by Petrodollar » Mon 13 Feb 2006, 19:15:35
The retrospective goal of the 1991 war was apparantly to weaken the strongest nation in the oil-producing states: Iraq. The same thing is happening today with regard to Iran, but I digress...
Here's a quick look at the ME history post WWII. Iran had a fledging democracy from 1951 to 1953, but the stauch secular nationalist leader, Prime Minister Mossadegh, did something unforgiveable to British oil interests - he nationalized Iran's oil. The Anglo-Iranian (later to become BP) oil company was not happy about this. Truman was asked to overthrow Iran, but he demurred. Incoming president Eisenhower was basically tricked into signing-off on operation AJAX by the Dulles brothers. In came the Shah, who did the bidding for the US, and along with Saudi Arabia was a prime subsidizer of the US military-industrail complex.
Important history lessons following the 1953 coup of Iran are revealed in Stephen Kinzer’s excellent book, All the Shah’s Men: An American Coup and the Roots of Middle East Terror.(2002) Highly recommended, and it explains why Iran did not develop into a mature deomcracy like Israel did in the post-WWII period. Here's the most interesting quote from Kinzer's book when he traveled to Iran interviewing people for his book:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')Why did you Americans do that terrible thing?’ a relative of Mossadegh demands of Kinzer. ‘We always loved America. To us, America was the great country, the perfect country, the country that helped us while other countries were exploiting us. But after that moment, no one in Iran ever trusted the United States again. I can tell you for sure that if you had not done that thing, you would never have had that problem of hostages being taken in your embassy in Tehran. All your trouble started in 1953. Why, why did you do it?’
The answer to her question can be summarized in one word — greed, stemming from powerful oil interests enacting unwarranted influence on British and American foreign policies. Go see the new movie,
Why We Fight, for more evidence of this imperial blowback.
Sadly, it is clear that Iran was very pro-US before the CIA overthrew their fledging democracy. The US-backed the Shah of Iran from 1953 to 1979, the CIA trained his brutal SAVAK police force (including torture methods, etc), and we sold Iran lots of high-tech weaponry, trained their military officers in the states, even helped the Shah begin a nuclear program in the mid-1970s (Iran reached peak oil in 1974).
We made sure that Iran was the strongest state in the ME and along with Saudi Arabia one of "our strong allies." It was a huge mistake...
...that became evident in 1979 with the Iranian Revolution (which was the blowback from operation AJAX of 1953). A military-strong Iran, now under nationalist rule, apparently
had to be weakened by US geostrategists. So, Saddam was encouraged to attack Iran, which he did in 1980, and we supported him tactically with satellite data to enhance the deployment of his chemical WMD artillery barrages upon the Iranian troops. After 8 years and 1 million men killed, the result was a bloody stalemate, which the Reagan administration seemed okay with at the time, especially given the CIA-run Afghan campaign was going so well against the Russians by the late 1980s...
However, I guess Saddam had become a little too strong by 1989, perhaps b/c it appeared that he might develop nuclear weapons within a few years, which would move him from a puppet state to an indepedent actor. So it seems that a "trap" was set to weaken Saddam by the G.H.Bush admin around 1990. The bait of course was Kuwait.
Saddam Hussian had viewed the Americans as an ally in his war with Iran. He had in fact told them of his intention to invade Kuwait in JUl 1990.
He had specifically conveyed his intention to April Gillespie, the American ambassador in Iraq on 25 July 1990. He had specifically sought to know what America’s reaction would be. She had tacitly encouraged him by saying “We have no opinions on Arab-Arab conflicts like your border dispute with Kuwait”. A former White House Press Secretary Mr Parie Salinger also confirms the same information. Note: It has been reported that Sec. of State James Baker had gavin Gillespie a hyper-specific script to use when she met with Saddam in July 1990. And I do mean
hyper-specific...which has lead many people to conclude the US wanted Saddam to invade in order to tactically weaken his regime. In other words, a trap, which he fell for, but regardless of these geopolitics, the invasion of Iraq was a war of aggression and could not be tolerated under International Law.
Here's what one analysts has noted about the 1991 Gulf War:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '1')) The Americans manipulated this information cynically. They pretended to go along and set up Saddam for a major blow.
The US Central Command had already wargamed contingency plans for war with Iraq in 1989. These were code numbered Contingency Plan 100 2-90. These had been extensively wargamed in the Summer of 1990 itself.
Saddam however was deceived into thinking that the entire CNN led outcry to his current invasion was bluff and bluster. The Americans in fact would not invade. If they did, Saddam had no intention of fighting. His military aim was confined to ensuring the survival of the Bathist regime. In this he succeeded eminently
(although temporarily) 2) After the invasion of Kuwait, Saddam withdrew his elite Republican Guards from that state. He sent in second rate reservist formations that dug down in a purely defensive stance. His intention was to avoid conveying any further hostile intent towards Saudi Arabia.
3) Saddam thus tied himself down in a purely reactive and defensive stance. He foreclosed the Proactive option of capturing the Saudi Ports of Daharan and Daflan and thus seriously interfering with any American build up against him.
4) The Americans therefore got six months to complete a massive military build up in the Gulf without any let or hindrance. Iraqi air and missile strikes or a number of limited Khafji style attacks could have played havoc at this stage and seriously disrupted the American plans for attack.
Secondly, do you think the US should obey international law even if it constrains its power? Please advise, thanks.