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PeakOil is You

Changing the world :- The Commanding Heights.

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Changing the world :- The Commanding Heights.

Unread postby BlueGhost » Tue 10 Jan 2006, 21:22:32

Peak oil, and our lack of preparation for it - are a symptom.
Just like the starving masses in the 3rd world are a symptom, the spread of controllable disease such as HIV, the continual 'improvements to standards of living' which do not in fact result in happier people.

All these are symptoms of our social mores, symptoms of our economic system, symptoms of our continued improvements in economic efficiency, symptoms of our ever growing population, symptoms of our ever growing greed.

Yet this is not the end of it,
Why does our economic system keep making the rich richer?
Why do people keep buying more junk?
Why do people want treatment of symptoms rather than focusing on the irradiation of diseases?

Simple, because people want it so. The majority of peoples actions cause this, 'the people' don't really want it any different. You can cry manipulation, vote rigging all you want but in a democratic nation the buck stops with the electorate.

And so the course of action is clear - we must persuade people different!
We should go forth and tell them 'Thou shalt not drive a great big dangerous gas guzzling monstrosity.'
We should go out there and persuade people to consume less, persuade them to vote in clever politicians who'll institute long term and daring plans to fix the world!
Except people have tried that, and while they make progress they've been trying for a long long time and the world doesn't seem much better to me.

So, I suggest a different stratagy. Use the commanding heights of social conditioning to change people to change the world.

Change the focus of the education system such that the people it produce are more likely to support a rational agenda and less likely to be mindless consumers.

Make all advertising other than factual informative advertising illegal.
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Re: Changing the world :- The Commanding Heights.

Unread postby jaws » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 00:16:33

Your solution to the general population having been brain-washed by the social engineers is to... become the social engineer?

How exactly do you plan on accomplishing this? Do you believe the current social engineers will go away without a fight?
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Free » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 02:48:42

Every attempt to change the human being - through "brainwashing" or otherwise - is futile - at least if you don't have 10 000 years time or a very good DNS construction kit.

We have to live with the hardware. All the pack of desires, emotions, in short the whole ice age man won't go away. We can only change the software (Culture, religion, values) which is hugely limited, because the hardware architecture will always shine through.

However, what we can change rather easily is how all those human beings, all those hardwaremachines, interact, or have to interact. The net. The protocol. TCP/IP. Network architecture. The society. The system. The economy. Call however you want to call it. As long as you calculate with the hardware, it will work.
"Democracy means the opportunity to be everyone's slave."
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Raxozanne » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 04:19:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Free', '
')We have to live live with the hardware. All the pack of desires, emotions, in short the whole ice age man won't go away. We can only change the software (Culture, religion, values) which is hugely limited, because the hardware architecture will always shine through.


Culture and religion can often override evolutionary programming.
For example: Buddhist Monks. Religion has overriden the monks impulse to procreate.
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Doly » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 06:32:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Free', 'W')e can only change the software (Culture, religion, values) which is hugely limited, because the hardware architecture will always shine through.


Hugely limited? There is no other animal that will voluntarily go hungry when there's food available because of some long-term goal. I'd say our software allows for enormous flexibility. True, the hardware imposes limits, but doesn't it always?
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Ludi » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 09:46:39

It's very easy to confuse software with hardware and believe that aspects of our culture (such as greed and short-sightedness) are hardwired "human nature." But that fact that human societies have often gone against these supposed hardwired traits proves they are actually cultural. Examples in Jared Diamond's Collapse.
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Free » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 14:22:07

Maybe I am too much influenced by Nietzsche (or his epigon Freud) to not scrutinize and question seemingly altruistic, atypical behavior or values.

Buddhist monks? Just remember that they get food for free in a society that respects them (not insinuating that this is consciously their objective in the first place...)

Even if values seemed to have turned upside down they have a remarkable tendency to swing back in reality.
Best example is the christian church. The meek will be the first, etc. From a humble slave religion into the most efficient world conquering powermachine within centuries.

Somebody does not procreate biologically? Well, maybe he has found a better way to procreate, with writing a book for example? (theory of the "memes")

Sublimation of crude desires and will to power!

Cherchez l'egoisme! :)

Just saying that if you try to create a "new human", a masterrace, a superman, or whatever, like so many movements before, you will be in for a huge disappointment.
"Democracy means the opportunity to be everyone's slave."
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Raxozanne » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 16:18:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Free', '
')Just saying that if you try to create a "new human", a masterrace, a superman, or whatever, like so many movements before, you will be in for a huge disappointment.


Yes I agree. You could start a movement stating all sorts of postive altruistic things but individuals will in the end be always looking to do what is in the best interest for themselves and will most likely do so unless there is some sort of negative penalty for doing so that outweighs the benefits. Sometimes though postive actions such as cooperation could be in a persons best interest and be beneficial to all involved.

I was thinking that culture can influence and 'reign in' some hardwired negative impulses to a certain extent (by threatening a drop in status and general disdain for those who don't adhere to traditions). But this would only work in tight knit communities and the hardwired impulses will always be there.

A good example I suppose would be Aka shaming. It is Aka tradition to share all their days food out amongst the community (or so I've read). If an individual tries to keep their catch for themselves they are mocked and shamed and eventually (usually) they share their catch out to avoid the disdain of others.
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby DefiledEngine » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 16:32:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')But that fact that human societies have often gone against these supposed hardwired traits proves they are actually cultural. Examples in Jared Diamond's Collapse.


I have yet to see anything that stumps the selfish genes. Which were these societies? What were the conditions they lived in? Famine? Lack of resources? Did they live like present day western civilization?
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Free » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 16:40:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Raxozanne', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Free', '
')Just saying that if you try to create a "new human", a masterrace, a superman, or whatever, like so many movements before, you will be in for a huge disappointment.


Yes I agree. You could start a movement stating all sorts of postive altruistic things but individuals will in the end be always looking to do what is in the best interest for themselves and will most likely do so unless there is some sort of negative penalty for doing so that outweighs the benefits. Sometimes though postive actions such as cooperation could be in a persons best interest and be beneficial to all involved.

I was thinking that culture can influence and 'reign in' some hardwired negative impulses to a certain extent (by threatening a drop in status and general disdain for those who don't adhere to traditions). But this would only work in tight knit communities and the hardwired impulses will always be there.

A good example I suppose would be Aka shaming. It is Aka tradition to share all their days food out amongst the community (or so I've read). If an individual tries to keep their catch for themselves they are mocked and shamed and eventually (usually) they share their catch out to avoid the disdain of others.


Yes good example, another one would be the "potlatsch" I don't know of which tribe, the competition who gives the other a bigger present.

For the relation of egoism and cooperation it is best to check out game theory, the few laws are very simple but add up to complex scenarios in a game with many players. Tit for tat is the best strategy, except when you can wipe out the competitor with no chance of him striking back. Or the prisoners dilemma etc.

Like in the current system in the name of the "invisible hand" I think it is vital to always count on the egoism of the individuals. Only that the current system is forced to expand and grow in an unstable manner, and doesn't price ressources (the future) right. If we could manage to do that with some kind of "protocol" or "game rules" we would be set.
"Democracy means the opportunity to be everyone's slave."
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Ludi » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 18:05:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DefiledEngine', '
')I have yet to see anything that stumps the selfish genes. Which were these societies? What were the conditions they lived in? Famine? Lack of resources? Did they live like present day western civilization?


Have you read Diamond's book?

Of course they didn't live like present day western civilization - what an utterly absurd question! Our civilzation is a product of our culture! For pete's sake.

I'm not going to recount Diamond's book, the damn book is already written, go read it! Geez.


Your ignorance of anthropology is not my problem to solve.
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Ludi » Wed 11 Jan 2006, 18:59:40

Bah, that was rude of me, I apologise. I'll give a short answer, not a specific one from Diamond's book.

Every culture which did not engage in conquest essentially existed in a sustainable manner, which meant not being greedy to acquire more and also meant having forethought, not being short-sighted. Many hunter-gatherer and horticultural societies fit this description. Nearly all warred with their neighbors over territorial boundaries, but most were not conquering, which means they inhabited a finite territory thus with finite resources. Of course under these conditions of finite resources they nearly inevitably endured starvation during difficult periods, this is a matter of the archeological record. However, these periods of starvation were of relatively short duration versus the famines experienced by agricultural peoples, and the HG/horticultural societies didn't die out during them, but continued, within the finite limits of their territories. We can see in the case of some very old cultures such as the australians, living in the same place for tens of thousands of years eventually caused degradation of the land (savannah turned to desert in some areas), it took them some ten times as long as it took civilized people to do the same amount of damage, and in the case of the US post colonization, it took us only a couple hundred years to eradicate most of the remaining megafuana and turn large tracts of land to desert. So even if these peoples didn't live in an entirely and infinitely sustainable manner, they certainly achieved something closer to sustanability than we seem to be achieving. Not because they were saints, certainly, but because they must by necessity observe the finite quality of their territory and live within those limits, for their own selfish preservation. So, no need to lose the "selfish gene."
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby BlueGhost » Sun 15 Jan 2006, 19:14:00

If you belive people are genetically incapable of handling long term problems then I suggest you focus on eugenics and/or instilling a benign dictator who is. I'm pretty sure humans are smart and plastic enough to cope.

I agree, it would be impossible to change the base human drives of:

Survival
Pleasure.
Procreation.

However, these drives are not incompatable with long term planning. There is no need to create a 'master race' of aulturistic humans. Selfish ones are quite sufficient. What we need is to educate people so that they persue different and more effective stratagies towards these goals.

Do we have a good chance of survival as a species on our current path? No.
Are rat race running consumers happy? No.
Is our current life style necessary to procreate? No.

I don't see genetics as a barrier to a sustainable society. I think the same as most other people on this board: We're on a bad path at the moment and sooner or later we will collapse. But if we could all change our behaviour there are ways in which our current problems could be sovled.

I differ in that I have no interest in just trying to save myself and let the world go to hell, and I don't think you can change the world by writing to your politician or telling the masses to change their behaviour.

We do not have the leverage or power to change the world now, but it takes less energy and less people will try to oppose you if you try and change the distant future.

Does the car firm marketing exec care if his market is destroyed in 20 years time?
No! use the current shortermist apathy to your advantage - make an education system which turns out people who'll not only be receptive to PO, they'll work it out for themselves.

The problem is while I'm pretty sure we need to change the education system in some way, I'm not totally sure how it should be changed. Or even what people who're produced by that system would look like.

So my question is: What would an education system look like to produce sustainable living citizens?
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby BlueGhost » Sun 15 Jan 2006, 19:22:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Free', 'L')ike in the current system in the name of the "invisible hand" I think it is vital to always count on the egoism of the individuals. Only that the current system is forced to expand and grow in an unstable manner, and doesn't price ressources (the future) right. If we could manage to do that with some kind of "protocol" or "game rules" we would be set.


Free, not only are we not in a position to change the system - no one is.

The system is enforced by every individual who signs up to it and the democratic nature of our societies mean these people have control.

This is why I advocate changing people - there is no other realistic way of changing the world. Any idea which requires your clever solution to be implemented by changing the behaviour of thousands of people against their wishes WILL NOT HAPPEN.
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby TonyPrep » Sun 15 Jan 2006, 20:25:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BlueGhost', 'I') agree, it would be impossible to change the base human drives of:

Survival
Pleasure.
Procreation.
There's really only one drive: procreation. Everything else really comes from that genetic drive, behaviours that improve procreation chances tend to spread through the population.
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby BlueGhost » Sun 15 Jan 2006, 20:45:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'T')here's really only one drive: procreation. Everything else really comes from that genetic drive, behaviours that improve procreation chances tend to spread through the population.


Yes, and some behaviours which previously helped procreation are:
Survival
Enjoyment.

The desire for enjoyment is mainly what is driving the western consumer lifestyle. What is it you're trying to refute?

Infact this seems to just be an unnecessary correction / strawman. Any chance of these two posts getting deleted?
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby DefiledEngine » Tue 17 Jan 2006, 04:24:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')I'm not going to recount Diamond's book, the damn book is already written, go read it!


Brilliant debate tactic! When faced with questions, direct them to a book, throw in a few insults, then stop the discussion.

Anyway, you were kind enough to mouthpiece mr. Diamond for me, I'll again try to pose some questions to the deductions made.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')We can see in the case of some very old cultures such as the australians, living in the same place for tens of thousands of years eventually caused degradation of the land (savannah turned to desert in some areas), it took them some ten times as long as it took civilized people to do the same amount of damage, and in the case of the US post colonization, it took us only a couple hundred years to eradicate most of the remaining megafuana and turn large tracts of land to desert.


So, they didn't develop into larger numbers because the environment was more hostile to them, preventing procreation, reducing food and increasing mortality? Or because they simply "knew" that they could one day cause degradation to their environment, and thus realized that they would have to live sustainably, then organizing and rooting that into their "culture"? Was it long term planning or more of a day-by-day struggle? Was it natural behaviour?

You claim that they went against hard-wired traits. Did they discover agriculture, technology, domestication etc. and then rejected them, despite that their lives might be easier?
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 17 Jan 2006, 14:03:07

You might have noticed I apologised! Sheesh.

I'm not very interested in debate actually, so I don't really care if my "debate" tactics are poor.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DefiledEngine', '
')You claim that they went against hard-wired traits. Did they discover agriculture, technology, domestication etc. and then rejected them, despite that their lives might be easier?


No, I never claimed they went against hard-wired traits, I said they had a different culture.

It is a common misconception that the agricultural lifestyle is easier. Anthropologists generally agree tha the hunter-gatherer lifestyle is easier and allows more free time for more people. Agriculture causes more work for more people, while allowing a few priviledged ones to enjoy leisure.

They observed how much material they removed from their territory, and realised if they removed too much, none would remain the next year, so they deliberately kept their numbers down.
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby BlueGhost » Tue 17 Jan 2006, 17:30:34

And then because they didn't grow their numbers of capability they were annihilated by an external and un-expected event.

There are several events we know could wipe humanity out, there are probably some we haven't imagined. The man made ones could be solved by regressing to a hunter-gatherer society, the external even ones would not.

So, At the risk of repeating myself:

Fixing peak oil will not fix the 'iceberg'.
We do not have the power to fix the systematic problems in a top down manner.
While peak oil will result in a forceful power down unless we change the survivers will be wiped out by an external event.
As such one method to try and fix these problems is to modify society and normal behaviour. Education systems seem like a good tool for doing this:

What sort of behaviour do education systems need to teach to produce societies capable of handling peak oil and the rest?

Monty I do feel abit miffed that you merged my thread on 'how education sysytems would need to be changed' into this dross.
Ah never mind, I guess if no one bites I'll start another one in the off topic board, I hope that won't be too disparate for you? (Yes the 1st post made sense here, but I put it in its own thread because I was hoping to develop a discusison.)
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Re: Peak Oil: The Tip of the Iceberg

Unread postby Ludi » Tue 17 Jan 2006, 17:52:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BlueGhost', 'T')here are several events we know could wipe humanity out, there are probably some we haven't imagined. The man made ones could be solved by regressing to a hunter-gatherer society, the external even ones would not.


The man made problems could be solved by transitioning to a way of life which acknowledges the fact that we live in a finite living system, and accomodates that. Changing to a hunter-gatherer existence isn't necessary or even really possible.

I don't consider hunting and gathering "regressive" myself, since people are still doing it. It's just another way to live, not a "lower" way.
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