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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Demand distribution implies policy options

Discuss research and forecasts regarding hydrocarbon depletion.

Re: Demand distribution implies policy options

Unread postby garyp » Wed 10 May 2006, 04:01:04

Why do some people make spurious appeals to equations to make simple points? You might like to consider that some here eat more complex equations than this for a light mid morning snack. All that happens when you try to confuse a simple point ("US consumption will have to go down, otherwise others would suffer even more, and they aren't going to do that") is that people switch off. You didn't even imply any policy options.

If Stephen Hawkings can get through the entire Brief History of Time on one little E=mc2, you can make a point on peak oil without partial diffs.

If you want to play with equations, come up with one that relates supply and demand levels to world oil price. A workable equation there would be handy.
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Re: Demand distribution implies policy options

Unread postby Doly » Wed 10 May 2006, 08:57:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('garyp', '
')If you want to play with equations, come up with one that relates supply and demand levels to world oil price. A workable equation there would be handy.


And how do you measure such a thing as a "demand level"?

I do agree that there isn't any point in writing differential equations to put forward a very simple argument. You are simply saying that, in a declining oil scenario, any country that simply wanted to keep their consumption level stable would have to take away oil from somebody else (or a group of somebody elses). Obvious, really.
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Re: Demand distribution implies policy options

Unread postby WebHubbleTelescope » Fri 12 May 2006, 23:54:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ElijahJones', '
')Here is another important equation, del(x) del(p) >= hbar/2. Do you know what that means?


Isn't that Heisenberg's uncertainty principle? I say the simpler the equations the better.

Here is one for the "brilliant" garyp. How do you figure out the reserve peak, if you know the discovery peak and have started up the production peak? I hope you can figure it out before your light mid-morning snack, or maybe you want to go back to your game of suduko.
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