[Gazzatrone]

I saw this posted over in the Stories Archive as the title "A Big Dose of Energy Reality" caught my eye, but have to confess that it makes no sense whatsoever. Either the writer is completely inept at essay structure or I am failing to miss the point entirely.

From what ever source I have been reading from lately, and I must confess I am still pretty new to the Peak Oil debate. Most Peaker's would have us at 30 years remaining oil.

Yet several of the sources quoted in the article sound as though we have only just discovered oil!

I am basing my reaction purely on the percentages of growth that he cites, and having seen Prof. Albert Bartlett's lecture on exponential growth, these percentages of 50% and 20% over short time spans are just plain dillusional.

Please feel free to put me straight on this.

[JoeW]

The guy is a hack, spewing out Republican talking points. The whole article is propaganda, designed to give you just the facts that you need to agree with his conclusions.

For instance, he mentions 2 trillion barrels of oil from domestic shale-oil, but never mentions how it can be extracted.

It may be true that ANWR oil could replace Saudi imports for 30 years, but what about the oil that is imported from so many other sources? I think Saudi imports comprise about 10% of US supply.

The other thing to consider is that all of these US locations where drilling is banned create a somewhat strategic reserve in the ground. The alternative (the drill everywhere immediately approach) is a Deplete-America-First policy. The current policy of Deplete-OPEC-First is probably the better strategy to prepare for the oil endgame.

He also states that somehow Congress is acting against the interests of Big Oil by disallowing arctic drilling, which is ridiculous. Last time I took an economics class, supply increases meant price decreases, and most companies do not care to see their product's price decline.

This guy has a severe lack in the area of critical thinking.

[BO]

The publication in question: "Chronwatch" exists only to debunk the San Francisco Chronicle, which the editors see as "liberal propaganda". They spend most of there time glorifying FoxNews and Rush Limbaugh, and demonizing Air America. Anything that comes out of this publication is pure bunk.

[bantri]

welcome aboard,
i love Bartlett lectures,
http://peakoil.com/fortopic5635.html
and i suggest doing some more reading on:
Jevon´s, Savinar, Hubbert, Detwyler, Deffeyes, Stewart, Machiavelli, Hawking, Orwell, Huxley, Meadows and definitely THIS site.
Some very interesting facts ahead

[killJOY]

The article is a classic example of how figures used in isolation from any context can make fabulous LIES.

Let's look at this one:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')The oil from a tiny portion of ANWR “could generate as many as 16 billion barrels of oil, enough to replace about 30 years worth of oil imports from Saudi Arabia.”

[Peak_Modernity]

I'll take a stab at some of his points.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he World Energy Outlook 2005, published by the International Energy Agency “expects global energy markets to remain robust through 2030. If policies remain unchanged, world energy demand is projected to increase by over 50% between now and 2030. World energy resources are adequate to meet this demand, but investment of $17 trillion will be needed to bring these resources to consumers.”

[Gazzatrone]

Thanks guys, being from the UK, its sometimes difficult to differentiate the politics of writers, thankfully you comments have answered my questions.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he guy is a hack, spewing out Republican talking points. The whole article is propaganda, designed to give you just the facts that you need to agree with his conclusions. - JoeW

[pip]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he oil from a tiny portion of ANWR “could generate as many as 16 billion barrels of oil, enough to replace about 30 years worth of oil imports from Saudi Arabia.”

[MonteQuest]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('killJOY', 'T')he article is a classic example of how figures used in isolation from any context can make fabulous LIES.

Let's look at this one:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')The oil from a tiny portion of ANWR “could generate as many as 16 billion barrels of oil, enough to replace about 30 years worth of oil imports from Saudi Arabia.”