[duke3522]

Hey Out There,

Here in the US we produce a little less than 8m b/d. What would happen if the US suddenly had to get by on only dommeticly produced oil?

8m b/d would be about a third of current consumption. It would be a pretty interesting time i which to live.

Duke of Indiana

[Daryl]

Well, for one, people would lose alot of weight pushing their cars to work and jumping up and down inside their homes to stay warm.

[coyote]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('duke3522', 'H')ey Out There,

Here in the US we produce a little less than 8m b/d. What would happen if the US suddenly had to get by on only dommeticly produced oil?

8m b/d would be about a third of current consumption. It would be a pretty interesting time i which to live.

Duke of Indiana

[justgas]

I went to eia.doe.gov and to see the actual numbers. Yes the site reports that the average field production of crude oil in 2005 was 5.1 million barrels per day. (range 5.5 to 4.2) But it also reports that Field Production, Natural Gas Plant Liquids was 1.7 mbpd for a total field production of 6.8 mbpd of stuff that will burn. Same excel spreadsheet shows that we imported 10.1 mbpd of crude, 3.5 mbpd of products plus an adjustment figure of .6 gives total average supply of pretroleum products in USA in 2005 of 21.0 million barrels per day. So we are extracting 32.6% of what we use not 40%. Or to live on what we have, we need to reduce consumption by 70%.

When someone talks about cutting our consumption in half to match European consumption it almost sounds possible. 70% reduction sounds much less possible.

[duke3522]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('coyote', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('duke3522', 'H')ey Out There,

Here in the US we produce a little less than 8m b/d. What would happen if the US suddenly had to get by on only dommeticly produced oil?

8m b/d would be about a third of current consumption. It would be a pretty interesting time i which to live.

Duke of Indiana

[mekrob]

Are all of Iranian (or most anyway) oil fields in the West? I'd assume so since most other ME oil is right about that same region. Even if most are in the West, seizing them would still require huge amounts of soldiers to secure them for indefinately. Too costly IMO, but I wouldn't put it past Bush or the WH.

[backstop]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('justgas', 'I') went to eia.doe.gov and to see the actual numbers. Yes the site reports that the average field production of crude oil in 2005 was 5.1 million barrels per day. (range 5.5 to 4.2) But it also reports that Field Production, Natural Gas Plant Liquids was 1.7 mbpd for a total field production of 6.8 mbpd of stuff that will burn. Same excel spreadsheet shows that we imported 10.1 mbpd of crude, 3.5 mbpd of products plus an adjustment figure of .6 gives total average supply of pretroleum products in USA in 2005 of 21.0 million barrels per day. So we are extracting 32.6% of what we use not 40%. Or to live on what we have, we need to reduce consumption by 70%.

When someone talks about cutting our consumption in half to match European consumption it almost sounds possible. 70% reduction sounds much less possible.