by Andy » Mon 09 Jan 2006, 00:27:13
You know something, I guess we should relax and enjoy life while it is good. Humans are incapable of dealing with issues on the scale that sustainanbility demands. We simply are not genetically programmed to do it. When our backs are against the wall, we are going to burn coal like there is no tomorrow, we are going to make a valiant effort with nuclear and to hell with safety and health standards, we are going to ramp up tar sands, we are going to clear the forests for biofuels, we are going to poison our life support system from every angle known etc. etc. We just will have to wait for nature to sort things out for us. It may happen in our lifetime or it may take longer but it will certainly happen. It may very well end up meaning that we are extinguished from the planet. Hence, let us relax!!!
A question for the people who propose nuclear and particularly breeders especially for unstable developing countries. Are the breeders immune to sabotage? Can a local or regional conflict cause damage that allows the escape of radionuclides with commonly available weaponry? Will we 2, 3, 4, 500 years from now have all the material and organizational competence to safely handle the entire process? Will we have proper documentation of what was done even 100 years before. Remember, the United States of America is not even 300 years old, a human lives on average 70 - 80 years in optimum conditions etc. etc. Another question, will nuclear technology render the other critical environmental issues moot? I speak of soil availability, water quality, deforestation etc. etc., all a consequence of our excessive population numbers?
Another question, is nuclear the only technology that can provide energy at the requisite scale and cost? If you answer yes, you have not done your homework. Wind already provides electricity for costs ranging from 3- 9 US c/KWH including offshore technology. The high value of 8 - 9 c/KWH is the low value for nuclear. Concentrating solar thermal costs between 8 and 13 cents with costs likely to fall, the opposite of which is likely true for nuclear when the intractable civil defence and waste/fuel issues are contemplated. Any attempt to minimize those costs simply tranfers it from internalized to external (health, military). Energy efficiency costs as low as 1 c/KWH and the potential is as much as 30 - 50% of existing energy consumption. Concentrating photovoltaic technology is threatening to cost near 10 c/KWH at the retail site in high solar areas, already distributed. (Read about 39% efficient Spectrolab cells on their way to 41% and more)
I have not even mentioned wave, tidal, ocean thermal which have not been given an equitable share of research resources and thus are not yet market ready. A British acknowledgement recently came out that for example the anticipated cost of electricity from the Salter Duck wave energy device was maliciously stated at several times the likely real cost. The suspects were the traditional nuclear and fossil establishment. I could go on and on but the post is already too long.
For ionizing radiation “…the human epidemiological evidence establishes—by any reasonable standard of proof—that there is no safe dose or dose-rate…the safe-dose hypothesis is not merely implausible—it is disproven.” Dr. J.W. Gofman 4