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Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

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Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 08:34:52

Listening to my daily dose of MSM this morning, I am starting to get the feeling that Bushco & Congress are being pressured to move closer to establishing some sort of windfall profits tax on oil in the U.S. Several voice clips were heard, many in the vein of "...but a barrel only costs 20 dollars to produce, so why are we getting charged $70?!" So, if a WPT is established of, say, 20% off the top, how will this exactly distort the market? Personally, I am for eliminating the tax breaks and subsidies promised to Big Oil established last year (to much praise from the public, I might add - "this will get them to drill here! :roll:"). So, what are your thoughts on establishing a WPT?
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby Starvid » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 08:54:17

The first thing one thinks is NO! because it would discourage new investments, but then I got thinking.

* There is no reason to have a massive wealth transfer from ordinary people to oil companies.

* There must be massive investment in the oil industry.

* WPT discourage investment in the oil industry.

My solution: implement WPT but make new investments in the oil sector tax deductible.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby LadyRuby » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 08:54:26

I'm all for it. Especially if the tax can be used to do one or more of the following:

- Reduce the deficit
- Build alternative energy infrastructure
- Build or expand transit service
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby RonMN » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 09:02:45

I'm against it. Since when is a 50% increase a "windfall"? If microsoft has a 50% increase in profits, are we going to take it away from them?

Also...if you think the little guy (us) are going to see a penney of that money, you're dreaming. The idea is nothing but a political ploy & will result in congresmen lining their pockets while at the same time, seriously damages investment.

I'm all for getting rid of the subsidies...but if this WPT goes thru, don't be surprised when the law is revised to tax YOU every time you get a raise.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby J-Rod » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 09:12:05

I am more with Ron on this one. This is simply a political solution to try and appease votes come November. Everyone wants to blame the big guys for making money. Sure, I am jealous as hell of Exxon CEOs and Bill Gates. That doesn't mean I have to hate them and want to pass a law that says "Sorry, you guys were just too successful. You will now have to give back some profits."

It's especially strange coming from the same administration that has been catering to the rich for years now, with huge tax breaks, and sticking it to the middle class. If I thought a WPT could actually be used to do stuff like directly invest in renewables, and attempt to curb a hard crash, I might be for it. But as it stands, I am afraid it's nothing but a scam to avoid the Democrats taking the issue and running with it. IIRC some of the Dem talking points recently were like "We need to make this gas issue our platform." There's just no easy solution to the mess, and WPT just sounds really good to the average joe who is sick of paying too much for his fuel. The affluent voter in this country can afford to pay much much more for fuel without blinking an eye.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby UIUCstudent01 » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 09:15:57

Basic econ 101 says it will further push the cost up. The government profits!

I might be for them considering that a large portion of our military expenditures are probably protecting oil infrastructure...
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby BitterSweetCrude » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 09:29:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', 'T')he first thing one thinks is NO! because it would discourage new investments, but then I got thinking.

* There is no reason to have a massive wealth transfer from ordinary people to oil companies.

* There must be massive investment in the oil industry.

* WPT discourage investment in the oil industry.

My solution: implement WPT but make new investments in the oil sector tax deductible.


You miss a major point, the people who benefit from rising oil&gas industry profits are the SHAREHOLDERS like regular people who own XOM , CVX , COP in their retirement or mutual fund accounts. The only thing that's going to go down if the government raises these incorrectly-called "windfall profits" taxes on the oil&gas industry are those people's retirement accounts and mutual funds that own oil&gas. Don't forget that XOM is the largest component in the S&P500 so almost everyone owns it, and CVX and COP are also widely owned.

More profits definitely encourages these companies to invest and look for more. The industry operates under long time lines and they need stable tax regimes in order for them to have a clear picture that their investments will pay off. The industry forecasts for the down and up years. If you take away their up years whats the point of making huge investments.

Just look at venezuela. A lot of these IOC went into that country in the 90s under what they thought were royalty and tax rates, only to have their tax and royalty rates raised significantly and some of their investments nationalized. The WSJ indicated that Conoco invested $7.5b in venezueala and if they get kicked out these lose that investment. They've already lost a ton of money from royalties going way and and taxes going way up. And if you wonder whether venezuela's actions are encouraging the IOC to invest in their fields, they recently put some exploration areas up for bidding and none of the american IOC bid because they all don't trust a regime that raises taxes and royalties retroactively, because there is no stability in their financial models.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 09:48:59

I have no dog in this fight (I don't own oil stock), but if a WPT were initiated, I would hope the money would go towards building a national rail system/renewable energy/nuke buildup instead of being rebated back to the consumer or spent on sour-handling refinery expansion or roads (sheesh!). I think a heavy consumption tax is rather more justifiable to achieve those goals, but that's becoming increasingly impossible, politically speaking, as oil prices keep rising.

The WPT scenario that I've heard so far is to capture profits above a certain amount per barrel. Obviously, $120/barrel oil would have a massive WPT, whereas $50/barrel would probably be exempt. The whole WPT concept, as it would be implemented, is complete BS though. The poster who wrote about Microsoft is right. I don't own a home, but I think a WPT should be slapped on chronic home-flippers seeing double-digit gains on homes every three months. Think I'll get any relief?
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby dhfenton » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 10:08:32

Remember early in Bush's first term when he held an energy summit that the public was not allowed to have any knowledge of? Remember when Matt Simmons met with the president and laid out peak oil? Today's high energy costs do not shock this administration, they created this situation quite on purpose (that's my opinion). Anyone who beleives that a windfall profits tax is not going to somehow find its way right back in the pockets of the energy companies is probably not being realistic.

One can only hope that the current energy situation will force change in congress, and finally get some representation for the people, instead of corporations. Personally, I have to think the system is so corrupt that there is a better chance of the sun rising in the west tomorrow, than there is of getting real populist representatives in congress. People hate change, even when the lack of change will force the greatest change they've ever known.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby canis_lupus » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 11:37:57

This idea is as retarded as hate crime legislation. Isn't crime, crime? Aren't taxes...taxes?

How can anyone want to punish oil companies with more taxes for doing what they do best? Oil companies already pay taxes, if folks want to get together and pressure the government to use some of those taxes--instead of new ones--for light rail, etc.

The annoying thing about this is the way the government applies laws where it chooses to like immigration reform. "Sure, it's illegal, but it's ok." Gas prices go up? "Sure, they pay their taxes and provide jobs for the economy, and prices are run up by speculators and <insert crap here> but they have a lot of money now so we should get it." Is the government going to give it back when oil companies have lean times? Is this what we do, punishing successful companies rather than letting the market reward them for their successes?

The number of socialists on this site freaks me out sometimes.

There are two solutions to the current high prices: lower your consumption or make more money to afford your lifestyle.

On the other hand, maybe it is better to get this charade out of the way now so we don't have to do it when oil is $80 / barrel.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 11:43:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('canis_lupus', 'T')he number of socialists on this site freaks me out sometimes.


95% of Americans are "sudden socialists" when it comes to high gas prices.
I'm just sayin'.

FWIW, I'm not advocating the WPT, and I'd say the response here would be 50/50 for and against, much more balanced than the response you'd get on the streets these days. Just look around.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby canis_lupus » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 11:57:08

<deep breath>


<deep breath>


<deep breath / hold / release >

ok. you are abolutely right, emerson. this issue just brings my color up in a hurry. when things get bad, the easiest thing to do is to look to the government to fix the problem...rather than conserve or change their lifestyle.

I just met with a client who asked why oil companies aren't "doing the right thing" by helping us out at the pump.

I gave him the 5 minute spiel about why oil prices are high and how they will go higher (no capacity, Iran war, attack on oil production, hurricanes, wpt passed on to us at the pump, etc). He got it.

I'm ok now. I'm ok.

<deep breath>
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby aflurry » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 12:02:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RonMN', 'I')'m against it. Since when is a 50% increase a "windfall"? If microsoft has a 50% increase in profits, are we going to take it away from them?

Also...if you think the little guy (us) are going to see a penney of that money, you're dreaming. The idea is nothing but a political ploy & will result in congresmen lining their pockets while at the same time, seriously damages investment.

I'm all for getting rid of the subsidies...but if this WPT goes thru, don't be surprised when the law is revised to tax YOU every time you get a raise.


I think I am against it too, overall. however, these arguments are not convincing. neither the microsoft comparison nor ME getting a raise impinge on other people getting to work and making a living. and though I don't believe the oil and gas price increase is entirely due to "gouging," the conflict between record profits and record gas prices is just too much.

further, if the argument for not taxing is that it provides incentive for exploration and development. first, you have to have faith that this is what the oil co's will do with the revenue.... well, what have they done with the existing profit increase? has it gone into R&D or shareholder dividends? anyone know? in any case, you don't have any real control over what they do with it. and as oil and gas prices enter into the realm where they could effect economic health for everyone, then everyone should have a little more control over what happens with the money generated from them.

but further, is R&D by oil companies even desirable? if we are at (or near or past) PO, then that tired old solution, which is not really a solution, just a postponement of the problem, may not actually be desirable. say we find a few more fields and squeeze them dry at the breakneck rate we now can with new drilling tech, then they dry up like the north sea.... all it does is make the decline rate steeper when it arrives.

you are right that if anyone thinks the windfall tax will lower gas prices, they are fools. however, personally I am not in favor of lower gas prices. we need gas prices that correlate with the actual value of oil, not just the value as calculated by the immediately available supply, but as calculated by oil's importance for society over the next few generations.

I am against this because the real question isn't whether we tax the profits (we could tax point of sale just as well - though currently profits are where the money is, so it seems like profits would be the easiest thing to appropriate), rather it is what do we do with the money we get from taxation. since that is not under discussion, I agree that this is just a bullshit political ploy that will not improve anything for anyone.

still, high prices are not the problem in themselves. they become a problem when people are trapped into paying the high prices because alternative modes of transportation, etc. are made impossible.

this taxation idea is putting the cart before the horse. first, develop a plan for running bus lines and light rail into suburbia, then figure out how much it will cost, then find a source for the funds... if at that time it makes sense to tax oil co profits, then tax them.

once alternatives are available, you can tax the hell out of oil or gas for all I care. you can even make it a point of sale tax, which normally I am against because it is regressive taxation. However, the nature of oil (fundamental limited natural resource/polluting environmental hazard) overrides general taxation guidelines.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 12:04:51

I absolutely understand what you're thinking about when it comes to the populace clamoring for government intervention. My beef with the government is that it has caused a lot of the problem to begin with by encouraging single-family home ownership and elevation of the auto to cult status above all other forms of transport & the accompanying infrastructure that comes with. I think the American people and their government are getting exactly what they asked for - they just can't afford it anymore. If a solution is to come from this government, it had better come in the form of a cessation of incentives to continue to waste oil - so Americans can look the cold, hard truth straight in the face.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 12:08:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('aflurry', ' ')neither the microsoft comparison nor ME getting a raise impinge on other people getting to work and making a living.


Who exactly made access to a cheaply-fueled automobile a requisite for making a living? That would be 50+ years of hard work by our government, friend. Therein lies the problem.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby canis_lupus » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 12:16:35

emerson, you just crystallized my thoughts for the day. amen!

I suppose if GM is going to get tough love, why can't GWB "America is Addicted to Oil" backstop his words?

This would be the perfect opportunity.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby PrairieMule » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 12:19:22

At the very least I'd say we roll back the 12 billion in tax breaks and subsidies to oil companies from the Bush's 2005 energy bill. I don't think the oil companies need our tax dollars to encourage them with oil over $70 a barrel.
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 12:29:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('canis_lupus', 'e')merson, you just crystallized my thoughts for the day. amen!

I suppose if GM is going to get tough love, why can't GWB "America is Addicted to Oil" backstop his words?

This would be the perfect opportunity.


I wish. Unfortunately, the discourse up unto this point has been about switching from oil to a different "drug", rather than adjusting the size or usage of the crackpipe, or just quitting drugs altogether.

(Damn, these drug analogies just keep coming...)
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby BitterSweetCrude » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 12:34:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', 'A')t the very least I'd say we roll back the 12 billion in tax breaks and subsidies to oil companies from the Bush's 2005 energy bill. I don't think the oil companies need our tax dollars to encourage them with oil over $70 a barrel.


subsidies are negative taxes, econ 200. thus, subsidies encourage more investment. it may not feel like it, but there's no way to tell how much subsidies have increased exploration and production, thereby lowering prices. subsidies certainly aren't raising prices, so they either have no or a slight downward impact, most likely a slight downward impact on prices. so in other words perhaps prices would be higher if there werent subsidies and incentives.

i for one am against corporate taxes or subsidies as a principle. people are deliberately misled into somehow thinking "corporations" pay taxes, when the reality is that only an individual can pay taxes. one way to illustrate this is by example. if you run a competitive business and have $100 in revenue and $10 in profit and pay no taxes, what happens when taxes are raised? lets say the govt decides to add a $10 tax to that business per $100 revenue. now your $10 profit is gone. do you raise prices $10 to retain your profit margin, do you cut wages $10 to your employees, or do you eat the $10 yourself? in the end, someone has to pay this $10 tax (owner/shareholder, employee, or customer). the idea that a "corporation" is paying the tax is the biggest farce, it comes out of someone's pocket. the tax is either paid by an owner/shareholder, customer, or employee. most corporate taxes are in fact simply passed on to customers, because an industry needs a certain profitability otherwise they close up. so govt policy of taxing in this manner is the same as increasing sales taxes. so taxing corporations at all can be shown to be a regressive sales tax! shocked?

this brings up the bigger question of how we should restructure our tax code (eliminate double taxing, triple taxing (sales ,corp , income, etc) and tax the economy in only once place (progressive income or something) and eliminate other forms of taxation. this can be done while still maintaining the same level of revenue.

i guess personally i don't think it should be the governments business to punitively tax or favorable subsidize any group. i believe the government should be neutral. unfortunately thats not how things are because money is so influental in congress. =)
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Re: Windfall Profits Tax - Let's talk about it.

Unread postby aflurry » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 12:43:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('canis_lupus', 'T')his idea is as retarded as hate crime legislation. Isn't crime, crime? Aren't taxes...taxes?


short answer? no. leaving the non-sequiter hate crime analogy alone... taxes vary considerably depending on what kind of behavior the taxes encourage as well as what kinds of opportunities the extra funding makes possible.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')There are two solutions to the current high prices: lower your consumption or make more money to afford your lifestyle.


... ok, i'll (ignore the reductionist implausibility of this choice, and) do it! let me try the first option... ummm can you spare 300 million dollars for a viable public transportation system so I can get to work?

.... alright, i'll try the second... along with everyone else because there's no damn busses.... but wait, prices are rising along with my income...

oil=money. thems the new facts. because we are discovering that we can't make new oil, we will soon discover that we can't make new money.

some solutions are out of the scope of the individual to acheive. the individual copes by cobbling together short term band-aid solutions, like going into debt. but the problem is not solved.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('canis_lupus', '
')The number of socialists on this site freaks me out sometimes.


"socialist" is what the capitalist fundamentalist calls anyone looking for practical solutions.

....still, as per my post above, it is agreed that this tax plan is misguided.
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