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THE Middle Class Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby DesertBear2 » Sat 10 Jun 2006, 22:08:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'W')hen the housing bubble pops there will be a lot of people out on the street or doubled up with relatives. It's already hard to make it. Now imagine twice as many people without jobs and houses.

The classical solution to these huge domestic debt problems is to inflate the currency. A good moderate level of inflation will slowly eat away at the real value of the debt. When people start losing their American dream houses, the electorate starts to vote the ruling party out.

The problem here is that the dollar is already on shakey ground. If the international creditors get wind of a deliberate program to inflate the currency, the dollar will collapse. And we will be well on our way to an Argentinian-style economic collapse.

However, the ruling party may feel that they have the choice of an inflationary program or the loss of power to the opposition party. The inflation program just might turn out OK but a massive housing foreclosure certianly will not.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby jdmartin » Sun 11 Jun 2006, 03:25:37

Pops, as usual, has one of the best replies on this thread.

It's amusing to me to read about all the people who are going to save their income and not be gluttonous pigs so as to survive the coming shitstorm, and revel in the disgust that is their friends, neighbors, and colleagues.

To that, I say: what do you do for a living?

All of us are interconnected. It is only the continued spending of your fellow greedy pigs that allows you to even have a job that provides an income that you can squirrel away. Otherwise, boiled down to the lowest common denominator, we're all out there scrounging for roots and berries and maybe swapping out some labor in order to stay alive. In other words, there's no economy. Without people buying all the useless shit everyone loves to rail against, there's no economy.

Now, that's not to say that the things we buy to keep the economy running couldn't be better - whether that means quality, humanity, etc. For example: I buy (almost) 100% of my food from organic growers or organic companies. Aside from the fact that I consider it safer for me, and better quality, it supports the type of people that I want to support. However, irrespective of what I'm spending my money on, if I didn't spend it than someone else wouldn't have it. We can't all disengage from the economy. You can take almost any job, remove the economic system around it, and it will pay nothing.

Yes, the middle class is disappearing. Yes, some of it is their fault. But get real. Every generation loves to spout off how "my grandfather's generation were hard working, saving, didn't buy anything they didn't need". It's bullshit. That fuzzy-eared black and white tv that sounds so disadvantaged today was the Ipod of the 50's. Same thing goes for vacuum cleaners, dishwashers, toasters, etc. - things that we would consider necessities today, but that were absolute luxuries then. ANY car was a luxury in the 50's, because most places had acceptable public transportation and most people lived within distance of it.

You can look around, point your fingers in disgust and proclaim how piggish everyone else is all you want. The fact of the matter is that they and their brethren allow you to continue to work for currency that you can use to buy your bunkers, self sufficient land, or products that you're going to use to stave off disaster.
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby swingbolder » Mon 12 Jun 2006, 13:34:36

I'm late to this thread (I had to stay away from the PO boards for awhile, too depressing) but here's my 2 bits:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ursing is here to stay i'll give you that one. The other ones are rapidly disappearing with wages and benefits being pushed lower because of the the endless supply of labor competing for the remaining skilled jobs.


I am a first-year nursing student. There is a huge demand for nurses, yet not enough slots in nursing schools to meet the demand hence many schools have a two-year or so waiting list. There aren't enuf slots bc there aren't enough nursings professors. There aren't enough nursing professors bc they are not paid that much $$, they make less than nurses in fact. So the US is facing this huge nursing shortage that is only going to get bigger as the boomers retire.

So instead of investing in nursing education, our govt's solution to this is to increase the number of foreign nurses who are allowed to work here. . . at lower wages, of course. So while nursing can't be outsourced, it is being INSOURCED. . . to the benefit of the corporate hospitals. Yet another middle-class career becoming the victim of the global economy.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') am stuck in Northern CA and have seen house prices nearly double in 4 years. I couldn't afford then and now I have absolutely no hope of buying.


If I lived in Cali I would DEFINITELY buy one of these:

http://tumbleweedhouses.com

The largest of these well-crafted (made of the finest materials) cabins is 500 sf, and cost 40K. YOu can also buy a "connector" piece to hitch two of these houses together to make a bigger house. The smallest ones cost about 20k and can be hitched to the back of your car if you decided to relocate.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ne big hit I've taken is for a guy, frugality is poison to women. You guys with wives that share your vision of a simple, low dollar life are incredibly lucky.


Are you going for high-maintenance, trophy-type women or real women with values and intelligence? After all, just as it's true that WOMEN go for the men with big bucks, MEN tend to go for looks.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f a man is frugal he will never get laid (in the united states, I don't know about other countries)..."


This is news to my husband, a part-time middle school teacher. With all the extra time he has saved from not being in some stressful, high-end career, we have plenty of time for. . .other things. (not to mention we just have mad chemistry.)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut seriously, we would have already had a revolution in this country if the middle class were not so dumbed down and out of touch with reality


One of the reasons JFK enacted the New Deal was bc as the depression went on, the powers that be were seriously afraid of class warfare. You had out-of-work people rioting all over the country for food and jobs. Not to mention lot of serious talk about socialism/communism. Had that not happened, we really may have had a revolution in this country. Of course today, the middle class identifies with the rich, not the poor (with whom they have more in common) and everyone is so medicated on television and other distractions.

On this forum, I remember lots of talk about how stupid the Katrina people were for not just getting up and WALKING out of New Orleans before the storm hit. . . well, that's kind of like us IMO here wrt peak oil. Some of us know it's coming, the rest of us are clueless. And ven those of us who KNOW it's coming aren't doing a thing except worrying about it.

Just last weekend we had a realtor come over to look at our house (we are moving from a 1200 sf energy-guzzling Victorian to somethng much smaller/sustainable) and she laughed at our emergency water supply in the basement. A few minutes later she said she didn't know what she was going to do next winter (we live in the cold Northeast) bc her 2500 square footer required so much natural gas to heat. . .just she and her daughter live there.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby jdmartin » Tue 13 Jun 2006, 13:49:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ne of the reasons JFK enacted the New Deal


Uhh, I hope you meant FDR. As for the tumbleweed, the cost works out to about $80 per square foot, not including land. I can build a house, here, for $60-70 per square foot, good materials, and that includes the land. And even less than that if I want to go with bare-bones living material. So I have my doubts that these are "practical" as a living arrangement for the poor. Better to move somewhere where you can buy a house for 40k (places like this abound in the US) and have the land with it for nothing.
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby swingbolder » Tue 13 Jun 2006, 18:10:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ne of the reasons JFK enacted the New Deal


Uhh, I hope you meant FDR. As for the tumbleweed, the cost works out to about $80 per square foot, not including land. I can build a house, here, for $60-70 per square foot, good materials, and that includes the land. And even less than that if I want to go with bare-bones living material. So I have my doubts that these are "practical" as a living arrangement for the poor. Better to move somewhere where you can buy a house for 40k (places like this abound in the US) and have the land with it for nothing.


Uh yeah, I meant FDR (another prez with famous initials, I live near his historic home, actually).

Where are you located? When you say you can build a house for $60-70 per square foot, do you mean that is what you would pay a contractor, or do you mean that you would contribute to the labor?

I like the Tumbleweed houses bc they are mobile. You can plop one in a relative's backyard and live there if they will let you. . .you are not limited geographically.

Also, I never said they were a solution for the poor. We were talking about the middle class.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby jdmartin » Wed 14 Jun 2006, 00:17:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')here are you located? When you say you can build a house for $60-70 per square foot, do you mean that is what you would pay a contractor, or do you mean that you would contribute to the labor?

I like the Tumbleweed houses bc they are mobile. You can plop one in a relative's backyard and live there if they will let you. . .you are not limited geographically.

Also, I never said they were a solution for the poor. We were talking about the middle class.


Good point clarification that I should have made - I would definitely contribute to the labor. Obviously, someone that was a complete dunce that couldn't do anything would spend more money to have a house built for them. However, I was thinking along terms of reasonable labor that most people could handle. I could actually build it cheaper than that (I custom-built a house in 2000 for about $55 sf) because I can do all plumbing, electrical, finish carpentry, heating/ac, insulation, flooring, sheetrock. I was thinking more in terms of an average person putting in insulation, attaching wall switches, etc. Little stuff.

As for location, I'm in eastern Tennessee. Obviously couldn't work in California, but there's plenty of other places it could. And plenty of places where 40k gets you a small house that needs a bit of work and the land it goes on.

It's true that the houses are mobile. But if you're that bad off that you're looking for a relative to drop the house in their backyard, can you afford to move it in the first place? And if you had the 40k why not just buy a little house?

I'm not trying to squash your ideas, I'm sure they'd work great for certain people in certain situations. I just think they're a little yuppiesh in that they're a tad more form than function (in my opinion because of the cost).
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby Revi » Wed 14 Jun 2006, 10:44:32

I've noticed a lot of infill in town, and lots of houses that seem perfectly fine languishing on the market out of town. Maybe there is a shift happening. People are moving back near their work. Economics works relentlessly. Every week that you have to fill that SUV just to drag the kid to soccer practice eats another hundred dollar bill out of the budget. Eventually it all doesn't add up. The Dodge Durango goes back to the dealer and the house goes up for sale. It's happening everywhere.

A family in our town thought it was doing so well that they bought two hummers. The big ones, not the H3. They went bankrupt and the bank got it all. It all looked good right up until the repo man came.

A smaller and more insidious version of this is happening to all of us middle class people. I just noticed that our income isn't matching with the outflow. We reigned in the spending, and the income now matches expenditures, but money's still too tight to mention. We have to buy oil for next year, and I got a deal, but it's still almost 50 cents more than last year. Ouch! There went the summer vacation!
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby Leanan » Wed 14 Jun 2006, 10:50:25

Bankruptcy filings up despite reforms

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Increase comes even though more stringent standards were adopted in October; lenders watch closely.

A new U.S. law to deter American consumers from seeking bankruptcy protection made filings plunge to a 20-year low in the first quarter of 2006, but a rapid rise in new cases since then raises questions about whether the law is working as expected.


Well, looks like their plan didn't work. If they want to reduce their losses, they're going to have to do something crazy, like, I dunno...not give credits cards to people who can't make the payments?
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby Zardoz » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 01:41:02

The plight of the American middle class is getting a lot of play in the media. Everybody knows what's going on:

[url=http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/13447899/]U.S. losing its middle-class neighborhoods -
Metro areas show widening gap between rich and poor sections[/url]

[url=http://www.usnews.com/usnews/biztech/articles/060626/26middle.htm]Anxiety Attack -
The economy hums, but a wary middle class feels the dual burdens of uncertainty and risk[/url]

Living paycheck-to-paycheck really sucks, and a huge percentage of the U.S. population does that now.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby Zardoz » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 11:29:40

The end of a dream

More broadly, many workers aren't facing the fact that coming changes mean their life in retirement will be radically different from the lives of today's retirees. "The years 1965 to 1999 were the closest thing to economic golden years ever seen by this nation for those moving into retirement," says EBRI chief Dallas Salisbury, "and they will likely never be matched again for the bulk of the population unless savings behavior changes radically." Which it shows no signs of doing. The implications could include a nasty political standoff as growing blocs of aging voters demand to be taken care of - Social Security aside.

It's going to get really ugly.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby WildRose » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 12:56:03

To an extent, I agree that we, the middle class, have collectively created the difficult situation we find ourselves in. In central Alberta, many people earn high incomes and could be quite comfortable with smaller homes and cars, etc., but still they rush out to own the largest home they can possibly qualify for. Even very young couples fall into this trap, carrying huge mortgages, loans for new furniture and appliances, all the toys for themselves and their children.

However, there are many people, my family included, who are at the lower end of the middle class and, realizing our financial limits, have purchased a very modest home and do not have a lot of luxuries. Our mortgage is small, but we still struggle because of so many other expenses. Between utility costs, property taxes, income tax, car insurance, home insurance, life insurance, and the cost of raising three teenagers we have little to spare. In the last couple of years, despite "cost-of-living" raises in our incomes, we have seen our expendable income shrink and cannot save money. Most of the people we know are in the same situation.

We do our best for our family. Our children understand that bills are high and we have a budget. Perhaps our kids will be better prepared to deal with less than some others will be.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby Ibon » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 13:27:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('swingbolder', 'I') am a first-year nursing student. There is a huge demand for nurses, yet not enough slots in nursing schools to meet the demand hence many schools have a two-year or so waiting list. There aren't enuf slots bc there aren't enough nursings professors. There aren't enough nursing professors bc they are not paid that much $$, they make less than nurses in fact. So the US is facing this huge nursing shortage that is only going to get bigger as the boomers retire.

So instead of investing in nursing education, our govt's solution to this is to increase the number of foreign nurses who are allowed to work here. . . at lower wages, of course. So while nursing can't be outsourced, it is being INSOURCED. . . to the benefit of the corporate hospitals. Yet another middle-class career becoming the victim of the global economy.


This is off topic but just to add something here. It is the nursing schools themselves that are being outsourced to 3rd world countries. They are underfunded here on purpose to off set the training of nurses to 3rd world countries. These countries end up losing the students they spend money training because they go abroad, mostly to the US, because of wages. The only reason countries like the Philippines support this is because their economies get payback from this investment from the remittances they get back from the nurses they trained who end up going abroad.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby Zardoz » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 14:22:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('swingbolder', '.')..There is a huge demand for nurses, yet not enough slots in nursing schools...


This is off topic...


Not at all. This is right on topic. This insidious kind of outsourcing is a classic example of the crap that's going on that is making life tougher and tougher for the middle class.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby strider3700 » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 15:56:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '
')
Not at all. This is right on topic. This insidious kind of outsourcing is a classic example of the crap that's going on that is making life tougher and tougher for the middle class.


I've always had an issue with blaming outsourcing as being the cause of all our problems. If we had a true world wide freemarket with zero barriers to entry I'd be willing to bet what we'd find out is most of our high paying jobs are worth very little simply because their would be so many people doing them. This would trickle down through all jobs and in the end you'd find that we simply have more people on this planet then we need working.

So we either find new jobs that are worth doing for everyone or we admit that we can't just keep everyone employed doing useless crap
shame on us, doomed from the start
god have mercy on our dirty little hearts
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby Zardoz » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 17:06:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('strider3700', '.')..we can't just keep everyone employed doing useless crap


Training nurses is "useless crap"?

Corporations started their downsizing campaign in the 80s, and we soon had seven people doing the work of 10, then five, then three or so doing those ten jobs.

That wasn't enough for the boys in the boardrooms, so they sent the jobs off to where folks are glad to work for a small fraction of what Americans can live on. The object of globalization is to force everybody on this planet down to bottom-of-the-barrel third-world subsistence incomes. When they get all of us Americans living like this...

Preview of life in mid-21st-century America

...watch all those jobs come back home to the good old U.S. of A.!
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby lpetrich » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 17:29:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'I')t's amusing to me to read about all the people who are going to save their income and not be gluttonous pigs so as to survive the coming shitstorm, and revel in the disgust that is their friends, neighbors, and colleagues.

To that, I say: what do you do for a living?

All of us are interconnected. It is only the continued spending of your fellow greedy pigs that allows you to even have a job that provides an income that you can squirrel away. Otherwise, boiled down to the lowest common denominator, we're all out there scrounging for roots and berries and maybe swapping out some labor in order to stay alive. In other words, there's no economy. Without people buying all the useless shit everyone loves to rail against, there's no economy.

Exactly right.

I have a rather specific example. I have a relative who is a rather serious miser despite having an upper-middle-class income. A few decades back, he sold the family house and invested the money in some German apartment complexes. Yet he himself has preferred to live in a dorm-type building with a shared bathroom on each floor.

If everybody had that relative's taste in housing, then he wouldn't have any apartment-complex investment opportunities.

So while spending too much is bad, spending too little can also be bad.

That was recognized by the Bushites, who counseled after the 9/11 kamikaze-hijacking attacks that we ought to keep spending money to keep the economy going.

-

And while it may be deplorable that many people have been willing to become financially overextended, one also has to wonder about their creditors -- why are they so willing to lend to such people? Do they expect governments to be on their side in bankruptcy proceedings?
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby vision-master » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 17:34:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')ore broadly, many workers aren't facing the fact that coming changes mean their life in retirement will be radically different from the lives of today's retirees. "The years 1965 to 1999 were the closest thing to economic golden years ever seen by this nation for those moving into retirement," says EBRI chief Dallas Salisbury, "and they will likely never be matched again for the bulk of the population unless savings behavior changes radically." Which it shows no signs of doing. The implications could include a nasty political standoff as growing blocs of aging voters demand to be taken care of - Social Security aside.


I had to take an early retirement (medical). SS is a little over half my income. 40% of the boomer's will be in deep trouble come retirement. Thank God for the Public employee's pension. Those relying on 401 K's better have a shit-load invested. I'm doing fine, but the average person is going to have a bunch more debt than me. The boomer's are going to rely on SS more than ever.
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby strider3700 » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 18:15:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('strider3700', '.')..we can't just keep everyone employed doing useless crap


Training nurses is "useless crap"?



How many nurses and doctors does the world really need? 1 million? 10 million? 100 million? That still leaves billions of people looking for other things to do.

Maybe with the end of oil they'll all become farmers and can keep on working at something that is necessary. Until then a lot of people have jobs that exist for very little reason other then because everyone needs to work.
shame on us, doomed from the start
god have mercy on our dirty little hearts
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby Revi » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 22:40:41

Us Peakers knew this was coming. We know why everything costs more and we're paid in the same paper that we got five years ago. We know that when the government says that there's no inflation that it's lies. Imagine that you are Joe Sixpack. You live in suburbia, surrounded by the boat you are still making payments on and the SUVs you drive over 100 miles every day. You walk in to the Mc Mansion that costs 3 times more to heat and cool than it did when you bought it on an adjustable rate mortgage. You watch Fox News and they tell you lies all day. You go to the extra large fridge where you keep all that food that costs so much more.

You don't know why, but you're pissed off. You had to take out home equity loans just to heat the house last winter. That guy you elected thinking subconciously that he would keep gas prices down isn't doing it. You are in a world of trouble. And you don't know how to avoid it. You don't know what's wrong. You work your job, but the money doesn't match the bills. What's wrong?
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Re: Middle class, living beyond thier means or victim....

Postby SoothSayer » Fri 23 Jun 2006, 03:34:47

It's going to get really ugly.

It certainly will in the UK.

The government has destroyed the private pensions sector through huge taxes on the industry.

Government workers get guaranteed index linked pensions and can retire early ... but the private sector will have to retire in their late 60s ... and will get a tiny non-index linked pension.

The most extreme case is say a full-time fireman who has so much spare working time he usually runs a decorating or building business "on the side" ... and who can retire at 48.

However a quarry worker (the most dangerous industry) is expected to work to 65 or longer and then get a crap pension.

UK property taxes go up a huge amount each year ... mainly due to the local councils having to pay the pensions of ex-staff.

I can envisage a time in the future where 2-in-3 old people live in total poverty or have to work until they die whilst the (younger) retired government workers have nice cars & go on foreign holidays each year.

Old people can get angry too ... and I doubt that they will be happy when this retirement them-and-us situation becomes obvious.

It's staring to feel like we live in the old Soviet Union ... one lifestyle for the government & apparatchiks ... and another shabbier lifestyle for the rest.
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