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THE John Bolton Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: UN capitulated to Bolton

Unread postby rogerhb » Wed 14 Sep 2005, 19:46:27

Same old same old.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he presentation has not been vetted through standard U.S. intelligence channels because it does not include secret material. One U.S. official involved in the briefing said the intelligence community had nothing to do with the presentation and "probably would have disavowed some of it because it draws conclusions that aren't strictly supported by the facts."



U.S. Deploys Slide Show to Press Case Against Iran
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Re: UN capitulated to Bolton

Unread postby Rafa » Fri 16 Sep 2005, 18:23:03

Have any of you seen the speech of president of Venezuela Hugo Chavez?

It was a very strong speech, now I understand why Bush didn't gave the visa fast enough, if Chavez had been there before, Bolton proposals would have been completly crushed!

A very good speech, he spoke about peak oil too! (and even more in the 30' press conference)
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Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby Zardoz » Mon 01 May 2006, 00:33:25

He's making a lot of the right noises, at least:

No Magic Fix for Gas Prices, Bolten Says

"We've been going in the wrong direction for years, for decades."

They're all coming around, to varying degrees. The wall of denial is crumbling fast. A year from now you'll see Senators and White House staffers quoting Deffeyes, Kunstler, and Savinar like biblical scripture.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby Grimnir » Mon 01 May 2006, 02:02:22

Something smells fishy about all of this. Why are so many of these people suddenly taking these out-of-character stances and trying to act like it's what they've believed all along? If they're really so well educated on the issues, they could have, should have, and would have done something years ago. You'd think they'd be a little embarrased to admit "yeah; we've known all along that this would happen sooner or later, but we decided not to do anything until we were forced to". Either they've just figured the problem out now, or they've been recklessly ignoring it for a long time. Either way, they don't come off looking too good.

Someone should ask this guy "when did you come to the realization that we've been on the wrong track for decades? If it was some time ago, why didn't you try to change tracks before now? If it was just this year, what took you so long?"
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby Zardoz » Mon 01 May 2006, 02:30:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Grimnir', 'S')omething smells fishy about all of this.


Seems odd at first, but it could be that the light bulbs are all coming on at once now that crude oil and retail gas prices are going bananas. It's getting really tough to be in denial lately.

Who knows? Maybe they've all been getting phone calls from T. Boone Pickens telling them to wake up and get off their sorry butts.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby abelardlindsay » Mon 01 May 2006, 03:33:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Grimnir', 'S')omething smells fishy about all of this.


Seems odd at first, but it could be that the light bulbs are all coming on at once now that crude oil and retail gas prices are going bananas. It's getting really tough to be in denial lately.

Who knows? Maybe they've all been getting phone calls from T. Boone Pickens telling them to wake up and get off their sorry butts.


It's a good start. Too bad the average guy on the street is still way way behind the curve and is still blaming the oil companies.

Fark Thread About Secretary Of Energy's Comments.

It's too bad that "the corporate conspiracy" is about the only model most people have to make sense of things when confronted with unpleasant economic realities.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby shakespear1 » Mon 01 May 2006, 03:38:46

It is the same thing as the commercials that the oil companies started to run as of 2002-3 that they are into alternate energy. I remember seeing a SHELL comercial on BBC and going "Something fishy here".

I think the idea is to start singing a new tune early so as to get the crowd used to hearing them say it. Then when the problem arrives full force they will say "We said so" 8)
Men argue, nature acts !
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"...In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation."

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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby abelardlindsay » Mon 01 May 2006, 03:43:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shakespear1', '
')I think the idea is to start singing a new tune early so as to get the crowd used to hearing them say it. Then when the problem arrives full force they will say "We said so" 8)


I think Chevron was the first with willyoujoinus.com
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby Free » Mon 01 May 2006, 07:33:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shakespear1', '
')I think the idea is to start singing a new tune early so as to get the crowd used to hearing them say it. Then when the problem arrives full force they will say "We said so" 8)


Remember the CNN-shocker title "We were warned" - can it get any more obvious? It's the same as saying "We warned you".

And about the politicians I think it is pure coincidence that they acknowledge it, because they have the tough choice of either joining their electorate and blame their buddies in the oil industry as scapegoats, or point to the real reason...

Ironically they have propagated so long that a change to all them miracle alternatives will be no problemo, that nobody believes them now if told otherwise, such only feeding the conspiracy theories.

It's like the shaman who got worshipped because he said he could make rain, and when it doesn't rain one hot dry summer, he is going like "rain only exists due to certain circumstances in the atmosphere", and now he is in the danger of getting lynched because he "doesn't want to make rain".
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby dhfenton » Mon 01 May 2006, 08:41:21

The reason they're just now starting to publicly talk about this is because they're politicians. You don't get elected with a doom and gloom warning about Peak Oil sometime in the future. Now that the Peak is upon us, they can safely talk about it without getting laughed out of the room. They are creatures of the system, as are the voters. People would like to exclusively blame the politicians for this; but, the fact of the matter is, the people expect boom and prosperity, and the politicians who preach that have a lot better chance of getting elected than ones who preach conservation, and mass transit. You can't just blame the politicians for a system the people themselves have supported. This is the end result of a couple of generations who demanded more, and never gave the longterm a second thought. It looks like the time to pay the piper is drawing near, and our politicians can serious begin to attack the problem. It will be interesting to see how quickly we can change gears and start making real progress to retool our energy infrastructure.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby retiredguy » Mon 01 May 2006, 09:25:29

dhfenton, you are exactly right.

The Bush administration has known about PO all along. The Iraq adventure only makes sense in that context.

The real question is what our politicians will propose to do about it. The early reaction certainly is not encouraging. Time is of the essence and we are wasting it by the handfuls.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby IanC » Mon 01 May 2006, 09:59:12

All great points. I agree that the Bush admin. has known about PO forever. I'm of the opinion that, far from "doing nothing" about PO, they have decided to secure the largest oil reserves on the planet for themselves by force and to make as much profit for their benefactors as possible while doing it.

Saudi Arabi: appeasement

Iraq: Invasion and eventual control of the oil.

Iran: sabre rattling and possible airstrikes. This drives up the price of oil everywhere, lining the pockets of oilmen everywhere and ensuring that those pesky environmental regulations can get swept aside when gas is $5/gallon.

I agree that the time is ripe to talk about PO if you're a politician. It would have been political suicide to mention this in 2002 when oil was $18/barrell, but now people are receptive to it. Just remember - WHO IS MAKING THE MONEY OFF OF HOW THEY PROPOSE TO FIX THE PROBLEM. Don't expect an altruistic solution. Look for big payouts to the coal, corn, and oil industries all in the name of "energy security".
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby Zardoz » Mon 01 May 2006, 10:34:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('retiredguy', '.')..The Bush administration has known about PO all along. The Iraq adventure only makes sense in that context...


Absolutely, but it looks like the rapid run-up in prices has caught everybody by surprise. I don't think BushCo foresaw this. Everybody appears to be scrambling because they really are doing exactly that.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby pup55 » Mon 01 May 2006, 10:54:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')hey can safely talk about it without getting laughed out of the room


They still can't really talk about it, can they?

They can whine about the high prices, and talk about alternative fuels, but cannot yet bring themselves to telling Americans what they really hate to hear, which is that their lives are going to change.

The average vehicle travel has gone up steadily since 1950, as have the number of vehicles per household, etc. The size of the average home is up about 75% since 1970.

Also, businesses have made decisions over the last 20 years based on perpetual cheap fuel: massive centralized distribution using trucks vs. decentralization, overnight and JIT supply chain systems, etc. etc. all of this will cost billions to re-design.

Government too: Schools, police, public services all designed with big centralized facilities and lots of driving.

All of this stuff set up based on the assumption of cheap fuel. No one is talking about this yet.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby dhfenton » Mon 01 May 2006, 12:47:00

One of the key lines in Bolten's speel was: "Demand will outstrip supply". He's still talking short term, three years right now; but he did utter the key words. As this problem escalates you'll see more of this type of talk. Most politiicans are not specifically saying Peak Oil just yet; but they are moving in that direction. We're still not to the point where Peak Oil is going to be the key to national party platforms; but, we've come a long way in the last year, and some politicans may use Peak Oil against the incumbants this fall. It should get really interesting.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby Bobbotov » Mon 01 May 2006, 12:55:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pup55', '
')
They can whine about the high prices, and talk about alternative fuels, but cannot yet bring themselves to telling Americans what they really hate to hear, which is that their lives are going to change.



They are scrambling until they can unveil the new Dilithium Crystal hybrids.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby Geko45 » Mon 01 May 2006, 13:35:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bobbotov', 'T')hey are scrambling until they can unveil the new Dilithium Crystal hybrids.

Does this mean I'll finally get my flying car? I was promised a flying car...

and a robot servant...

built like Jennifer Anniston...
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby Kickinthegob » Mon 01 May 2006, 22:09:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Grimnir', 'S')omething smells fishy about all of this.

No way, really?

Let's consider a few facts here. The CIA has known about peak oil since the 70's. Cheney has been in politics and defense even longer and may now be the most powerful man in the world. Bolten's father worked for the CIA. Bush is an oil man himself, in fact most of the current admin is related to either oil or defense.

When these chumps come out and say something to the mainstream media like 'it's a supply and demand issue' or 'we need alternatives' or 'we need to rely less on foreign oil' it means nothing and will amount to nothing. The plan is already underway, and it includes securing control of oil by any means possible, apparently even preemptive nuking!

To even suspect that these people do not understand the ramifications of peak oil is ridiculous. They are not just 'waking up', they are getting you and me ready for things like rations, martial law, never ending wars, more frequent 'terrorist' attacks...etc. When the American economy really starts to go south, many will be suprised at just how prepared they were IMO!
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby Zardoz » Mon 01 May 2006, 22:45:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kickinthegob', 'L')et's consider a few facts here. The CIA...Cheney...Bolten's father...Bush is an oil man himself...most of the current admin is related to either oil or defense.

The plan is already underway...


Good points. However, they are not omnipotent, all-knowing deities. They are, in fact, error-prone goofballs.

I've been using a "fast-forward button" analogy to describe what's been happening lately, and I'm convinced that they've all been taken by surprise by the recent wildly-rapid turn of events, just like all the rest of us.

I don't think they saw the current price escalation coming, and I think they're as stunned as anybody that the Kuwaitis have announced Burgan to be maxed out, that Cantarell is on the brink of collapse, that several Saudi honchos have as much as said that their total national production is never going to exceed what it is right now, that the Gulf of Mexico is being progressively closed off by the weather, that Smilin' Mammoud would be elected president of Iran, that the Nigerian rebels would have such an effect on production, that the insurgents could fuck up Iraqi production like they have, and that Hugo Chavez would still be in office and mooning the District of Columbia daily.

There is no way that anybody, even that hard-drinking, straight-shooting vice-president of ours, could have seen any of these things coming. They've all piled on at once, and the PNAC types have suddenly woken up and realized that they are going to be voted out of office in 2008.

The scrambling is real. They're making desperate attempts at damage control.
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Re: Bush's new Chief of Staff gets it

Unread postby TITAN » Mon 01 May 2006, 22:50:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Grimnir', 'S')omething smells fishy about all of this. Why are so many of these people suddenly taking these out-of-character stances and trying to act like it's what they've believed all along? If they're really so well educated on the issues, they could have, should have, and would have done something years ago. You'd think they'd be a little embarrased to admit "yeah; we've known all along that this would happen sooner or later, but we decided not to do anything until we were forced to". Either they've just figured the problem out now, or they've been recklessly ignoring it for a long time. Either way, they don't come off looking too good.

Someone should ask this guy "when did you come to the realization that we've been on the wrong track for decades? If it was some time ago, why didn't you try to change tracks before now? If it was just this year, what took you so long?"



You have to remember, the common person knows nothing about peak oil, so to see a politician speaking about it; it's probably the first time most people have even heard of it.
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