Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby kochevnik » Wed 01 Mar 2006, 23:37:59

:!:

So does this mean the coming dieoff will take care of global warming for us ? :)


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')urope's "Little Ice Age" may have been triggered by the 14th Century Black Death plague, according to a new study.

Pollen and leaf data support the idea that millions of trees sprang up on abandoned farmland, soaking up carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

This would have had the effect of cooling the climate, a team from Utrecht University, Netherlands, says.


Black Death
kochevnik
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 328
Joined: Fri 20 Aug 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby The_Virginian » Wed 01 Mar 2006, 23:47:38

The interesting part about CO2 and plants, is the theory that Metahane is large plant produced byproduct....

Now how would that play into the "little Ice age"?
[urlhttp://www.youtube.com/watchv=Ai4te4daLZs&feature=related[/url] "My soul longs for the candle and the spices. If only you would pour me a cup of wine for Havdalah...My heart yearning, I shall lift up my eyes to g-d, who provides for my needs day and night."
User avatar
The_Virginian
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1684
Joined: Sat 19 Jun 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 04:17:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')lack Death Caused Mini-Ice Age


Rats.

(actually that should be fleas but that's not so funny)
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby katkinkate » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 07:19:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('The_Virginian', 'T')he interesting part about CO2 and plants, is the theory that Metahane is large plant produced byproduct....

Now how would that play into the "little Ice age"?


Methane is produced when plant material decomposes in anoxic conditions (eg. under water, in buried garbage tips). While the plants are actively growing they are sucking CO2 out of the air and using it to build more plant material.
Kind regards, Katkinkate

"The ultimate goal of farming is not the growing of crops,
but the cultivation and perfection of human beings."
Masanobu Fukuoka
User avatar
katkinkate
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1276
Joined: Sat 16 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Brisbane, Australia

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby elroy » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 15:39:12

Not entirely. A recent study showed that plants produce quite a bit of methane during their life. The reason why we didn't know is simple, nobody was measuring it.
Image
User avatar
elroy
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 316
Joined: Sun 25 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Netherlands

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby Falconoffury » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 21:20:02

I thought that any animal that farts produces methane. It might be an urban legend.
"If humans don't control their numbers, nature will." -Pimentel
"There is not enough trash to go around for everyone," said Banrel, one of the participants in the cattle massacre.
"Bush, Bush, listen well: Two shoes on your head," the protesters chant
User avatar
Falconoffury
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 1395
Joined: Tue 25 May 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 21:49:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Falconoffury', 'I') thought that any animal that farts produces methane. It might be an urban legend.


A methane tax for farmers was proposed down here, it was ridiculed as the fart tax.
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby bobcousins » Thu 02 Mar 2006, 21:58:31

It's an interesting theory. It is really tough to isolate the dozens of different forcings that affect climate.

Ruddiman's theory is that humans have been influencing climate ever since we developed agriculture, over 8,000 years ago. A major die-off would presumably coincidence with reduction in fossil fuel burning, so there would be a large reduction in CO2.

Unfortunately, the climate scientists can only make definite statements about the immediate future, further than that they don't really have much of a clue. We know at one extreme there is snowball Earth, at the other runaway global warming. Somewhere in the middle, there are one or more switches that flip the direction, but we don't have much idea where they are. We don't know what triggers glaciation for example. My theory is that reduced CO2 causes it, others say excess CO2!

I don't think IPCC even model PO at all - one study said the IPCC "Business As Usual" is impossible as it assumes that CO2 continues rising linearly to 2200, and takes no account of oil reserves.

There is discussion whether we are at the end of the interglacial period - or whether this is a long one and we are half way through. If we reduce CO2 below pre-industrial levels, that could put us back into the regular interglacial happy zone - or be the trigger of the next glacial advance. We just don't know.
It's all downhill from here
User avatar
bobcousins
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1164
Joined: Thu 14 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Left the cult

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby Odin » Fri 03 Mar 2006, 00:24:48

What I've read says the Little Ice Age started just before the Black Death. The cold, wet summers and the resulting crop failures ment people were malnourished and therfore had comprimised immune systems, making them more vulnerable to disease. Some climatologists think there has been a 1500 year-long cycle of warm and cool periods since the Altithermal, the naturally warmest part of the current interglacial (the current, artificial warming just recently exceeded it), 6000 years ago and we are currently entering a warm phase (although the natural recovery is being swamped by the artificial warming we are causing) and the Little Ice age was the last cool period in the cycle.
Last edited by Odin on Fri 03 Mar 2006, 00:37:24, edited 1 time in total.
"Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis." -Starvid

The 2nd Law of Thermodynamics only applies in a closed system; Earth is NOT a closed system.
User avatar
Odin
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 89
Joined: Sat 28 Jan 2006, 04:00:00
Location: Moorhead, MN, USA

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby rogerhb » Fri 03 Mar 2006, 00:29:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Odin', 's')wampled


Is that a technical term?
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
User avatar
rogerhb
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4727
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Smalltown New Zealand
Top

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby Odin » Fri 03 Mar 2006, 00:36:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bobcousins', 'I')t's an interesting theory. It is really tough to isolate the dozens of different forcings that affect climate.

Ruddiman's theory is that humans have been influencing climate ever since we developed agriculture, over 8,000 years ago. A major die-off would presumably coincidence with reduction in fossil fuel burning, so there would be a large reduction in CO2.

Unfortunately, the climate scientists can only make definite statements about the immediate future, further than that they don't really have much of a clue. We know at one extreme there is snowball Earth, at the other runaway global warming. Somewhere in the middle, there are one or more switches that flip the direction, but we don't have much idea where they are. We don't know what triggers glaciation for example. My theory is that reduced CO2 causes it, others say excess CO2!

I don't think IPCC even model PO at all - one study said the IPCC "Business As Usual" is impossible as it assumes that CO2 continues rising linearly to 2200, and takes no account of oil reserves.

There is discussion whether we are at the end of the interglacial period - or whether this is a long one and we are half way through. If we reduce CO2 below pre-industrial levels, that could put us back into the regular interglacial happy zone - or be the trigger of the next glacial advance. We just don't know.


The problem with Ruddman's hypothesis is that there was a long interglacial 400,000 years ago, The unusual length of the current interglacial, just like the one 400,000 years ago, may just be a result of mismatched Milankovich cycles; the precession cycle is in the right configuration for a glaciation to start, but the tilt and orbital eccentricity is not.
"Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis." -Starvid

The 2nd Law of Thermodynamics only applies in a closed system; Earth is NOT a closed system.
User avatar
Odin
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 89
Joined: Sat 28 Jan 2006, 04:00:00
Location: Moorhead, MN, USA
Top

Re: Black Death Caused Mini-Ice Age

Unread postby Odin » Fri 03 Mar 2006, 00:38:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Odin', 's')wampled


Is that a technical term?


oops, I ment swamped.
"Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis." -Starvid

The 2nd Law of Thermodynamics only applies in a closed system; Earth is NOT a closed system.
User avatar
Odin
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 89
Joined: Sat 28 Jan 2006, 04:00:00
Location: Moorhead, MN, USA
Top


Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron