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Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Chaparral » Tue 20 Jun 2006, 20:03:28

If I were an elite I would play my cards close to my vest pocket. That is the sensible thing to do anyhow, regardless of one's situation because all life, whether it is dealing with city inspectors, contractors, in-laws, tenants, buyers, sellers, agents, neighbors or relatives is a poker game. It is all negotiation, cost-benefit analysis (subconscious or otherwise), warfare and deception. It is all cryptic coloration and mimicry and ambush and sneaking out the back door with the silver ingots.

I'm sure some of the "elite" are quite aware of PO. I'm also sure that some, especially the spoon fed descendants of some of them are not.

Regarding the question of the post peak scenario: a totalitarian state versus anarchy, it seems that most of us here are preparing for anarchy. The child of the elite or they who aspire to be among the elite might start networking in the corridors of power, looking to become a part of that fascist state and get their bread buttered by it. If I aspired to be among the elite, I might figure out how to become one of them and make myself useful to them. I would try dilligently to not be perceived as a threat, nor as a useless eater. It will be a gamble, but then again, so is everything else.

If I were an "elite", my strategy would be dependent on the scenario closest at hand. If it looked like telecommuting, rail transport and a "back to the land" movement might keep the lights on, I would push for the powerdown and switch-over. If I felt that we were in overshoot, I'd make sure a couple of skyscrapers got knocked down by Eastasian terrorists so that the good citizens of Oceana might rise up and bring freedom to the Eastasians. When enough of the good patriots came back in pine boxes that the poverty and unemployment problem was lessened, perhaps I might change strategy. All things are fluid. It is a game of constant motion, of skill and of chance. It is like prisoners dilemma combined with musical chairs combined with rock-paper-scissors combined with chess and Texas hold 'em.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 20 Jun 2006, 20:17:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Declan', 'Y')es Jack, it is indeed possible that the Republicans and the Democrats are in fact serving the same masters and that the whole "competition" thing is nothing but a sham to keep people occupied and distracted.


It would appear that most politicians are marching to the same drummer with only a slightly different cadence. The major difference seems to be that of control, not course.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby vision-master » Tue 20 Jun 2006, 20:20:54

When the right to keep and bear arms is compromised, we are fucked. Actually the Feds went house to house and rounded up weapons after Katrina even though Martial law was not declared. Note: the wealthy could hire security guards with weapons – that was ok. Glad my shotgun does not exist.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Declan » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 08:09:44

That's what I am thinking too vision-master. We can make all the preparations we want but if the government reserves the right to come along and take it all away, what good is preparation?

The US, Canada and all the western countries are regulated to the last square inch. Canada has some unexplored wilderness left still and some people might leave it all behind and try making a new start there but that's about it for options when it comes down to being part of the " new society" or not.

Even if you won't want to comply with the new Draconian rules and regualtions, you won't have a choice, because over the last half a century, the governments have slowly acquired complete control over every aspect of our lives.

We talk about our guns and what we're going to do when things get tough but what if the first thing the government does when the crisis becomes official is to come around and take all guns away, for the safety of everyone, of course...?

How many of us would be prepared to give up life as we know it and join some sort of rebel army and try and stand up to the tyranny?

1%? ...If that.

We are going to bow our heads, hand over our guns, give the government a list of all the provisions we have and try and stay under the radar.

We'll justify it by saying "I got a family. I can't afford to be a hero." And you know what? Who could blame us? For so long now we've been living in this systemic inter-dependency that we no longer posses the mental strength to do without.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby vision-master » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 08:20:54

The last generation to make a stand against "established order" was the Hippies in the 60’s. Since then, we have become ever more complacent.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby grabby » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 14:32:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smiley', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '1').

2. How would those at the top go about keeping their “thrones” in a Post-Peak world?


Two questions, one question to answer them: How does one get rich and influential?

- Adaptation
- Improvisation
- Opportunism

There is no ten year plan to become president, CEO or whatever. These people are there because they are able to adapt to changing circumstances, improvise when needed and know a good opportunity when they see one. Politics is a very ad hoc affair.

I don't think any of them has prepared a "master plan". They just rely on their talents to turn any situation in their favor, like a poker player tries to make the most out of the deck that is handed to him.


This would be true if there reamained a government, for CEO's know how to cheat and steal according to the law and they are protected by it well. In other words you have to be a selfish weasel and cold hearted and you'll do well according to the world today. If however there is no more law and order they may not do so well.

This brings up a whole new issue.
Will law and order disappear?
What happened in New Orleans?

It might be like New Orleans without Fema or assistance.

If you are a street bum that smiles and is friendly you might live.
If you are fortunatly blessed with a good heart and love for your fellow man you probably will survive, no one is going to waste good bullets on you. The weasels may strangle.
The trees might be full of dangling corpses.

It will certainly be payday for many people, when the people find out they could have prepared, but their leaders soothed them instead.

I choose not to have a gun or sword, when I realized that most people won't have one, why would I want to shoot them? They have enough trouble. No one is going to shoot a friendly bum minding his own business. Bullets are then limited.
About weopons, It is a promise that he who lives by it shall die by it. There will be no rules then except civility, and you know there is non of that civility left, so you probably will have to start killing and once you start ythe man with the best weopon and most bullets wins. The humble bum sits on the side watching it all. the only most likely survivor is the humble bum left.

I watched a video of some kids on a balcony shooting water ballons at strangers walking their dog. In a post peak world the reciever may have killed them.

People generally don't want to die. If people hear you are a great warrior with lots of power, they will just act friendly until you turn your back or are walking down a dark path one night, they don't take chances, you won't feel a thing.

The best lifestyle will be the friendly, kind, helpful working bum without a gun. Everyone needs a good friend.

There likely will not be a remaining government, without power grid functioning or oil flowing.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby Declan » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 19:18:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('grabby', '
')

If you are a street bum that smiles and is friendly you might live.
....

I choose not to have a gun or sword, when I realized that most people won't have one, why would I want to shoot them? They have enough trouble. No one is going to shoot a friendly bum minding his own business. B all. the only most likely survivor is the humble bum left.
....

The best lifestyle will be the friendly, kind, helpful working bum without a gun. Everyone needs a good friend.




You really got a thing for bums, don't you?

Most people don't have guns now and on top of that, we have laws and law enforcement yet people still kill people, sometimes for as little as five bucks.

Imagine what will happen when you remove all consequences for criminal actions.
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby grabby » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 20:18:03

I try not to imagine after peak as much as possible, I get nauseated sometimes. Better not to know right now.
But, good point concerning bums, we should not make them our ideals.
Well, bum is inaccurate in the ideal situation, its just easy to spell. Clowns are more evil and psychotic, Bums are lazy thiefves so we don't really want to be bums. Those are both kind of lazy, so they are not good icons. Actually. anyone who panhandles should not be indulged, it makes them worse., but if they are willing to work that is another story.
I would call the ideal position a triple H. - or - harmless happy homeless. Or at least as happy as you can get in the situation. (No work no taxes)
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Re: Peak Oil-The Big Cheeses vs. The Small Potatoes.

Unread postby vision-master » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 11:02:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he trees might be full of dangling corpses.


Strange Fruit.
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