by Kingcoal » Tue 04 Apr 2006, 14:56:00
Maybe Lutherquick should team up with Buffet and Soros to start a huge new trading floor for oil. This trading floor would accept any currency and would use gold as it's benchmark.
Would that end "dollar hegemony?" If trading became essentially denominated in gold, the price of that metal would fly through the roof. Most currencies these days have no precious metal backing and there would be a mad scramble to acquire gold to stash away so that each oil customer can open a "gold window" similar to the one the US used to operate. The way to maintain the value of your currency against gold is to redeem your currency for gold.
Is that a good system? In theory, yes; governments would no longer be able to borrow against future generations by just printing more paper. However, a huge ball and chain would be thrown on the leg of the world economy. Gold would become insanely valuable. Right now, gold is used for jewelry, electronics, etc, and remains somewhat reasonably priced. It's been so long since currencies have been gold backed, that some sort of "reverse split" would need to happen and that would destroy the dollar for one. The money supply would be severely curtailed. Oil rich nations would accumulate gold and the only way to get that gold back would be to sell products to the oil rich nations. Poor nations would not only continue to be poor, but would find it impossible to get loans of any kind.
To me, it looks as though we are stuck with paper backed financial markets. The world might decide to switch to the Euro, but that would require a lot of the same kind of support that the dollar does. By support, I mean military policing of the world, massive currency inflation, etc, all of which Europe is definitely not prepared to do.
In my opinion, dollar hegemony exists not only because the US wants it to, but because no one else in the world wants the job that goes along with it!