Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby holmes » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 15:57:25

I am well aware of this and have been for quite along time.
This is the scenario:
phone rings brriiingg

(U.S.) Hello

(Resource Depletion) Hello. I am here.

(U.S) Hello?

(RD) Times up
(U.S) Ummm. I dont know who u are or what u are. Please explain.
(RD)(explains situation)
(U.S.) We need to set up a meeting of all the organizations and members and begin DRAFTING a plan. It must be done on a local, state, county, fed level.
(RD) OK. But things need to be done now and can not wait another day.
(U.S.) We need to set up a meeting of all the organizations and members and begin DRAFTING a plan(only way known to respond to these crisis). We can build more roads.
(RD)OK. But more roads and pavement will not help and
things need to be done now and can not wait another day.
(U.S.) Ummm (becoming agitated) wait I will transfer u to someone who might know about these things. Hold on second.
(RD) wait I do not have a second!
(U.S.) Music playing on hold
(RD) Good Bye
holmes
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2382
Joined: Tue 12 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby Ayoob » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 16:06:35

I tried the Department of Energy. Very nice people. The guy I spoke with is well aware of the concept of PO, and said that they know it's coming, and that the date can't be confirmed. They have read Twilight in the Desert, they are monitoring oil supplies around the world, all that good stuff.

I asked if they have a Plan B somewhere, and the answer is no. They do not have a Plan B. Officially. They are monitoring the situation and are aware, and the official DoE position is "Uh..."

1-800-dial-DOE

That is their number, I'd suggest giving them a call, see what they're up to, suggest that they try to figure something out. So, that's who to talk to if you live in the US, the Department of Energy. They do have people there that will talk to you and they know that the problem exists and they apparently are the ones that could do something if they wanted to.
User avatar
Ayoob
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 1520
Joined: Thu 15 Jul 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby holmes » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 16:27:49

Yoob when u coming up? The asparagus begins harvest in late may!
holmes
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2382
Joined: Tue 12 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby DigitalCubano » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 16:29:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', 'I') asked if they have a Plan B somewhere, and the answer is no. They do not have a Plan B. Officially. They are monitoring the situation and are aware, and the official DoE position is "Uh..."


Could it be that they think PO mitigation is still unwarranted at present? That's an honest question. While the oft cited HIrsch report is used to bolster the notion that developing alternatives will be a time-intensive endeavour, it also cautions against locking-in on a particular strategy too early. Perhaps that is their rationale?
User avatar
DigitalCubano
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 434
Joined: Fri 19 Aug 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby Ayoob » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 16:48:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DigitalCubano', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', 'I') asked if they have a Plan B somewhere, and the answer is no. They do not have a Plan B. Officially. They are monitoring the situation and are aware, and the official DoE position is "Uh..."


Could it be that they think PO mitigation is still unwarranted at present? That's an honest question. While the oft cited HIrsch report is used to bolster the notion that developing alternatives will be a time-intensive endeavour, it also cautions against locking-in on a particular strategy too early. Perhaps that is their rationale?


How could you say that? It doesn't make any sense. Until you have at least identified a Plan B and considered its cost and impact, you can't say that it doesn't make sense to implement it just yet. Until you come up with something that's at least projected on paper to do the trick, you can't say it's not worth it to implement.
User avatar
Ayoob
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 1520
Joined: Thu 15 Jul 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby Ayoob » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 16:49:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('holmes', 'Y')oob when u coming up? The asparagus begins harvest in late may!


I should be heading in your direction in about two and a half years. Out of state tuition is about $30K more than in-state tuition... I don't have the funds available. I'm most likely going to ride out the next two and a half years right here in sunny, safe Los Angeles.
User avatar
Ayoob
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 1520
Joined: Thu 15 Jul 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby Chaparral » Fri 06 Jan 2006, 01:01:41

I'll try and broach the subject with Janice Hahn and Jenny Oropeza. They're the councilwoman and representative for my area. A lot of our dipsh!ts in local gov't are pretty ignorant about a lot of things in their backyard. A goodly number of aides are just stupid, smarmy college interns hanging around corridors of power and don't know shyt about anything other than what they read in the mainstream press. I am kind of glad that ignorance is the norm now, as I still have a rental property or two to sell so I can take some of the proceeds and go long on shiny yellowish metals. I'll bring the subject up at the neighborhood council meetings when gas hits 5 bucks a gallon. Until then I'm keeping my mouth shut.

BTW I got asparagus spears popping up right now. Of course, since i am in the harbor area, they will probably be covered with a fine layer of diesel soot when it comes time to cut them.
User avatar
Chaparral
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 767
Joined: Sun 14 Aug 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Dead civilization walking

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby MattSavinar » Fri 06 Jan 2006, 15:24:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NeoPeasant', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MattSavinar', 'Y')ou silly Peak Oilers. All this time you've been writing letters, "raising awareness" through silly things like showing films. Hah. What has that and a nickel gotten you?

I'll tell you what: a cup of jack squat.

What you should have been doing is slipping Superbowl tickets and VIP passes to http://www.privelageny.com to Jack Abramoff and friends along with a note to the effect of, "If you want more of the good stuff, you'll start dealing with this issue."

I guaran-damn-tee you that would have been a more effective way to get things done.

Best,

Matt


The problem is, Matt, that it costs a hell of a lot of dough to buy politicians, and indirectly public policy. It's usually only attempted by those who stand to get a large return on their investment. Who stands to gain billions by making PO a public issue? Nobody.

Maybe if we could somehow turn Bono into a peaker he might be able to influence the spending of his buds Bill and Melinda Gates. Then we could really get somewhere.


Neopeasent,

I was being sarcastic in the above quoted post.

As far as Peak Oil celebrity spokesperson, I think J-Lo getting a Hubbert curve on the back of her jeans might do the trick.

Best,

Matt
User avatar
MattSavinar
Elite
Elite
 
Posts: 1918
Joined: Sun 09 May 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby holmes » Fri 06 Jan 2006, 15:27:07

Yoob I gots family down in glendale and san diego so your not alone. Personally I beleive it will be ll ok for several years. Maybe by 2008 the economy will begin to REALLY tank. but Im looking more around 2015-2025 for changes to really come about. like the gubmint going bankrupt. So I wouldnt worry too much but in 3 years I would reccomend u get out of dodge, bro. But anytime u want to visit ur welcome anytime. When the gub goes is when its gonna get tricky. That actually might be the spark that gets the whole ball rolling IMHO.
holmes
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2382
Joined: Tue 12 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby TonyPrep » Sun 08 Jan 2006, 16:36:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DigitalCubano', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', 'I') asked if they have a Plan B somewhere, and the answer is no. They do not have a Plan B. Officially. They are monitoring the situation and are aware, and the official DoE position is "Uh..."


Could it be that they think PO mitigation is still unwarranted at present? That's an honest question. While the oft cited HIrsch report is used to bolster the notion that developing alternatives will be a time-intensive endeavour, it also cautions against locking-in on a particular strategy too early. Perhaps that is their rationale?
How can anyone take the decsision that it's too early to have a plan B? Without actually having a plan B, you don't know how long it will take for that unknown plan to have an impact on PO. But no-one knows when PO will occur. Not DigitalCubano, not Mike Lynch, not Colin Campbell, not Deffeyes, not anyone. All we have are incomplete data, suppositions and guesses. To do nothing, not even draw up a plan, because PO might be x years away is crazy.

Tony
User avatar
TonyPrep
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2842
Joined: Sun 25 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Waiuku, New Zealand
Top

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby DigitalCubano » Sun 08 Jan 2006, 17:15:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TonyPrep', 'H')ow can anyone take the decsision that it's too early to have a plan B? Without actually having a plan B, you don't know how long it will take for that unknown plan to have an impact on PO. But no-one knows when PO will occur. Not DigitalCubano, not Mike Lynch, not Colin Campbell, not Deffeyes, not anyone. All we have are incomplete data, suppositions and guesses. To do nothing, not even draw up a plan, because PO might be x years away is crazy.

Tony


Tony & Ayoob, the question I posed is derived from the section titled Risk Management from the Hirsch Report:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hirsch', '
')It is possible that peaking may not occur for several decades, but it is also
possible that peaking may occur in the near future. We are thus faced with a daunting risk management problem:
• On the one hand, mitigation initiated soon would be premature if
peaking is still several decades away.
• On the other hand, if peaking is imminent, failure to initiate mitigation
quickly will have significant economic and social costs to the U.S. and
the world.

The two risks are asymmetric:
• Mitigation actions initiated prematurely will be costly and could result in
a poor use of resources.
• Late initiation of mitigation may result in severe consequences.


I may not agree with some of the analysis in the report, but I do think the quote above is a fantastic summary of the tension that exists in formulating any mitigation strategy. In an environment of tremendous uncertainty, planning for the worst case scenario isn't necessarily the optimum strategy (from an economic and resource management viewpoint). I was just wondering whether the DoE, rightly or otherwise, believes that it's just too early to draft PO mitigation plans in earnest? As I previously wrote, I think that it's an important and prudent consideration.
User avatar
DigitalCubano
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 434
Joined: Fri 19 Aug 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Called Rep. Becerra's office, they don't know what PO is

Unread postby TonyPrep » Sun 08 Jan 2006, 19:46:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DigitalCubano', 'T')ony & Ayoob, the question I posed is derived from the section titled Risk Management from the Hirsch Report:$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hirsch', 'T')he two risks are asymmetric:
• Mitigation actions initiated prematurely will be costly and could result in
a poor use of resources.
• Late initiation of mitigation may result in severe consequences.
I was just wondering whether the DoE, rightly or otherwise, believes that it's just too early to draft PO mitigation plans in earnest? As I previously wrote, I think that it's an important and prudent consideration.
So what do you think? Given the uncertainty of PO date, isn't it prudent to do some work to determine possible strategies and how long they might take to have an effect? What if the best mitigation strategy would take 30 years to fully implement? It is sheer madness to accept PO, acknowledge the uncertainties over dates and not do anything about planning. So why do you think TPTB have, apparently, done no work on this?

Tony
User avatar
TonyPrep
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2842
Joined: Sun 25 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Waiuku, New Zealand
Top

Previous

Return to Peak Oil Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron