by gg3 » Fri 22 Oct 2004, 05:11:41
As a generality, anything that requires transport of large numbers of persons to a site, or in which a site uses large amounts of energy as an ongoing expense relative to its income stream, will be in trouble.
For example, sporting events and concerts that depend on large audiences going to large venues. For example, amusement parks and theme parks. Tourism that depends upon cheap air travel will be gone.
Anything that depends primarily on the transport of *information,* or participation by individuals without need of significant transport usage, will probably do better.
Radio, television, the music industry, movies at least in the form of DVDs or carrier-delivered programming to the home (cable, etc.). These industries use energy once to produce the content, and then very little to distribute it, and the consumers need relatively little energy to play the content.
Particiipatory sports that require relatively little equipment, as someone mentioned above. Local sporting leagues whose games can be attended via local transport at small venues. Local musicians who play at clubs, pubs, and the like.
Board games, card games, FRP games, and outdoor games in addition to sports per-se (e.g. "Hide and go seek" is not a sport as such). Video games and computer games, including their networked versions.
Carmiac, re-enactment organizations are a very interesting case. You have SCA, Civil War re-enactment groups, and similar. I suspect we're eventually going to get "20th Century re-enactment groups," whose chosen time/space context is 1950s - 1960s suburbia. We're already starting to get that with interactive play such as the Sims; and the endpoint of this was predicted in a novel by Philip K Dick (I can't recall the title, but the game was played by grunt-workers in outer space, with the aid of drugs that would place them in the scenes they were playing).
Sex as entertainment depends on safe & reliable & inexpensive contraception. I would expect to see an increase in "telesex" via webcam and similar means; this basically amounts to verbally and visually interactive masturbation. And masturbation in any form is always going to be the #1 most widespread form of entertainment in any society, whether people admit it or not: safe, free, requires no material or energy inputs.
Storytellling will make a come-back. Including storytelling via radio.
In general, any form of entertainment that existed prior to WW2 will probably still exist, with updates for cultural changes; for example people will still go to clubs where they can sing and dance. Any form of entertainment that has persisted since pre-petroleum times will still persist, e.g. singing, dancing, sports. Really, all we would lose would be some of the most recently-developed forms of entertainment, and humans have managed to get along without those for most of our history.