[the_red_pill]

There are worse places to put money right now, in my opinion, like gas guzzling SUVs and McMansions. What commodities is he talking about??? Gold will ALWAYS have value, as long as there are humans around.

Morgan Stanley is like many of these others who predict one thing and then something completely opposite happens. Look at this idiot on MSNBC last week who said "19 stocks to buy for the new DOW high!" What new DOW high? 3% correction in past few days.

I think this guy also is missing the point on other things going in the world that drive up at least gold/silver in the long term. China is not the only reason: look at the tumbling US dollar and our incredible debt. Look at the instability of the middle east. One little attack in Iran and I will having to push people out of the way on my bike path b/c everyone will be cycling with $10/gal gas.

Is it possible? Maybe....so is a huge correction. That is what investing is all about, taking risk. I think there is much more risk right now in the stock market , so my bets on gold. But you believe what you want, JD.

[ThePostman]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'I') don't see how commodities can be compared to dot-com stocks of the late 1990s; most of the latter consisted entirely of air.

I see commodities as strong from here on out, collapsing only with a general economic cataclysm. It's a new paradigm.

[Heineken]

Gold has held its value as currency and jewelry for thousands of years, Postman . . . I can't imagine aluminum or lead as jewelry or currency. Copper and silver, definitely---but worth less than gold.

[azreal60]

JD, I thought you had given up on peak oil? Didn't you retire your blog recently or something? Not that I don't welcome your presence, but this flip flopping is concerning. =)

As for commodities bubble, sure, I could buy it. I don't really think the high price right now is wholey supply/demand based. Our market is too buy on rumors sell on blah. But I would say you would be suprised at the under the surface, how much of it is no longer based on rumors, and how much is based on actual numbers. And that is getting worse every day. When it comes out, we'll be long past peak, and people will be like, but how did I not see this coming. LOL

[OilsNotWell]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_troll

[mmasters]

So we had the dot com bubble followed by the real estate bubble. Now that the real estate bubble is in its last throes, what will be the next financial bubble be?





[Edited to make clear the kind of bubble that is being referred to is a "financial" one]

[NEOPO]

population.

[gego]

The choices are bonds, stocks, commodities, currencies, and real estate.

I think you can forget bonds as they had their big bull run from the early 1980's until very recently and after 2008 it looks to me like interest rates can only go up, inversly depressing bond prices.

Since the real estate bubble has taken values to extreme excess I think it needs some long resting time, so I wouldn't look for reinflation of that bubble.

If stocks pulled back over the next year, then they may be prime for a final blow off, but nothing like the dot.com bubble.

Commodities have been in a bull run that many think is very young, so this is the best guess for the next big bubble.

In the currency area, I think that the US $ could surprise everyone over the next several years by gaining against major world currencies; this looks more like a trading swing than a new bubble.

[RonMN]

My best guess is there will either be no more bubbles...or there will be a stock market bubble.

I don't see commodities as being a bubble, since a commodity is a usable, tangable asset they will be priced accordingly (especially when the supply of all commodities start shrinking).

What's a loaf of bread worth when 100 starving people are bidding for it? You see? It's not a bubble.

<edit> If you want to be VERY specific, I think biofuels could be a massive bubble that hasn't even begun yet. As real shortages begin & climate change rears it's ugly head further...I think biofuels will be billed as "our saviour"...and it's likely to get almost as big as "Big Oil" before the pin pops that bubble.

[pogoliamo]

Over the next years there will be no bubble. Commodities will drop significantly, but dont hold your breath for 250$ gold or 30$ oil. Nobody will be so stupid to sell you on that prices anymore. Some shares may perform well, again, no tenbaggers anymore. An so on...

Many say: "healthcare", I am not sure, it is too obvious, but nevetheless it is worth considering it.

Maybe the best is to keep your money in cash in bank account. If there is deflation you may even get your reward. If there is a sudden opportunity you wont miss it.

What we will see in the next year will no bubbles anymore. The key words is Volatility. Rates are high and this will make the prices difficult to fix and generate more risk and uncertainity. In general greater swings in prices are benefiting those experienced in trading.

But one of the best investments is and will ever be your health, education and mental peace. If you can spend money and improve that you should never regret it.

Whatever you do with your money be careful, we are in danger zone because of the global disbalances, stay away from hot places like China, Ireland, Turkey, Japan.

my 2 cents

[pogoliamo]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')Investment? Rural Cohousing-Community Development with above eminities and collective commons, livestock, structures, and equipment including barns, kitchen, shop, childcare, tractors, etc.

[gego]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NEOPO', 'p')opulation.

[Colorado-Valley]

I'm going with styrofoam bunkhouses for farm plantations.

It's kind of like co-housing, except you work for room and board.

[PeakOilPrincess]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'S')o we had the dot com bubble followed by the real estate bubble. Now that the real estate bubble is in its last throes, what's the next bubble going to be?

[Heineken]

The next bubble will be the same one that's just burst: oil and NG.

[mmasters]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gego', '
')When I read the thread, I was just thinking of financial bubbles.

[BW]

Food, or the lack of due to global warming.

[jupiters_release]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'S')o we had the dot com bubble followed by the real estate bubble. Now that the real estate bubble is in its last throes, what will be the next financial bubble be?