drives evolution, it is random genetic mutations that just so happen to promote survival.
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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby Jenab6 » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 18:50:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', ' ')I referred to the (human) stocks in whom a large measure of strength breeds true. Or those in whom a higher than average IQ reliably runs in their families. These are genetic traits that promote survival....I was speaking of fundamental, heritable potentialities. I'd seek those who have them in plural abundance, and I'd favor them for aid in surviving the apocalypse.

Says who? How do you know what genetic traits will promote reproduction and survival? How do you know what traits the changing environment will select?

The traits may have nothing to do with intelligence or strength or any of the qualities you select, they may be as simple as the ability to tolerate high global temperatures, high doses of radioactivity or being immune to SARS, AIDS, or whatever pandemic arises.

Inherited abilities are not what drives evolution, it is random genetic mutations that just so happen to promote survival.

All genetic variation, every last scrap of it, originated as mutation. You're trying to isolate johnny-come-lately mutations as being the only ones having any possible importance.

I don't know how to test for immunity to SARS or AIDS, though some races may have a higher resistance to some diseases than others do. But I do know how to test for strength and intelligence, and those are frequent deciders of struggles, whereas an immunity to a specific disease is a rare one at best.

I suppose it would be all very well to cull the prospective survivor group for susceptibility to certain diseases, when this can be done. I expect it might be advantageous, for example, to cull persons having a family history of diabetes. Sure, why not?

But inherited abilities, traced back into the past, are the result of mutations. Ancient ones, but still mutations.

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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 18:57:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', '[')i]All genetic variation, every last scrap of it, originated as mutation. You're trying to isolate johnny-come-lately mutations as being the only ones having any possible importance.



No, you will never get it.

Boiled the ocean long enough on this one.
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Re: Jenab's Master Race

Unread postby mmasters » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 20:14:03

I posted this elsewhere but I think it applies here too:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', '[')b]Here's what I believe.

The markets wont be changing their ways. Within 5 years the beginning of the great collapse will be triggered in advance. Until then the elites of the world will continue to drive globalization as far as possible further marginalizing everything - thus making it easier to globally manage. And when the global financial system is fully integrated we will see the great global market crash or a series of crashes. The worlds stock exchanges are in the process of merging and being consolidated right now.

This is survival of the fittest with the global financial system and inside knowledge of peak oil as a medium to that goal. Put it this way, give another 30-50 years moving ahead like we are now and the human race will extinct itself through mass depletion. So better to wipe out the vast majority in advance, structure it so only the strongest, smartest and most adaptable survive. This will be the new work force.

In the process the elites take large scale control and ownership of all that's needed to survive nicely in the future and provide for future generations of them -- this is the supreme agenda. Whether it will work out that way remains to be seen but that is what I believe is "the grand plan".
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Re: Jenab's Master Race

Unread postby Kylon » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 21:48:24

You know Albert Einstein had a schizophrenic son.

He was also an insomniac, he stuttered, and had slightly less grass matter volume than regular people at the end of his life.

Ontop of that he often had to be treated/taken care of like a child.

All of these things suggest that he had a hyper active mind and may have been schizotypical(not schizophrenic, but with enough hyper activity to give a huge intellectual and creative edge).

He is also considered to possibly have had Asperger's Syndrome, which Issac Newton is also speculated to have.

However, Albert Einstein is widely considered to be the most influential Scientist of the 20th century, and his research has changed the world in countless ways.

If he hadn't had those mental/inheritable qualities, he may not have developed all of his research, and changed the world for the better. We may not have had the prospect of nuclear energy, and thus there would be virtually no hope for our civilization.

Now since schizophrenia is considered to be a defect, and there are genes associated with it, are you saying that we should get rid of all the people with those genes? Should we make them normal or slightly above normal? Should we make them where they have no great defects?

Ultimately, if we did that, then we wouldn't have genius, because genius is an abnormality. Genius isn't normal. And the qualities which cause genius aren't always healthy. So if the qualities that made genius were removed, what do you think would happen to the advancement of the human race?
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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby TonyPrep » Sun 25 Jun 2006, 22:31:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', 'I') referred to the (human) stocks in whom a large measure of strength breeds true. Or those in whom a higher than average IQ reliably runs in their families. These are genetic traits that promote survival.
How do you know? This is only an assumption by you, jerry. An assumption that you'd need to verify before making your selections for your new world. Standard measures of IQ may not indicate an aptitude for survival, only an aptitude for IQ tests. Strength may help but brute force is not always the answer.

You appear to view things in very simplistic ways but have still not outlined your test for new world suitability.

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Re: Do you have an "acceptable" solution to peak o

Unread postby Ibon » Mon 26 Jun 2006, 00:33:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', '
')I don't know how to test for immunity to SARS or AIDS, though some races may have a higher resistance to some diseases than others do. But I do know how to test for strength and intelligence, and those are frequent deciders of struggles, whereas an immunity to a specific disease is a rare one at best.



OK Jerry, you seem to know how to test for intelligence including anticipating all skill sets that currently lie dormant but may have sudden applications in a post peak oil world? I sincerely doubt that. Here is an example that points to the difficulty. Today in the United States we have increasing use of Adarol and Ritalen to treat kids for ADD and ADHD (attention defecit disorder and related). These kids are medicated in a school environment that is increasingly devoid of physical activity. It takes drugs to get a certain percentage of students to sit down and focus. Many of these same children who do poorly academically are brilliant without medication when their learning takes place in an environment outdoors exploring or combined with metabilizing their energy. These same kids probably have a larger share of the genes that require movement, change, searching out prey etc. that were attributes when we were hunter gatherers but these same traits when they have to be sedentary in a classroom are disadvantages, hence we medicate them like crazy. So how do you measure these kids in terms of performance in a post peak oil world where physical labour combined with task solving in applications like growing food will allow them to excel where today they are at a disadvantage. This is just one example of many where you can't even tell what traits in our gene pool that are recessive or disadvantageous may become assets in a future society structured different than our own. And you claim the knowledge in advance to decide the selection criteria. You have no imagination if you believe that you can design these criteria. How would have feathers on an ancient dinosaur that evolved first for insulation and then incidently found a seconday application leading toward flight be possible in a world created by Jenab?
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Re: Jenab's Master Race

Unread postby Ibon » Mon 26 Jun 2006, 00:48:03

Another example comes to mind that is more cultural. I have an asian wife and spent several years in asian countries: Phillipines, Nepal, Thailand. I notice social and cultural assets in asian cultures which greatly enhance community and consensus in problem solving. Since individuality is often secondary to consensus and community there is a much greater tolerance in asian countries to live and work in crowded conditions. In a powered down world these cultural traits will serve these cultures well where as the more competitive individualistic western countries may have a more difficult time to culturally adapt to certain sacrafices on the individual level. So one could argue that a culture's social and emotional intelligence may rival intellectual intelligence in a more community based peak oil world.

This leads me to often joke with my friends and colleagues that if ever a life boat I build it will certainly have at least 50% of its members not being western caucasians.
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Re: Do you have an 'Acceptable' Problem ?

Unread postby Ibon » Mon 26 Jun 2006, 00:59:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheTurtle', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jenab6', '
')
Between industrious and bum, I favor the industrious.


But who decides? The Europeans who invaded North America 500 years ago described the indigenous peoples they encountered as lazy, when, in fact, they merely had an alternative approach to living that the Europeans did not understand.

In retrospect, we see that the indigenous "bums" led a sustainable lifestyle that had lasted for 10,000 years up until that point, while the "industrious" Europeans replaced them with a lifestyle that has, essentially, brought us to Peak Oil and all that will result from that.

If I were asked to decide between the industrious and bum in 1492, I would favor the bum.

Who gets to decide?


Jenab,

The Turtle deserves an answer to his most excellent post and you offered none. Can you please address this from your peculiar world view?
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Re: Jenab's Master Race

Unread postby SoothSayer » Mon 26 Jun 2006, 09:54:48

You appear to view things in very simplistic ways but have still not outlined your test for new world suitability.


THE TEST

1. Are you white? If not goto Step 5.

2. Is your first name Jerry? If not goto Step 5.

3. Congratulations! You have been made Commander Of The Empire!

5. Piss off and die.
Technology will save us!
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