by TheTurtle » Mon 06 Feb 2006, 15:12:38
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dukat_Reloaded', '
')I believe China's economy has become it's own economy now, and not as reliant on USA trade as many might think. If America goes into a recession, China will continue to power along with or without the USA.
When the USA tanks, China will tank. But I think China will tank first.
I've said it before, but it bears repeating. China's economy is about to implode.
The government became extremely worried that there were 74,000 "mass incidents" of social unrest in 2004. During the past two or three years, they stopped extolling Deng's notion that" it is glorious to become rich" and instead began preaching the joy of an "harmonious society". They even went so far recently as to dust the cobwebs off Confucianism and start pushing his teachings as being consistent with their new Harmonious Society (Mao must be rolling over in his sarcophagus).
Well, guess what ... the rich in China have gotten richer, while the poor (the vast majority of 1.3 billion people) have gotten poorer. The path to modernism is screwing up the environment more than ever, the government is stealing lands that have been in rural families for generations and selling it to big business for obscene profits so that high rise buildings can be erected or dmas can be constructed to provide ever more power to feed their needs, and the ruling cadre are being caught more often up to their elbows in corruption. The result is that in 2005 there were 87,000 mass incidents of social unrest.
There are a lot of angry, unhappy people who stand to throw a monkey wrench into China's dreams of being the economic powerhouse of the future. Add to that the fact that China faces the same risks as the rest of the world due to PO and climate change, and I think I'd just as soon stay where I am as I would to move there.
As someone who already speaks Chinese and is very familiar with their culture, my advice to you Dukat_R. is to be nice to yourself and just stay home.
“Humankind has not woven the web of life. We are but one thread within it. Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves.” (Ted Perry)